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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Oct 2025 at 08:27:26

Take profit at 280.4844 (0.95 %) and Stop Loss at 284.5128 (0.47 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Oct 2025 at 08:27:26

With 5.9577 MSTR at 283.17$ per unit.

Position size of 1687.0556 $

Take profit at 280.4844 (0.95 %) and Stop Loss at 284.5128 (0.47 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 1.01
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.504557

15m : 0.054583

1H : -0.05687

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.45
  4. atr: 0.8951927758
Details
  1. score: 1.45
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 279.869
  4. ema21 : 283.777
  5. ema50 : 290.682
  6. ema100 : 296.85
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.011794
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0137732
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0237548
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.046086
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.23301
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.229982
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.174498
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.120171
  17. rsi : 0.457752
  18. adx : 0.369801
  19. kc_percentage : 0.481943
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0564695
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0265157
  22. volume_ema1 : 210669.89562353
  23. volume_ema2 : 205228.1155016
  24. chop : 27.7382
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 279.511
  28. ema21 : 278.332
  29. ema50 : 280.852
  30. ema100 : 285.223
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0130906
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00423259
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00897274
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00720039
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.144978
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0088635
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0550039
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0600414
  41. rsi : 0.619991
  42. adx : 0.268283
  43. kc_percentage : 1.08688
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0292629
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.608502
  46. volume_ema1 : 28601.867446661
  47. volume_ema2 : 73057.603995668
  48. chop : 28.5709
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 281.918
  52. ema21 : 279.729
  53. ema50 : 278.005
  54. ema100 : 279.146
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00444087
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00782283
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00620139
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0144128
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.14253
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.119397
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0598349
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0157641
  65. rsi : 0.715089
  66. adx : 0.385564
  67. kc_percentage : 1.44837
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0122843
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.803689
  70. volume_ema1 : 3617.1407340735
  71. volume_ema2 : 18425.621848264
  72. chop : 28.1781
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    106183
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00585265
  78. 5m_price: 
    105561
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.504557
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    107759
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0187949
  83. 15m_price: 
    105734
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.054583
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    110716
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0465598
  88. 1H_price: 
    105561
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.05687
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
                    [1] => 307.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 10:00:00
                    [1] => 307.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 13:00:00
                    [1] => 295.51
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-15 23:00:00
                    [1] => 301.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 295.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 302.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:00:00
                    [1] => 283.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                    [1] => 289.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
                    [1] => 270.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 08:00:00
                    [1] => 284.13
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33787350860521
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7458755641045
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1009839461419
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
                    [1] => 283.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
                    [1] => 284.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 21:15:00
                    [1] => 289.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 22:15:00
                    [1] => 287.25
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-16 23:45:00
                    [1] => 289.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
                    [1] => 278.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:15:00
                    [1] => 270.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 05:30:00
                    [1] => 276.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 06:15:00
                    [1] => 272.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 08:00:00
                    [1] => 284.13
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33787350860521
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.076007056748
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4288444575125
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 00:10:00
                    [1] => 288.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 00:20:00
                    [1] => 288.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 03:45:00
                    [1] => 271.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
                    [1] => 278.96
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:20:00
                    [1] => 270.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 04:35:00
                    [1] => 274.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 272.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 05:35:00
                    [1] => 276.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 06:25:00
                    [1] => 272.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-17 08:10:00
                    [1] => 284.13
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33787350860521
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.076007056748
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 24
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4288444575125
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.08%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
24 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.43%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.2572
1.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.1444
3.62%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-17 00:10:00 288.77 ↑ High
2025-10-17 00:20:00 288.77 ↑ High
2025-10-17 03:45:00 271.87 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 04:00:00 278.96 ↑ High
2025-10-17 04:20:00 270.34 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 04:35:00 274.21 ↑ High
2025-10-17 05:00:00 272.11 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 05:35:00 276.51 ↑ High
2025-10-17 06:25:00 272.08 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 08:10:00 284.13 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.08%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.43%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.3272
1.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.1444
3.62%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 16:30:00 283.08 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 19:00:00 284.15 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:15:00 289.84 ↑ High
2025-10-16 22:15:00 287.25 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 23:45:00 289.28 ↑ High
2025-10-17 04:00:00 278.96 ↑ High
2025-10-17 04:15:00 270.34 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 05:30:00 276.51 ↑ High
2025-10-17 06:15:00 272.08 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 08:00:00 284.13 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.75%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
23.0372
8.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
10.1444
3.62%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-15 04:00:00 307.22 ↑ High
2025-10-15 10:00:00 307.55 ↑ High
2025-10-15 13:00:00 295.51 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 23:00:00 301.25 ↑ High
2025-10-16 05:00:00 295.93 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:00:00 302.07 ↑ High
2025-10-16 16:00:00 283.08 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 289.84 ↑ High
2025-10-17 04:00:00 270.34 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 08:00:00 284.13 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Oct 2025
08:27:26		 17 Oct 2025
08:50:00		 22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
283.17 284.5128 280.4844 2 133.97
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 283.17
  • Stop Loss: 284.5128
  • Take Profit: 280.4844

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 284.5128 - 283.17 = 1.3428

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 283.17 - 280.4844 = 2.6856

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.6856 / 1.3428 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1687.0556 100 5.9577 16.87
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.3428

Taille de position = 8 / 1.3428 = 5.96

Taille de position USD = 5.96 x 283.17 = 1687.69

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.96 avec un stoploss a 284.5128

Avec un position size USD de 1687.69$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.96 x 1.3428 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.96 x 2.6856 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.96
  • Taille de position USD 1687.69
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.95 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.47 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.95
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 280.4844
            [stop_loss] => 284.5128
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 08:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 279.813
            [stop_loss] => 284.5128
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 09:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 279.1416
            [stop_loss] => 284.5128
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 09:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 278.4702
            [stop_loss] => 284.5128
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 09:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 277.7988
            [stop_loss] => 284.5128
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 09:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 277.1274
            [stop_loss] => 284.5128
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 09:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 276.456
            [stop_loss] => 284.5128
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 09:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 275.7846
            [stop_loss] => 284.5128
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 09:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 275.1132
            [stop_loss] => 284.5128
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 09:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 274.4418
            [stop_loss] => 284.5128
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 09:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 273.7704
            [stop_loss] => 284.5128
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 09:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.18
            [max_drawdown] => 4.62
            [rr_ratio] => 0.9
            [high] => 287.79000000
            [low] => 278.99000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.48
            [mae_pct] => 1.63
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.9
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T08:27:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T10:27:26-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.18
            [max_drawdown] => 8.6
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [high] => 291.77000000
            [low] => 278.99000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.48
            [mae_pct] => 3.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T08:27:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T15:27:26-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 284.13000000
            [high_after] => 291.59000000
            [low_before] => 272.08000000
            [low_after] => 278.99000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)