Short Trade on BCH 17 Oct 2025 at 12:04:32
Take profit at 464.9724 (1.83 %) and Stop Loss at 477.9588 (0.91 %)
Short Trade on BCH 17 Oct 2025 at 12:04:32
Take profit at 464.9724 (1.83 %) and Stop Loss at 477.9588 (0.91 %)
Position size of 875.3073 $
Take profit at 464.9724 (1.83 %) and Stop Loss at 477.9588 (0.91 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.99 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.91 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.97 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.668759 15m : -0.082747 1H : -0.043614 |
2 |
Indicators:
105537
0.018244
107462
0.668759
107069
0.00367551
107462
-0.082747
110410
-0.0266927
107462
-0.043614
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 23:00:00
[1] => 531.8
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
[1] => 545.79
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
[1] => 517.09
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
[1] => 527.03
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 511.3
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 06:00:00
[1] => 529.36
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
[1] => 500.91
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
[1] => 510.54
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
[1] => 442.57
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[1] => 474.49
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.31402137031339
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.8757484691687
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2124183744944
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 16:30:00
[1] => 502.09
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 18:00:00
[1] => 507.02
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
[1] => 500.91
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
[1] => 510.54
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 22:15:00
[1] => 504.21
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:15:00
[1] => 442.57
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 05:30:00
[1] => 468.58
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 07:15:00
[1] => 471.84
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 10:30:00
[1] => 455.32
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[1] => 474.49
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.31402137031339
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8829833962927
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.2102257752789
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 05:35:00
[1] => 468.58
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 06:20:00
[1] => 456.47
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 07:25:00
[1] => 471.84
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 08:05:00
[1] => 467.98
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 08:55:00
[1] => 458.37
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 09:35:00
[1] => 465.45
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 09:45:00
[1] => 458.26
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 10:35:00
[1] => 455.32
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 11:35:00
[1] => 460.04
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[1] => 474.49
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.31402137031339
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8171463351013
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.141031214677
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-17 05:35:00 | 468.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 06:20:00 | 456.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 07:25:00 | 471.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 08:05:00 | 467.98 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 08:55:00 | 458.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 09:35:00 | 465.45 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 09:45:00 | 458.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 10:35:00 | 455.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 11:35:00 | 460.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 12:00:00 | 474.49 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 16:30:00 | 502.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 18:00:00 | 507.02 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 500.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 510.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 22:15:00 | 504.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 04:15:00 | 442.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:30:00 | 468.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 07:15:00 | 471.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 10:30:00 | 455.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 12:00:00 | 474.49 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 23:00:00 | 531.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 04:00:00 | 545.79 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 517.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 22:00:00 | 527.03 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 511.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 06:00:00 | 529.36 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 500.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 510.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 04:00:00 | 442.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 12:00:00 | 474.49 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2025 12:04:32 |
17 Oct 2025 12:55:00 |
50 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 473.63 | 477.9588 | 464.9724 | 2 | 480.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 477.9588 - 473.63 = 4.3288
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 473.63 - 464.9724 = 8.6576
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 8.6576 / 4.3288 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 875.3073 | 100 | 1.8481 | 8.75 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.3288 = 1.85
Taille de position USD = 1.85 x 473.63 = 876.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.85 avec un stoploss a 477.9588
Avec un position size USD de 876.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.85 x 4.3288 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.85 x 8.6576 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.83 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.91 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 464.9724
[stop_loss] => 477.9588
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 12:55:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 462.808
[stop_loss] => 477.9588
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 13:20:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 11.93
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 473.50000000
[low] => 461.70000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.52
[mae_pct] => -0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T12:04:32-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T14:04:32-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 11.93
[max_drawdown] => 0.10000000000002
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 473.73000000
[low] => 461.70000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.52
[mae_pct] => 0.02
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 119.3
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T12:04:32-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T19:04:32-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 474.49000000
[high_after] => 473.73000000
[low_before] => 455.32000000
[low_after] => 461.70000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)