Short Trade on AVAX 17 Oct 2025 at 12:05:31

Take profit at 19.6989 (2.15 %) and Stop Loss at 20.347 (1.07 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 17 Oct 2025 at 12:05:31

With 37.0313 AVAX at 20.131$ per unit.

Position size of 745.4778 $

Take profit at 19.6989 (2.15 %) and Stop Loss at 20.347 (1.07 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.24
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.98
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.95
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.98
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.903445

15m : 0.057682

1H : 0.01349

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.1440221747
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 19.8954
  4. ema21 : 20.2323
  5. ema50 : 20.9526
  6. ema100 : 21.5955
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0118408
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0166528
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0343773
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0678163
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.422285
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.390432
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.283977
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.188847
  17. rsi : 0.450458
  18. adx : 0.460532
  19. kc_percentage : 0.458262
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0834795
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.402964
  22. volume_ema1 : 2665810.2754889
  23. volume_ema2 : 4465077.5209998
  24. chop : 38.0039
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 19.8124
  29. ema21 : 19.7602
  30. ema50 : 19.9349
  31. ema100 : 20.3168
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0160767
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00264071
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00876025
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00914517
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0365459
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0136542
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0446321
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0619049
  42. rsi : 0.630467
  43. adx : 0.147702
  44. kc_percentage : 0.879701
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0485287
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.265942
  47. volume_ema1 : 790998.93740751
  48. volume_ema2 : 1077570.5150335
  49. chop : 49.3489
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 19.9028
  54. ema21 : 19.7978
  55. ema50 : 19.7366
  56. ema100 : 19.6657
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0114617
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00530262
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00310244
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0236588
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.102143
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0451685
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.020534
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0159177
  67. rsi : 0.666218
  68. adx : 0.14699
  69. kc_percentage : 1.06212
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0290697
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.105114
  72. volume_ema1 : 330989.30092622
  73. volume_ema2 : 299506.67936986
  74. chop : 38.595
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    105551
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0157486
  81. 5m_price:
    107213
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.903445
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    107064
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00139145
  86. 15m_price:
    107213
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.057682
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    110405
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.028909
  91. 1H_price:
    107213
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.01349
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 23:00:00
                        [1] => 22.347
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
                        [1] => 23.269
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
                        [1] => 21.544
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
                        [1] => 22.127
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 20.985
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 22.382
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 20.557
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                        [1] => 21.257
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
                        [1] => 19.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
                        [1] => 20.235
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29157400543613
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.1336138874277
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4439768542872
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 15:30:00
                        [1] => 20.557
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
                        [1] => 20.686
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                        [1] => 21.257
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 22:30:00
                        [1] => 20.84
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 04:15:00
                        [1] => 19.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 05:30:00
                        [1] => 19.791
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 07:15:00
                        [1] => 20.028
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 09:45:00
                        [1] => 19.983
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 10:30:00
                        [1] => 19.387
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
                        [1] => 20.235
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29157400543613
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0697374529324
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3740650951669
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 06:20:00
                        [1] => 19.113
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 07:25:00
                        [1] => 20.028
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 07:40:00
                        [1] => 19.679
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 08:05:00
                        [1] => 19.938
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 09:45:00
                        [1] => 19.567
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 09:55:00
                        [1] => 19.983
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 10:35:00
                        [1] => 19.387
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 10:50:00
                        [1] => 19.808
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 11:35:00
                        [1] => 19.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
                        [1] => 20.235
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29157400543613
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3077316948285
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6098310291859
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.31%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.61%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1120
0.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5859
2.97%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-17 06:20:00 19.113 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 07:25:00 20.028 ↑ High
2025-10-17 07:40:00 19.679 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 08:05:00 19.938 ↑ High
2025-10-17 09:45:00 19.567 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 09:55:00 19.983 ↑ High
2025-10-17 10:35:00 19.387 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 10:50:00 19.808 ↑ High
2025-10-17 11:35:00 19.53 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 12:00:00 20.235 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.07%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.37%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9100
4.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6889
3.50%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-16 15:30:00 20.557 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 19:00:00 20.686 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 21.257 ↑ High
2025-10-16 22:30:00 20.84 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 04:15:00 19.01 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 05:30:00 19.791 ↑ High
2025-10-17 07:15:00 20.028 ↑ High
2025-10-17 09:45:00 19.983 ↑ High
2025-10-17 10:30:00 19.387 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 12:00:00 20.235 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.13%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.44%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.9220
14.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6889
3.50%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-14 23:00:00 22.347 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 04:00:00 23.269 ↑ High
2025-10-15 16:00:00 21.544 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:00:00 22.127 ↑ High
2025-10-16 05:00:00 20.985 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:00:00 22.382 ↑ High
2025-10-16 15:00:00 20.557 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 21.257 ↑ High
2025-10-17 04:00:00 19.01 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 12:00:00 20.235 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Oct 2025
12:05:31
18 Oct 2025
03:00:00
14 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
20.131 20.347 19.6989 2 9.269
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 20.131
  • Stop Loss: 20.347
  • Take Profit: 19.6989

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 20.347 - 20.131 = 0.216

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 20.131 - 19.6989 = 0.4321

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4321 / 0.216 = 2.0005

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
745.4778 100 37.0313 7.45
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.216

Taille de position = 8 / 0.216 = 37.04

Taille de position USD = 37.04 x 20.131 = 745.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 37.04 avec un stoploss a 20.347

Avec un position size USD de 745.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 37.04 x 0.216 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 37.04 x 0.4321 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 37.04
  • Taille de position USD 745.65
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0005

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.15 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.07 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.07
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2568 % 117.13 % 21

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.325
            [max_drawdown] => 0.050999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 6.37
            [high] => 20.18200000
            [low] => 19.80600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.61
            [mae_pct] => 0.25
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.37
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T12:05:31-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T14:05:31-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.341
            [max_drawdown] => 0.165
            [rr_ratio] => 2.07
            [high] => 20.29600000
            [low] => 19.79000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.69
            [mae_pct] => 0.82
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T12:05:31-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T19:05:31-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 20.23500000
            [high_after] => 20.29600000
            [low_before] => 19.38700000
            [low_after] => 19.79000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)