Short Trade on BCH 17 Oct 2025 at 16:48:00
Take profit at 467.5307 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 473.5896 (0.43 %)
Short Trade on BCH 17 Oct 2025 at 16:48:00
Take profit at 467.5307 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 473.5896 (0.43 %)
Position size of 1867.9325 $
Take profit at 467.5307 (0.86 %) and Stop Loss at 473.5896 (0.43 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.77 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.89 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.873433 15m : 0.104261 1H : 0.003146 |
1 |
Indicators:
106271
0.00718143
107035
0.873433
106719
0.00295178
107035
0.104261
110061
-0.027496
107035
0.003146
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 23:00:00
[1] => 531.8
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
[1] => 545.79
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
[1] => 517.09
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
[1] => 527.03
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 511.3
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 06:00:00
[1] => 529.36
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 19:00:00
[1] => 500.91
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
[1] => 510.54
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
[1] => 442.57
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[1] => 474.49
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.65754810428039
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.5074451499198
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2124183744944
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 22:15:00
[1] => 504.21
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:15:00
[1] => 442.57
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 05:30:00
[1] => 468.58
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 07:15:00
[1] => 471.84
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 10:30:00
[1] => 455.32
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[1] => 474.49
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 13:30:00
[1] => 461.7
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 14:00:00
[1] => 468.69
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 15:30:00
[1] => 463.17
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 16:45:00
[1] => 471.75
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.080551139374668
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7704082734201
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8524515836518
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 09:45:00
[1] => 458.26
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 10:35:00
[1] => 455.32
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 11:35:00
[1] => 460.04
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[1] => 474.49
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 13:30:00
[1] => 461.7
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 14:10:00
[1] => 468.69
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 14:45:00
[1] => 463.73
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 15:10:00
[1] => 467.07
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 15:35:00
[1] => 463.17
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 16:45:00
[1] => 471.75
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.080551139374668
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7704082734201
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8524515836518
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-17 09:45:00 | 458.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 10:35:00 | 455.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 11:35:00 | 460.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 12:00:00 | 474.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 13:30:00 | 461.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 14:10:00 | 468.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 14:45:00 | 463.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 15:10:00 | 467.07 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 15:35:00 | 463.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 16:45:00 | 471.75 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 22:15:00 | 504.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 04:15:00 | 442.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:30:00 | 468.58 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 07:15:00 | 471.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 10:30:00 | 455.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 12:00:00 | 474.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 13:30:00 | 461.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 14:00:00 | 468.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 15:30:00 | 463.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 16:45:00 | 471.75 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 23:00:00 | 531.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 04:00:00 | 545.79 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 517.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 22:00:00 | 527.03 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 511.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 06:00:00 | 529.36 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 19:00:00 | 500.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 21:00:00 | 510.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 04:00:00 | 442.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 12:00:00 | 474.49 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2025 16:48:00 |
17 Oct 2025 17:45:00 |
57 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 471.57 | 473.5896 | 467.5307 | 2 | 478.31 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 473.5896 - 471.57 = 2.0196
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 471.57 - 467.5307 = 4.0393
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.0393 / 2.0196 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1867.9325 | 100 | 3.9611 | 18.68 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.0196 = 3.96
Taille de position USD = 3.96 x 471.57 = 1867.42
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.96 avec un stoploss a 473.5896
Avec un position size USD de 1867.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.96 x 2.0196 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.96 x 4.0393 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.86 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.458 % | 106.93 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 467.5307
[entry_price] => 471.57
[stop_loss] => 473.79156
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 21:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 467.5307
[entry_price] => 471.57
[stop_loss] => 473.99352
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 21:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 467.5307
[entry_price] => 471.57
[stop_loss] => 474.19548
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 21:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 467.5307
[entry_price] => 471.57
[stop_loss] => 474.5994
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 22:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.68
[max_drawdown] => 2.16
[rr_ratio] => 0.78
[high] => 473.73000000
[low] => 469.89000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.36
[mae_pct] => 0.46
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.78
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T16:48:00-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T18:48:00-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.56
[max_drawdown] => 4.27
[rr_ratio] => 0.83
[high] => 475.84000000
[low] => 468.01000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.75
[mae_pct] => 0.91
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.83
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T16:48:00-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T23:48:00-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 471.75000000
[high_after] => 475.75000000
[low_before] => 461.70000000
[low_after] => 468.01000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)