Short Trade on MANA 17 Oct 2025 at 16:49:15
Take profit at 0.2278 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2317 (0.56 %)
Short Trade on MANA 17 Oct 2025 at 16:49:15
Take profit at 0.2278 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2317 (0.56 %)
Position size of 1432.2535 $
Take profit at 0.2278 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2317 (0.56 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.99 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.94 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.92 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.87738 15m : 0.049138 1H : -0.078281 |
1 |
Indicators:
106272
0.00739631
107058
0.87738
106720
0.00316577
107058
0.049138
110061
-0.0272883
107058
-0.078281
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-13 17:00:00
[1] => 0.2883
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 02:00:00
[1] => 0.2539
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-14 15:00:00
[1] => 0.2748
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 04:00:00
[1] => 0.2765
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 16:00:00
[1] => 0.2518
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-15 21:00:00
[1] => 0.2628
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 05:00:00
[1] => 0.2482
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
[1] => 0.2672
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:00:00
[1] => 0.215
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 16:00:00
[1] => 0.2304
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13020833333333
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.0232558139535
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.1627906976744
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 04:15:00
[1] => 0.215
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 05:30:00
[1] => 0.2252
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 06:15:00
[1] => 0.2174
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 07:15:00
[1] => 0.2301
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 10:30:00
[1] => 0.2194
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[1] => 0.2303
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 13:15:00
[1] => 0.2241
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 14:30:00
[1] => 0.2289
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 15:30:00
[1] => 0.2252
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 16:30:00
[1] => 0.2304
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13020833333333
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1758436944938
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3090586145648
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 10:35:00
[1] => 0.2194
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 10:50:00
[1] => 0.2238
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 11:35:00
[1] => 0.2211
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
[1] => 0.2303
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 13:20:00
[1] => 0.2241
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 14:35:00
[1] => 0.2289
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 14:55:00
[1] => 0.2264
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 15:30:00
[1] => 0.2252
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 16:30:00
[1] => 0.2304
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-17 16:40:00
[1] => 0.2304
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13020833333333
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1758436944938
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-17 10:35:00 | 0.2194 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 10:50:00 | 0.2238 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 11:35:00 | 0.2211 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 12:00:00 | 0.2303 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 13:20:00 | 0.2241 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 14:35:00 | 0.2289 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 14:55:00 | 0.2264 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 15:30:00 | 0.2252 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 16:30:00 | 0.2304 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 16:40:00 | 0.2304 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-17 04:15:00 | 0.215 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 05:30:00 | 0.2252 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 06:15:00 | 0.2174 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 07:15:00 | 0.2301 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 10:30:00 | 0.2194 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 12:00:00 | 0.2303 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 13:15:00 | 0.2241 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 14:30:00 | 0.2289 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 15:30:00 | 0.2252 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 16:30:00 | 0.2304 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 17:00:00 | 0.2883 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-14 02:00:00 | 0.2539 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-14 15:00:00 | 0.2748 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 04:00:00 | 0.2765 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-15 16:00:00 | 0.2518 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-15 21:00:00 | 0.2628 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-16 05:00:00 | 0.2482 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-16 08:00:00 | 0.2672 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-17 04:00:00 | 0.215 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-17 16:00:00 | 0.2304 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2025 16:49:15 |
17 Oct 2025 19:30:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2304 | 0.2317 | 0.2278 | 2 | 0.0978 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2317 - 0.2304 = 0.0013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2304 - 0.2278 = 0.0026
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0026 / 0.0013 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1432.2535 | 100 | 6216.3779 | 14.32 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0013 = 6153.85
Taille de position USD = 6153.85 x 0.2304 = 1417.85
Donc, tu peux acheter 6153.85 avec un stoploss a 0.2317
Avec un position size USD de 1417.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6153.85 x 0.0013 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6153.85 x 0.0026 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 16.16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.16 $ | 1.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.434 % | 76.92 % | 8 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2278
[stop_loss] => 0.2317
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.22715
[stop_loss] => 0.2317
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 20:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2265
[stop_loss] => 0.2317
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 20:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.22585
[stop_loss] => 0.2317
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 21:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2252
[stop_loss] => 0.2317
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 21:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.22455
[stop_loss] => 0.2317
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 21:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2239
[stop_loss] => 0.2317
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 21:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.22325
[stop_loss] => 0.2317
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 21:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2226
[stop_loss] => 0.2317
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 21:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.22195
[stop_loss] => 0.2317
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 21:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2213
[stop_loss] => 0.2317
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-10-17 21:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0017
[max_drawdown] => 0.001
[rr_ratio] => 1.7
[high] => 0.23140000
[low] => 0.22870000
[mfe_pct] => 0.74
[mae_pct] => 0.43
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.7
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T16:49:15-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T18:49:15-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0039
[max_drawdown] => 0.0033
[rr_ratio] => 1.18
[high] => 0.23370000
[low] => 0.22650000
[mfe_pct] => 1.69
[mae_pct] => 1.43
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.18
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-17T16:49:15-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-17T23:49:15-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.23040000
[high_after] => 0.23370000
[low_before] => 0.22410000
[low_after] => 0.22650000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)