Short Trade on ARPA 17 Oct 2025 at 17:12:58

Take profit at 0.02057 (1.58 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02106 (0.77 %)

Short Trade on ARPA

The 17 Oct 2025 at 17:12:58

With 49079.7757 ARPA at 0.0209$ per unit.

Position size of 1025.7673 $

Take profit at 0.02057 (1.58 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02106 (0.77 %)

That's a 2.06 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 3.36
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.95
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.622069

15m : -0.004427

1H : 0.039196

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.38
  4. atr: 0.0001086666199
Details
  1. score: 1.38
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0207897
  4. ema21 : 0.0212042
  5. ema50 : 0.0213005
  6. ema100 : 0.0208671
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0053021
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0195459
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00452266
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.00157647
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.488282
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.329412
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.105588
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.00146863
  17. rsi : 0.457148
  18. adx : 0.175936
  19. kc_percentage : 0.391276
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.124433
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.864929
  22. volume_ema1 : 60244.821859448
  23. volume_ema2 : 446023.50979315
  24. chop : 66.6358
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0205131
  29. ema21 : 0.0205706
  30. ema50 : 0.0209634
  31. ema100 : 0.0214005
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0188566
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00279363
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0187381
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0233912
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0236493
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.113561
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.133746
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.104507
  42. rsi : 0.57702
  43. adx : 0.224928
  44. kc_percentage : 0.876007
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0433779
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.621374
  47. volume_ema1 : 16646.301348166
  48. volume_ema2 : 43965.041328979
  49. chop : 56.2896
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0206318
  54. ema21 : 0.0205076
  55. ema50 : 0.0205167
  56. ema100 : 0.0207095
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0129991
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00605352
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000442195
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00919482
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.145677
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.084082
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0156112
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0151789
  67. rsi : 0.739833
  68. adx : 0.23767
  69. kc_percentage : 1.38284
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0209637
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.216789
  72. volume_ema1 : 4687.6227767269
  73. volume_ema2 : 5985.137124656
  74. chop : 26.2029
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    106334
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0082145
  81. 5m_price:
    107208
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.622069
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    106715
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00461976
  86. 15m_price:
    107208
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.004427
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    110019
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0255545
  91. 1H_price:
    107208
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.039196
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.01842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02379
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02058
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02279
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 02:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02017
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0192
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02446
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02045
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0239
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02009
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.55230125523
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0318566450971
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.964659034345
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02123
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 04:30:00
                        [1] => 0.02133
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 04:45:00
                        [1] => 0.02223
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02091
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 06:30:00
                        [1] => 0.02091
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 08:15:00
                        [1] => 0.02202
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 10:30:00
                        [1] => 0.02052
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0214
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 15:30:00
                        [1] => 0.02009
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02093
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14333492594363
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0318566450971
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.1811846689895
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 10:55:00
                        [1] => 0.02109
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0214
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 13:45:00
                        [1] => 0.02014
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 14:20:00
                        [1] => 0.02051
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 14:35:00
                        [1] => 0.02051
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 14:55:00
                        [1] => 0.02011
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 15:10:00
                        [1] => 0.02036
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 15:35:00
                        [1] => 0.02009
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 16:10:00
                        [1] => 0.02019
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 17:10:00
                        [1] => 0.02093
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14333492594363
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5165923724616
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6651807825656
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.67%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0003
1.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0005
2.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-17 10:55:00 0.02109 ↑ High
2025-10-17 12:00:00 0.0214 ↑ High
2025-10-17 13:45:00 0.02014 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 14:20:00 0.02051 ↑ High
2025-10-17 14:35:00 0.02051 ↑ High
2025-10-17 14:55:00 0.02011 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 15:10:00 0.02036 ↑ High
2025-10-17 15:35:00 0.02009 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 16:10:00 0.02019 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 17:10:00 0.02093 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0012
5.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0005
2.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-17 03:00:00 0.02123 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 04:30:00 0.02133 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 04:45:00 0.02223 ↑ High
2025-10-17 06:00:00 0.02091 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 06:30:00 0.02091 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 08:15:00 0.02202 ↑ High
2025-10-17 10:30:00 0.02052 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 12:00:00 0.0214 ↑ High
2025-10-17 15:30:00 0.02009 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 17:00:00 0.02093 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-12.55%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.03%
Bars Since Swing High
20 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
18.96%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0034
16.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0022
10.45%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-14 06:00:00 0.01842 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 11:00:00 0.02379 ↑ High
2025-10-14 15:00:00 0.02058 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 19:00:00 0.02279 ↑ High
2025-10-15 02:00:00 0.02017 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:00:00 0.0192 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:00:00 0.02446 ↑ High
2025-10-16 12:00:00 0.02045 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 0.0239 ↑ High
2025-10-17 15:00:00 0.02009 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Oct 2025
17:12:58
17 Oct 2025
17:45:00
32 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0209 0.02106 0.02057 2.06 0.00968
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0209
  • Stop Loss: 0.02106
  • Take Profit: 0.02057

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02106 - 0.0209 = 0.00016

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0209 - 0.02057 = 0.00033

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00033 / 0.00016 = 2.0625

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1025.7673 100 49079.7757 10.26
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00016

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00016 = 50000

Taille de position USD = 50000 x 0.0209 = 1045

Donc, tu peux acheter 50000 avec un stoploss a 0.02106

Avec un position size USD de 1045$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 50000 x 0.00016 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 50000 x 0.00033 = 16.5

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.5$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 50000
  • Taille de position USD 1045
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.5
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0625

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.58 % 16.2 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.77 % 7.85 $
PNL PNL %
-7.85 $ -0.77
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0526 % 137.49 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02057
            [entry_price] => 0.0209
            [stop_loss] => 0.021076
            [rr_ratio] => 1.87
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02057
            [entry_price] => 0.0209
            [stop_loss] => 0.021092
            [rr_ratio] => 1.72
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02057
            [entry_price] => 0.0209
            [stop_loss] => 0.021108
            [rr_ratio] => 1.59
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02057
            [entry_price] => 0.0209
            [stop_loss] => 0.02114
            [rr_ratio] => 1.37
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0004
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00022
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [high] => 0.02112000
            [low] => 0.02050000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.91
            [mae_pct] => 1.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.82
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:12:58-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T19:12:58-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0007
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00022
            [rr_ratio] => 3.18
            [high] => 0.02112000
            [low] => 0.02020000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.35
            [mae_pct] => 1.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:12:58-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-18T00:12:58-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.02093000
            [high_after] => 0.02112000
            [low_before] => 0.02009000
            [low_after] => 0.02020000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)