Short Trade on AAVE 17 Oct 2025 at 17:25:21

Take profit at 205.8122 (1.33 %) and Stop Loss at 209.9639 (0.66 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 17 Oct 2025 at 17:25:21

With 5.7808 AAVE at 208.58$ per unit.

Position size of 1205.7616 $

Take profit at 205.8122 (1.33 %) and Stop Loss at 209.9639 (0.66 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 3.05
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.79
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.12513

15m : 0.14139

1H : -0.045039

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.9225925271
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 206.213
  4. ema21 : 211.169
  5. ema50 : 222.748
  6. ema100 : 233.641
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0114736
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0234668
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0519839
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.107265
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.339831
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.452843
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.378297
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.262792
  17. rsi : 0.41169
  18. adx : 0.525589
  19. kc_percentage : 0.38558
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0884557
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.299469
  22. volume_ema1 : 1782372.3589655
  23. volume_ema2 : 2544317.2682978
  24. chop : 62.3871
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 206.313
  29. ema21 : 205.385
  30. ema50 : 207.153
  31. ema100 : 212.048
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0109846
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00452031
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0085367
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0163555
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.090594
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0306881
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0428574
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0712771
  42. rsi : 0.603012
  43. adx : 0.171875
  44. kc_percentage : 0.915709
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.036688
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.0699326
  47. volume_ema1 : 634437.57868428
  48. volume_ema2 : 592969.62670163
  49. chop : 53.1014
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 207.686
  54. ema21 : 206.45
  55. ema50 : 205.294
  56. ema100 : 205.014
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00430447
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00598682
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00562781
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0173893
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.130579
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0995107
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0534874
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0258951
  67. rsi : 0.694723
  68. adx : 0.335612
  69. kc_percentage : 1.06131
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.017531
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.196584
  72. volume_ema1 : 206596.72163246
  73. volume_ema2 : 172655.41006667
  74. chop : 41.867
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    106373
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00903128
  81. 5m_price:
    107334
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.12513
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    106705
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00582948
  86. 15m_price:
    107327
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.14139
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    110022
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0244314
  91. 1H_price:
    107334
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.045039
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Oct 2025
17:25:21
17 Oct 2025
19:20:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
208.58 209.9639 205.8122 2 114.94
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 208.58
  • Stop Loss: 209.9639
  • Take Profit: 205.8122

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 209.9639 - 208.58 = 1.3839

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 208.58 - 205.8122 = 2.7678

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.7678 / 1.3839 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1205.7616 100 5.7808 12.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.3839

Taille de position = 8 / 1.3839 = 5.78

Taille de position USD = 5.78 x 208.58 = 1205.59

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.78 avec un stoploss a 209.9639

Avec un position size USD de 1205.59$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.78 x 1.3839 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.78 x 2.7678 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.78
  • Taille de position USD 1205.59
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.33 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.66 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.33
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5226 % 78.76 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 205.8122
            [stop_loss] => 209.9639
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.84
            [max_drawdown] => 1.09
            [rr_ratio] => 2.61
            [high] => 209.67000000
            [low] => 205.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.36
            [mae_pct] => 0.52
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:25:21-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T19:25:21-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.28
            [max_drawdown] => 2.05
            [rr_ratio] => 1.6
            [high] => 210.63000000
            [low] => 205.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.57
            [mae_pct] => 0.98
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:25:21-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-18T00:25:21-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 209.52000000
            [high_after] => 209.67000000
            [low_before] => 201.23000000
            [low_after] => 205.30000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)