Short Trade on ARPA

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Short Trade on ARPA 17 Oct 2025 at 17:26:53

Take profit at 0.02067 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02115 (0.76 %)

Short Trade on ARPA

The 17 Oct 2025 at 17:26:53

With 50386.4584 ARPA at 0.02099$ per unit.

Position size of 1057.6118 $

Take profit at 0.02067 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02115 (0.76 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:

win

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: 90

ML Pullback Score: 6.3

Prediction Score: 1

Prediction 1	Probability
Weak Trade	0.91

Prediction 2	Probability
0	0.8

Prediction 3	Probability
0	0.72

BTC Market Regime	Coin Market Regime
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low	1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Market Regime

Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation	Score
5m : 0.628303 15m : 0.028343 1H : -0.033028	1

BTC Correlation

Score

5m : 0.628303

15m : 0.028343

1H : -0.033028

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
short_kc: True
short_kc_percentage: 0.35
atr: 0.0001058485454

Details

score: 1.35
1H
ema9 : 0.0208077
ema21 : 0.0212124
ema50 : 0.021304
ema100 : 0.0208688
price_ema9_diff : 0.00875776
ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0190755
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00430353
price_ema100_diff : 0.00580358
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
ema_slope_9 : -0.481489
ema_slope_21 : -0.326324
ema_slope_50 : -0.104224
ema_slope_100 : 0.00218047
rsi : 0.466862
adx : 0.173937
kc_percentage : 0.42399
kc_width_percentage : 0.126186
volume_ema_diff : -0.85223
volume_ema1 : 66009.023924448
volume_ema2 : 446701.65121256
chop : 66.6619
regime : bear_high
15m
ema9 : 0.0205985
ema21 : 0.0206042
ema50 : 0.0209656
ema100 : 0.0214144
price_ema9_diff : 0.0190036
ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000276346
ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0172386
price_ema100_diff : -0.0198216
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
ema_slope_9 : 0.0224305
ema_slope_21 : -0.0848786
ema_slope_50 : -0.121595
ema_slope_100 : -0.100933
rsi : 0.587108
adx : 0.217288
kc_percentage : 0.959092
kc_width_percentage : 0.0409496
volume_ema_diff : -0.672313
volume_ema1 : 14022.544192111
volume_ema2 : 42792.621363483
chop : 54.6551
regime : bear_high
5m
ema9 : 0.0208002
ema21 : 0.0206238
ema50 : 0.0205669
ema100 : 0.020714
price_ema9_diff : 0.00912472
ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00855102
ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00276629
price_ema100_diff : 0.0133229
all_emas_in_trend : True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
ema_slope_9 : 0.184863
ema_slope_21 : 0.11948
ema_slope_50 : 0.0397021
ema_slope_100 : -0.000160974
rsi : 0.765461
adx : 0.309247
kc_percentage : 1.34864
kc_width_percentage : 0.020044
volume_ema_diff : -0.341192
volume_ema1 : 4048.384438845
volume_ema2 : 6145.0200198945
chop : 26.5044
regime : bull_medium
btc_indicators
btc_indicators
5m_ema100:
```
106335
```
5m_price_ema100_diff:
```
0.00906876
```
5m_price:
```
107300
```
5m_correlation_with_coin:
```
0.628303
```
btc_indicators
15m_ema100:
```
106705
```
15m_price_ema100_diff:
```
0.00582948
```
15m_price:
```
107327
```
15m_correlation_with_coin:
```
0.028343
```
btc_indicators
1H_ema100:
```
110021
```
1H_price_ema100_diff:
```
-0.0247353
```
1H_price:
```
107300
```
1H_correlation_with_coin:
```
-0.033028
```

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
17 Oct 2025 17:26:53	17 Oct 2025 18:30:00	1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.02099	0.02115	0.02067	2	0.00969

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.02099
Stop Loss: 0.02115
Take Profit: 0.02067

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.02115 - 0.02099 = 0.00016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.02099 - 0.02067 = 0.00032
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00032 / 0.00016 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
1057.6118	100	50386.4584	10.58

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00016

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00016 = 50000

Taille de position USD = 50000 x 0.02099 = 1049.5

Donc, tu peux acheter 50000 avec un stoploss a 0.02115

Avec un position size USD de 1049.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 50000 x 0.00016 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 50000 x 0.00032 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

Taille de position 50000
Taille de position USD 1049.5
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 16
Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
1.52 %	16.12 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.76 %	8.06 $

PNL	PNL %
16.12 $	1.52

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.6193 %	81.24 %	4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02067
            [stop_loss] => 0.02115
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 18:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02059
            [stop_loss] => 0.02115
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 18:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02051
            [stop_loss] => 0.02115
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02043
            [stop_loss] => 0.02115
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02035
            [stop_loss] => 0.02115
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02027
            [stop_loss] => 0.02115
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0005
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00013
            [rr_ratio] => 3.85
            [high] => 0.02112000
            [low] => 0.02049000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.38
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:26:53-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T19:26:53-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00079
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00013
            [rr_ratio] => 6.08
            [high] => 0.02112000
            [low] => 0.02020000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.76
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:26:53-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-18T00:26:53-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.02104000
            [high_after] => 0.02112000
            [low_before] => 0.02009000
            [low_after] => 0.02020000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)