Short Trade on ARPA 17 Oct 2025 at 17:40:22

Take profit at 0.02061 (1.43 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02106 (0.72 %)

Short Trade on ARPA

The 17 Oct 2025 at 17:40:22

With 53556.7854 ARPA at 0.02091$ per unit.

Position size of 1119.8724 $

Take profit at 0.02061 (1.43 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02106 (0.72 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 4.2
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.85
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.643133

15m : 0.152403

1H : 0.030154

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 9.958277552E-5
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0207917
  4. ema21 : 0.0212051
  5. ema50 : 0.0213009
  6. ema100 : 0.0208673
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00568636
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0194936
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00449831
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.00204618
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.487527
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.329069
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.105436
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.00154772
  17. rsi : 0.458245
  18. adx : 0.173937
  19. kc_percentage : 0.396662
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.126669
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.845526
  22. volume_ema1 : 69058.898649448
  23. volume_ema2 : 447060.46000374
  24. chop : 66.6619
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0206684
  29. ema21 : 0.0206355
  30. ema50 : 0.0209617
  31. ema100 : 0.0213809
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0116872
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00159235
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0155596
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0220248
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0698637
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.054012
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.106424
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0917694
  42. rsi : 0.585856
  43. adx : 0.21797
  44. kc_percentage : 0.838645
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0396736
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.718485
  47. volume_ema1 : 11931.461808074
  48. volume_ema2 : 42383.051094119
  49. chop : 49.7884
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0208615
  54. ema21 : 0.0206986
  55. ema50 : 0.02061
  56. ema100 : 0.0207463
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00232349
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00786782
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00430166
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00788962
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.179343
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.132625
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0539197
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00750895
  67. rsi : 0.680807
  68. adx : 0.359958
  69. kc_percentage : 1.02125
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.018474
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.516491
  72. volume_ema1 : 2709.2823474356
  73. volume_ema2 : 5603.3775328786
  74. chop : 35.635
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    106468
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00737465
  81. 5m_price:
    107253
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.643133
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    106724
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00512168
  86. 15m_price:
    107271
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.152403
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    110020
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0251498
  91. 1H_price:
    107253
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.030154
  93. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Oct 2025
17:40:22
17 Oct 2025
17:45:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02091 0.02106 0.02061 2 0.00969
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02091
  • Stop Loss: 0.02106
  • Take Profit: 0.02061

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02106 - 0.02091 = 0.00015

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02091 - 0.02061 = 0.0003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0003 / 0.00015 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1119.8724 100 53556.7854 11.20
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00015

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00015 = 53333.33

Taille de position USD = 53333.33 x 0.02091 = 1115.2

Donc, tu peux acheter 53333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.02106

Avec un position size USD de 1115.2$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 53333.33 x 0.00015 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 53333.33 x 0.0003 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 53333.33
  • Taille de position USD 1115.2
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.43 % 16.07 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.72 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-8.03 $ -0.72
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0043 % 139.99 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02061
            [entry_price] => 0.02091
            [stop_loss] => 0.021075
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02061
            [entry_price] => 0.02091
            [stop_loss] => 0.02109
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02061
            [entry_price] => 0.02091
            [stop_loss] => 0.021105
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02061
            [entry_price] => 0.02091
            [stop_loss] => 0.021135
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 18:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00057
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00021
            [rr_ratio] => 2.71
            [high] => 0.02112000
            [low] => 0.02034000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.73
            [mae_pct] => 1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.71
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:40:22-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T19:40:22-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00071
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00021
            [rr_ratio] => 3.38
            [high] => 0.02112000
            [low] => 0.02020000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.4
            [mae_pct] => 1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.38
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T17:40:22-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-18T00:40:22-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.02104000
            [high_after] => 0.02112000
            [low_before] => 0.02009000
            [low_after] => 0.02020000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)