Short Trade on ARPA 17 Oct 2025 at 18:02:34

Take profit at 0.02073 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02116 (0.67 %)

Short Trade on ARPA

The 17 Oct 2025 at 18:02:34

With 56031.9276 ARPA at 0.02102$ per unit.

Position size of 1177.7911 $

Take profit at 0.02073 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 0.02116 (0.67 %)

That's a 2.07 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 110
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.9
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.93
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.87
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.631705

15m : 0.219995

1H : 0.195247

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 9.518382761E-5
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.020863
  4. ema21 : 0.0212016
  5. ema50 : 0.0213175
  6. ema100 : 0.0210331
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00752449
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0159703
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00543925
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.000623582
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.384788
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.295846
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.1042
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0144798
  17. rsi : 0.470168
  18. adx : 0.1617
  19. kc_percentage : 0.433532
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.115917
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.879518
  22. volume_ema1 : 52507.056831299
  23. volume_ema2 : 435811.26092727
  24. chop : 69.4636
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0208106
  29. ema21 : 0.0207109
  30. ema50 : 0.0209714
  31. ema100 : 0.0213772
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0100581
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0048157
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0124213
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0167108
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.170168
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0154316
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0726374
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.07608
  42. rsi : 0.599493
  43. adx : 0.222053
  44. kc_percentage : 0.904626
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0365686
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.691416
  47. volume_ema1 : 11872.199004144
  48. volume_ema2 : 38473.193086718
  49. chop : 45.3378
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.020973
  54. ema21 : 0.0208117
  55. ema50 : 0.0206717
  56. ema100 : 0.020736
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00223988
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00774975
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00677237
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0136921
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.184621
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.15146
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0757583
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0255291
  67. rsi : 0.710996
  68. adx : 0.399476
  69. kc_percentage : 1.04125
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0173186
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.293058
  72. volume_ema1 : 3997.6795683206
  73. volume_ema2 : 5654.8945990156
  74. chop : 33.6854
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    106516
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00680067
  81. 5m_price:
    107240
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.631705
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    106778
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00433452
  86. 15m_price:
    107240
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.219995
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    110049
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0255174
  91. 1H_price:
    107240
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.195247
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.01842
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02379
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02058
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-14 19:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02279
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 02:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02017
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-15 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0192
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02446
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02045
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-16 21:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0239
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02009
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.301255230126
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.330512692882
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.964659034345
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 03:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02123
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 04:30:00
                        [1] => 0.02133
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 04:45:00
                        [1] => 0.02223
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02091
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 06:30:00
                        [1] => 0.02091
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 08:15:00
                        [1] => 0.02202
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 10:30:00
                        [1] => 0.02052
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0214
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 15:30:00
                        [1] => 0.02009
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
                        [1] => 0.02112
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.75757575757576
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.330512692882
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1269288203086
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 10:55:00
                        [1] => 0.02109
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0214
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 13:45:00
                        [1] => 0.02014
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 14:20:00
                        [1] => 0.02051
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 14:35:00
                        [1] => 0.02051
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 14:55:00
                        [1] => 0.02011
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 15:10:00
                        [1] => 0.02036
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 15:35:00
                        [1] => 0.02009
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 16:10:00
                        [1] => 0.02019
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-10-17 17:45:00
                        [1] => 0.02112
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.75757575757576
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8137691926696
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6062407132244
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.76%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.81%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
22 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.61%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0002
1.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0006
3.09%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-17 10:55:00 0.02109 ↑ High
2025-10-17 12:00:00 0.0214 ↑ High
2025-10-17 13:45:00 0.02014 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 14:20:00 0.02051 ↑ High
2025-10-17 14:35:00 0.02051 ↑ High
2025-10-17 14:55:00 0.02011 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 15:10:00 0.02036 ↑ High
2025-10-17 15:35:00 0.02009 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 16:10:00 0.02019 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 17:45:00 0.02112 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.76%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.33%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.13%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0011
5.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0006
3.09%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-17 03:00:00 0.02123 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 04:30:00 0.02133 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 04:45:00 0.02223 ↑ High
2025-10-17 06:00:00 0.02091 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 06:30:00 0.02091 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 08:15:00 0.02202 ↑ High
2025-10-17 10:30:00 0.02052 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 12:00:00 0.0214 ↑ High
2025-10-17 15:30:00 0.02009 ↓ Low
2025-10-17 17:45:00 0.02112 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-12.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.33%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
18.96%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0033
15.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0023
11.14%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-14 06:00:00 0.01842 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 11:00:00 0.02379 ↑ High
2025-10-14 15:00:00 0.02058 ↓ Low
2025-10-14 19:00:00 0.02279 ↑ High
2025-10-15 02:00:00 0.02017 ↓ Low
2025-10-15 22:00:00 0.0192 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 08:00:00 0.02446 ↑ High
2025-10-16 12:00:00 0.02045 ↓ Low
2025-10-16 21:00:00 0.0239 ↑ High
2025-10-17 15:00:00 0.02009 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Oct 2025
18:02:34
17 Oct 2025
18:20:00
17 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02102 0.02116 0.02073 2.07 0.00966
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02102
  • Stop Loss: 0.02116
  • Take Profit: 0.02073

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02116 - 0.02102 = 0.00014

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02102 - 0.02073 = 0.00029

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00029 / 0.00014 = 2.0714

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1177.7911 100 56031.9276 11.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00014

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00014 = 57142.86

Taille de position USD = 57142.86 x 0.02102 = 1201.14

Donc, tu peux acheter 57142.86 avec un stoploss a 0.02116

Avec un position size USD de 1201.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 57142.86 x 0.00014 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 57142.86 x 0.00029 = 16.57

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.57$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 57142.86
  • Taille de position USD 1201.14
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.57
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0714

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.38 % 16.25 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.67 % 7.84 $
PNL PNL %
16.25 $ 1.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02074
            [stop_loss] => 0.02116
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 18:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02067
            [stop_loss] => 0.02116
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 18:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0206
            [stop_loss] => 0.02116
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 18:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02053
            [stop_loss] => 0.02116
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02046
            [stop_loss] => 0.02116
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02039
            [stop_loss] => 0.02116
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02032
            [stop_loss] => 0.02116
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.02025
            [stop_loss] => 0.02116
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-17 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00081
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.02096000
            [low] => 0.02021000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.85
            [mae_pct] => -0.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T18:02:34-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-17T20:02:34-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00082
            [max_drawdown] => 7.0000000000001E-5
            [rr_ratio] => 11.71
            [high] => 0.02109000
            [low] => 0.02020000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.9
            [mae_pct] => 0.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.71
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-17T18:02:34-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-18T01:02:34-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.02112000
            [high_after] => 0.02109000
            [low_before] => 0.02009000
            [low_after] => 0.02020000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)