Long Trade on UMA 20 Oct 2025 at 11:46:14
Take profit at 1.2277 (1.86 %) and Stop Loss at 1.1941 (0.93 %)
Long Trade on UMA 20 Oct 2025 at 11:46:14
Take profit at 1.2277 (1.86 %) and Stop Loss at 1.1941 (0.93 %)
Position size of 862.1827 $
Take profit at 1.2277 (1.86 %) and Stop Loss at 1.1941 (0.93 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.65 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.027175 15m : -0.018887 1H : 0.06186 |
2 |
Indicators:
111011
0.00247413
111285
0.027175
110032
0.0113924
111285
-0.018887
108822
0.0226325
111285
0.06186
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-18 05:00:00
[1] => 1.1264
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-18 10:00:00
[1] => 1.0365
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-18 18:00:00
[1] => 1.1579
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-18 22:00:00
[1] => 1.0883
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 03:00:00
[1] => 1.2037
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 04:00:00
[1] => 1.0674
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 14:00:00
[1] => 1.1205
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 22:00:00
[1] => 1.1135
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 04:00:00
[1] => 1.3282
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 10:00:00
[1] => 1.2022
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -9.2606535160367
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.24954250540676
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.480785227084
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 20:15:00
[1] => 1.1226
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 20:30:00
[1] => 1.1455
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 22:00:00
[1] => 1.1135
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 23:45:00
[1] => 1.1543
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 04:15:00
[1] => 1.3282
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 06:00:00
[1] => 1.2568
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 08:15:00
[1] => 1.2039
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 10:00:00
[1] => 1.2022
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 10:30:00
[1] => 1.2496
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 11:30:00
[1] => 1.2026
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.5531370038412
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.21619823715285
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9081989023782
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 05:25:00
[1] => 1.2124
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 06:05:00
[1] => 1.2568
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 07:30:00
[1] => 1.2078
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 08:15:00
[1] => 1.2039
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 08:45:00
[1] => 1.2141
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 09:10:00
[1] => 1.2041
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 09:30:00
[1] => 1.2164
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 10:00:00
[1] => 1.2022
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 10:35:00
[1] => 1.2496
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 11:40:00
[1] => 1.2026
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.5531370038412
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.21619823715285
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9081989023782
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 05:25:00 | 1.2124 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 06:05:00 | 1.2568 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 07:30:00 | 1.2078 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 08:15:00 | 1.2039 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 08:45:00 | 1.2141 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 09:10:00 | 1.2041 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 09:30:00 | 1.2164 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 10:00:00 | 1.2022 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 10:35:00 | 1.2496 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 11:40:00 | 1.2026 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 20:15:00 | 1.1226 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 20:30:00 | 1.1455 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-19 22:00:00 | 1.1135 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 23:45:00 | 1.1543 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 04:15:00 | 1.3282 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 06:00:00 | 1.2568 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 08:15:00 | 1.2039 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 10:00:00 | 1.2022 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 10:30:00 | 1.2496 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 11:30:00 | 1.2026 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 05:00:00 | 1.1264 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-18 10:00:00 | 1.0365 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-18 18:00:00 | 1.1579 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-18 22:00:00 | 1.0883 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 03:00:00 | 1.2037 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-19 04:00:00 | 1.0674 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 14:00:00 | 1.1205 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 22:00:00 | 1.1135 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 04:00:00 | 1.3282 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 10:00:00 | 1.2022 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2025 11:46:14 |
20 Oct 2025 11:55:00 |
8 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2053 | 1.1941 | 1.2277 | 2 | 0.4545 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1941 - 1.2053 = -0.0112
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2053 - 1.2277 = -0.0224
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0224 / -0.0112 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 862.1827 | 100 | 715.3262 | 8.62 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0112 = -714.29
Taille de position USD = -714.29 x 1.2053 = -860.93
Donc, tu peux acheter -714.29 avec un stoploss a 1.1941
Avec un position size USD de -860.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -714.29 x -0.0112 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -714.29 x -0.0224 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.86 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.93 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9541 % | 102.68 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2277
[entry_price] => 1.2053
[stop_loss] => 1.19298
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-20 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2277
[entry_price] => 1.2053
[stop_loss] => 1.19186
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-20 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2277
[entry_price] => 1.2053
[stop_loss] => 1.19074
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-20 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2277
[entry_price] => 1.2053
[stop_loss] => 1.1885
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-20 12:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0069999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.0308
[rr_ratio] => 0.23
[high] => 1.21230000
[low] => 1.17450000
[mfe_pct] => 0.58
[mae_pct] => 2.56
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.23
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-20T11:46:14-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-20T13:46:14-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0069999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.0308
[rr_ratio] => 0.23
[high] => 1.21230000
[low] => 1.17450000
[mfe_pct] => 0.58
[mae_pct] => 2.56
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.23
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-20T11:46:14-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-20T18:46:14-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.24960000
[high_after] => 1.21230000
[low_before] => 1.20220000
[low_after] => 1.17450000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)