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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 21 Oct 2025 at 03:32:52

Take profit at 19.5852 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 19.8039 (0.37 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 21 Oct 2025 at 03:32:52

With 109.7082 AVAX at 19.731$ per unit.

Position size of 2164.6517 $

Take profit at 19.5852 (0.74 %) and Stop Loss at 19.8039 (0.37 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.16
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.7
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.738327

15m : -0.142539

1H : -0.065617

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.04861382655
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 19.8524
  4. ema21 : 20.1363
  5. ema50 : 20.3175
  6. ema100 : 20.3693
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00611887
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0140986
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00891648
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0313369
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.285431
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.192948
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0861065
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0412209
  17. rsi : 0.339713
  18. adx : 0.30049
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0210407
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0412228
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.0730096
  22. volume_ema1 : 1257401.0802243
  23. volume_ema2 : 1356433.8275504
  24. chop : 36.1854
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 19.6432
  28. ema21 : 19.728
  29. ema50 : 19.9877
  30. ema100 : 20.2718
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00446776
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00430123
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0129922
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0266792
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0662078
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.110258
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.100445
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0756069
  41. rsi : 0.459674
  42. adx : 0.524923
  43. kc_percentage : 0.53457
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0186826
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.557863
  46. volume_ema1 : 163082.91012928
  47. volume_ema2 : 368851.91984825
  48. chop : 61.0167
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 19.6654
  52. ema21 : 19.633
  53. ema50 : 19.6859
  54. ema100 : 19.8416
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00333212
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00165328
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00268883
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00557499
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0421062
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0251274
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00787454
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0213113
  65. rsi : 0.624589
  66. adx : 0.235298
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02735
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00932412
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.56291
  70. volume_ema1 : 50222.387381832
  71. volume_ema2 : 114901.91359975
  72. chop : 58.908
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    108767
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00664754
  78. 5m_price: 
    108044
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.738327
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    109873
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.016645
  83. 15m_price: 
    108044
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.142539
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    108755
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00654396
  88. 1H_price: 
    108044
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.065617
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-18 12:00:00
                    [1] => 19.818
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-18 16:00:00
                    [1] => 20.276
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-18 23:00:00
                    [1] => 20.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-19 05:00:00
                    [1] => 19.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 20.837
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 20.153
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 02:00:00
                    [1] => 21.212
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 13:00:00
                    [1] => 20.223
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 17:00:00
                    [1] => 20.623
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-21 01:00:00
                    [1] => 19.456
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3543616350676
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3826069078947
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.9981496710526
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 06:30:00
                    [1] => 20.883
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 07:15:00
                    [1] => 20.613
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 09:15:00
                    [1] => 20.541
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 11:00:00
                    [1] => 20.865
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 12:00:00
                    [1] => 20.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 13:30:00
                    [1] => 20.223
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 17:00:00
                    [1] => 20.623
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 18:00:00
                    [1] => 20.332
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-21 01:00:00
                    [1] => 19.456
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-21 03:30:00
                    [1] => 19.74
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.075987841945274
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3826069078947
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4597039473684
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 21:00:00
                    [1] => 20.137
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 22:25:00
                    [1] => 19.949
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 22:40:00
                    [1] => 20.047
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-20 22:55:00
                    [1] => 19.91
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-21 01:05:00
                    [1] => 19.456
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-21 01:35:00
                    [1] => 19.603
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-21 02:00:00
                    [1] => 19.467
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-21 02:50:00
                    [1] => 19.663
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-21 03:10:00
                    [1] => 19.574
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-21 03:30:00
                    [1] => 19.74
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.075987841945274
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.77143149075304
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.84806375804637
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.77%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.85%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2431
1.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1292
0.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-20 21:00:00 20.137 ↓ Low
2025-10-20 22:25:00 19.949 ↓ Low
2025-10-20 22:40:00 20.047 ↑ High
2025-10-20 22:55:00 19.91 ↓ Low
2025-10-21 01:05:00 19.456 ↓ Low
2025-10-21 01:35:00 19.603 ↑ High
2025-10-21 02:00:00 19.467 ↓ Low
2025-10-21 02:50:00 19.663 ↑ High
2025-10-21 03:10:00 19.574 ↓ Low
2025-10-21 03:30:00 19.74 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.38%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0791
5.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1292
0.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-20 06:30:00 20.883 ↑ High
2025-10-20 07:15:00 20.613 ↓ Low
2025-10-20 09:15:00 20.541 ↓ Low
2025-10-20 11:00:00 20.865 ↑ High
2025-10-20 12:00:00 20.23 ↓ Low
2025-10-20 13:30:00 20.223 ↓ Low
2025-10-20 17:00:00 20.623 ↑ High
2025-10-20 18:00:00 20.332 ↓ Low
2025-10-21 01:00:00 19.456 ↓ Low
2025-10-21 03:30:00 19.74 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.38%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.4081
7.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1292
0.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-18 12:00:00 19.818 ↓ Low
2025-10-18 16:00:00 20.276 ↑ High
2025-10-18 23:00:00 20.28 ↑ High
2025-10-19 05:00:00 19.74 ↓ Low
2025-10-19 13:00:00 20.837 ↑ High
2025-10-19 20:00:00 20.153 ↓ Low
2025-10-20 02:00:00 21.212 ↑ High
2025-10-20 13:00:00 20.223 ↓ Low
2025-10-20 17:00:00 20.623 ↑ High
2025-10-21 01:00:00 19.456 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Oct 2025
03:32:52		 21 Oct 2025
05:20:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
19.731 19.8039 19.5852 2 9.032
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 19.731
  • Stop Loss: 19.8039
  • Take Profit: 19.5852

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 19.8039 - 19.731 = 0.072899999999997

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 19.731 - 19.5852 = 0.1458

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1458 / 0.072899999999997 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2164.6517 100 109.7082 21.65
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.072899999999997

Taille de position = 8 / 0.072899999999997 = 109.74

Taille de position USD = 109.74 x 19.731 = 2165.28

Donc, tu peux acheter 109.74 avec un stoploss a 19.8039

Avec un position size USD de 2165.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 109.74 x 0.072899999999997 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 109.74 x 0.1458 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 109.74
  • Taille de position USD 2165.28
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.74 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.37 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.37
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4967 % 134.42 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 19.5852
            [entry_price] => 19.731
            [stop_loss] => 19.81119
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-21 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 19.5852
            [entry_price] => 19.731
            [stop_loss] => 19.81848
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-21 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 19.5852
            [entry_price] => 19.731
            [stop_loss] => 19.82577
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-21 05:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 19.5852
            [entry_price] => 19.731
            [stop_loss] => 19.84035
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-21 06:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.137
            [max_drawdown] => 0.107
            [rr_ratio] => 1.28
            [high] => 19.83800000
            [low] => 19.59400000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.69
            [mae_pct] => 0.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-21T03:32:52-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-21T05:32:52-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.137
            [max_drawdown] => 0.616
            [rr_ratio] => 0.22
            [high] => 20.34700000
            [low] => 19.59400000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.69
            [mae_pct] => 3.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-21T03:32:52-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-21T10:32:52-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 19.93200000
            [high_after] => 20.17400000
            [low_before] => 19.45600000
            [low_after] => 19.59400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)