Short Trade on ETHFI 21 Oct 2025 at 08:45:59
Take profit at 1.007 (1.27 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0265 (0.64 %)
Short Trade on ETHFI 21 Oct 2025 at 08:45:59
Take profit at 1.007 (1.27 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0265 (0.64 %)
Position size of 1256.4583 $
Take profit at 1.007 (1.27 %) and Stop Loss at 1.0265 (0.64 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.94 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.84 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.750244 15m : 0.032521 1H : 0.009688 |
0 |
Indicators:
108133
0.0105848
109278
0.750244
109257
0.00019367
109278
0.032521
108167
0.0102691
109278
0.009688
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-18 12:00:00
[1] => 1.0506
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-18 16:00:00
[1] => 1.0791
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-18 20:00:00
[1] => 1.0588
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 05:00:00
[1] => 1.0465
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 13:00:00
[1] => 1.1196
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 20:00:00
[1] => 1.0479
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 02:00:00
[1] => 1.1336
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 10:00:00
[1] => 1.1215
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 07:00:00
[1] => 0.9931
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 08:00:00
[1] => 1.0228
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83105201407899
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1347296344779
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9906353841506
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 10:45:00
[1] => 1.1215
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 12:00:00
[1] => 1.0682
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 15:15:00
[1] => 1.064
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 17:00:00
[1] => 1.0841
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 18:00:00
[1] => 1.0672
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 03:00:00
[1] => 1.0044
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 05:45:00
[1] => 0.9965
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 06:45:00
[1] => 1.0117
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 07:30:00
[1] => 0.9931
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 08:30:00
[1] => 1.0228
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83105201407899
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1347296344779
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9906353841506
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 03:30:00
[1] => 1.0153
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 04:50:00
[1] => 1.0131
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 05:00:00
[1] => 1.0011
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 05:55:00
[1] => 0.9965
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 06:05:00
[1] => 1.0052
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 06:25:00
[1] => 0.9974
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 06:50:00
[1] => 1.0117
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 07:30:00
[1] => 0.9931
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 07:40:00
[1] => 1.0045
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 08:40:00
[1] => 1.0228
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83105201407899
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1347296344779
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8218018914883
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 03:30:00 | 1.0153 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 04:50:00 | 1.0131 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 05:00:00 | 1.0011 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 05:55:00 | 0.9965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 06:05:00 | 1.0052 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 06:25:00 | 0.9974 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 06:50:00 | 1.0117 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 07:30:00 | 0.9931 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 07:40:00 | 1.0045 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 08:40:00 | 1.0228 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 10:45:00 | 1.1215 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 12:00:00 | 1.0682 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 15:15:00 | 1.064 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 17:00:00 | 1.0841 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 18:00:00 | 1.0672 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 03:00:00 | 1.0044 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 05:45:00 | 0.9965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 06:45:00 | 1.0117 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 07:30:00 | 0.9931 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 08:30:00 | 1.0228 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 12:00:00 | 1.0506 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-18 16:00:00 | 1.0791 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-18 20:00:00 | 1.0588 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 05:00:00 | 1.0465 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 13:00:00 | 1.1196 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-19 20:00:00 | 1.0479 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 02:00:00 | 1.1336 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 10:00:00 | 1.1215 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 07:00:00 | 0.9931 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 08:00:00 | 1.0228 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 08:45:59 |
21 Oct 2025 09:05:00 |
19 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | 1.0265 | 1.007 | 2 | 0.4948 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0265 - 1.02 = 0.0065
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.02 - 1.007 = 0.013
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.013 / 0.0065 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1256.4583 | 100 | 1231.8218 | 12.56 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0065 = 1230.77
Taille de position USD = 1230.77 x 1.02 = 1255.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 1230.77 avec un stoploss a 1.0265
Avec un position size USD de 1255.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1230.77 x 0.0065 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1230.77 x 0.013 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.27 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 1.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.007
[stop_loss] => 1.0265
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 09:05:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.00375
[stop_loss] => 1.0265
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 09:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.0005
[stop_loss] => 1.0265
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 10:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.99725
[stop_loss] => 1.0265
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 10:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.994
[stop_loss] => 1.0265
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 10:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.99075
[stop_loss] => 1.0265
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 10:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.9875
[stop_loss] => 1.0265
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 10:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.98425
[stop_loss] => 1.0265
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 10:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.981
[stop_loss] => 1.0265
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 10:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.97775
[stop_loss] => 1.0265
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 10:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.9745
[stop_loss] => 1.0265
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 10:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0178
[max_drawdown] => 0.0434
[rr_ratio] => 0.41
[high] => 1.06340000
[low] => 1.00220000
[mfe_pct] => 1.75
[mae_pct] => 4.25
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.41
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-21T08:45:59-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-21T10:45:59-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0178
[max_drawdown] => 0.0998
[rr_ratio] => 0.18
[high] => 1.11980000
[low] => 1.00220000
[mfe_pct] => 1.75
[mae_pct] => 9.78
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.18
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-21T08:45:59-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-21T15:45:59-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.02280000
[high_after] => 1.11980000
[low_before] => 0.99310000
[low_after] => 1.00220000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)