Long Trade on MERL 21 Oct 2025 at 17:22:49
Take profit at 0.369 (1.88 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3588 (0.94 %)
Long Trade on MERL 21 Oct 2025 at 17:22:49
Take profit at 0.369 (1.88 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3588 (0.94 %)
Position size of 847.0561 $
Take profit at 0.369 (1.88 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3588 (0.94 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.59 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.43 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.79 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.055258 15m : 0.016849 1H : -0.079159 |
2 |
Indicators:
111198
-0.00310713
110853
0.055258
110398
0.00411912
110853
0.016849
108969
0.0172897
110853
-0.079159
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-18 18:00:00
[1] => 0.3108
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-18 23:00:00
[1] => 0.3027
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 16:00:00
[1] => 0.3382
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 22:00:00
[1] => 0.3254
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 23:00:00
[1] => 0.3444
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 09:00:00
[1] => 0.34
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 15:00:00
[1] => 0.3238
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 20:00:00
[1] => 0.3402
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 05:00:00
[1] => 0.3226
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 15:00:00
[1] => 0.3828
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6165099268547
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.996280223187
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.660880347179
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 22:15:00
[1] => 0.3352
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 22:30:00
[1] => 0.3394
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 02:00:00
[1] => 0.3316
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 04:00:00
[1] => 0.3353
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 05:00:00
[1] => 0.3226
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 08:00:00
[1] => 0.3385
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 09:45:00
[1] => 0.3352
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 12:15:00
[1] => 0.3694
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 15:45:00
[1] => 0.3828
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 17:15:00
[1] => 0.3613
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6165099268547
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.9507334624965
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 10:20:00
[1] => 0.3376
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 12:15:00
[1] => 0.3694
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 12:55:00
[1] => 0.3537
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 13:25:00
[1] => 0.3605
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 13:50:00
[1] => 0.3542
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 14:20:00
[1] => 0.3622
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 14:40:00
[1] => 0.3575
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 15:55:00
[1] => 0.3828
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 16:25:00
[1] => 0.366
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 17:20:00
[1] => 0.3613
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6165099268547
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3008580127318
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 10:20:00 | 0.3376 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 12:15:00 | 0.3694 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 12:55:00 | 0.3537 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 13:25:00 | 0.3605 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 13:50:00 | 0.3542 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 14:20:00 | 0.3622 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 14:40:00 | 0.3575 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 15:55:00 | 0.3828 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 16:25:00 | 0.366 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 17:20:00 | 0.3613 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 22:15:00 | 0.3352 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 22:30:00 | 0.3394 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 02:00:00 | 0.3316 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 04:00:00 | 0.3353 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 05:00:00 | 0.3226 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 08:00:00 | 0.3385 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 09:45:00 | 0.3352 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 12:15:00 | 0.3694 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 15:45:00 | 0.3828 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 17:15:00 | 0.3613 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 18:00:00 | 0.3108 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-18 23:00:00 | 0.3027 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 16:00:00 | 0.3382 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-19 22:00:00 | 0.3254 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 23:00:00 | 0.3444 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 09:00:00 | 0.34 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 15:00:00 | 0.3238 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 20:00:00 | 0.3402 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 05:00:00 | 0.3226 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 15:00:00 | 0.3828 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 17:22:49 |
21 Oct 2025 18:10:00 |
47 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3622 | 0.3588 | 0.369 | 2 | 0.0433 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3588 - 0.3622 = -0.0034
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3622 - 0.369 = -0.0068
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0068 / -0.0034 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 847.0561 | 100 | 2338.642 | 8.47 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0034 = -2352.94
Taille de position USD = -2352.94 x 0.3622 = -852.23
Donc, tu peux acheter -2352.94 avec un stoploss a 0.3588
Avec un position size USD de -852.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2352.94 x -0.0034 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2352.94 x -0.0068 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.88 % | 15.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.95 $ | -0.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0491 % | 111.76 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.369
[entry_price] => 0.3622
[stop_loss] => 0.35846
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 18:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.369
[entry_price] => 0.3622
[stop_loss] => 0.35812
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 18:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.369
[entry_price] => 0.3622
[stop_loss] => 0.35778
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 18:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.369
[entry_price] => 0.3622
[stop_loss] => 0.3571
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-21 18:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0017
[max_drawdown] => 0.0086
[rr_ratio] => 0.2
[high] => 0.36390000
[low] => 0.35360000
[mfe_pct] => 0.47
[mae_pct] => 2.37
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.2
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-21T17:22:49-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-21T19:22:49-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.002
[max_drawdown] => 0.0131
[rr_ratio] => 0.15
[high] => 0.36420000
[low] => 0.34910000
[mfe_pct] => 0.55
[mae_pct] => 3.62
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-21T17:22:49-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-22T00:22:49-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.38280000
[high_after] => 0.36420000
[low_before] => 0.35420000
[low_after] => 0.34910000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)