Short Trade on AAVE 22 Oct 2025 at 00:09:39
Take profit at 218.1709 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 221.0345 (0.43 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 22 Oct 2025 at 00:09:39
Take profit at 218.1709 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 221.0345 (0.43 %)
Position size of 1844.4778 $
Take profit at 218.1709 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 221.0345 (0.43 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.82 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.86 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.844964 15m : -0.009048 1H : -0.065262 |
3 |
Indicators:
109074
-0.00621811
108396
0.844964
109460
-0.00971851
108396
-0.009048
108947
-0.00505476
108396
-0.065262
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-18 20:00:00
[1] => 212.38
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 05:00:00
[1] => 211.53
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 10:00:00
[1] => 226.26
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 20:00:00
[1] => 217.75
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 04:00:00
[1] => 235.65
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 12:00:00
[1] => 224.1
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 17:00:00
[1] => 230.55
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 01:00:00
[1] => 218.03
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 12:00:00
[1] => 236.76
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 20:00:00
[1] => 216.41
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -7.0239905389424
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7189593826533
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.4034471604824
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 04:45:00
[1] => 219.16
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 06:45:00
[1] => 222.99
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 08:15:00
[1] => 224.01
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 09:00:00
[1] => 220.07
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 12:00:00
[1] => 236.76
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 13:15:00
[1] => 228.48
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 20:30:00
[1] => 216.41
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 22:00:00
[1] => 220.41
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 23:30:00
[1] => 217.35
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 00:00:00
[1] => 220.19
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.027249193878015
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2790430181735
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.30664826317
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 18:35:00
[1] => 220.89
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 19:20:00
[1] => 222.11
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 19:40:00
[1] => 218.03
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 20:10:00
[1] => 220.15
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 20:35:00
[1] => 216.41
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 21:10:00
[1] => 219.4
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 21:30:00
[1] => 217.39
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 22:10:00
[1] => 220.41
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 23:40:00
[1] => 217.35
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 00:05:00
[1] => 220.19
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.027249193878015
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2790430181735
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.30664826317
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 18:35:00 | 220.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 19:20:00 | 222.11 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 19:40:00 | 218.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 20:10:00 | 220.15 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 20:35:00 | 216.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 21:10:00 | 219.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 21:30:00 | 217.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 22:10:00 | 220.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 23:40:00 | 217.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 00:05:00 | 220.19 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 04:45:00 | 219.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 06:45:00 | 222.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 08:15:00 | 224.01 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 09:00:00 | 220.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 12:00:00 | 236.76 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 13:15:00 | 228.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 20:30:00 | 216.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 22:00:00 | 220.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 23:30:00 | 217.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 00:00:00 | 220.19 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 20:00:00 | 212.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 05:00:00 | 211.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 10:00:00 | 226.26 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-19 20:00:00 | 217.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 04:00:00 | 235.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 12:00:00 | 224.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 17:00:00 | 230.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 01:00:00 | 218.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 12:00:00 | 236.76 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 20:00:00 | 216.41 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 00:09:39 |
22 Oct 2025 01:25:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220.08 | 221.0345 | 218.1709 | 2 | 111.03 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 221.0345 - 220.08 = 0.9545
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 220.08 - 218.1709 = 1.9091
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.9091 / 0.9545 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1844.4778 | 100 | 8.3809 | 18.44 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.9545 = 8.38
Taille de position USD = 8.38 x 220.08 = 1844.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 8.38 avec un stoploss a 221.0345
Avec un position size USD de 1844.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8.38 x 0.9545 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8.38 x 1.9091 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.87 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2999 % | 69.15 % | 7 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 218.171
[stop_loss] => 221.0345
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 01:25:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 217.69375
[stop_loss] => 221.0345
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 01:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 217.2165
[stop_loss] => 221.0345
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 01:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 216.73925
[stop_loss] => 221.0345
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 03:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 216.262
[stop_loss] => 221.0345
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 05:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 215.78475
[stop_loss] => 221.0345
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 05:15:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.23
[max_drawdown] => 0.66
[rr_ratio] => 4.89
[high] => 220.74000000
[low] => 216.85000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.47
[mae_pct] => 0.3
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.89
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-22T00:09:39-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-22T02:09:39-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 7.04
[max_drawdown] => 0.66
[rr_ratio] => 10.67
[high] => 220.74000000
[low] => 213.04000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.2
[mae_pct] => 0.3
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.67
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-22T00:09:39-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-22T07:09:39-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 220.41000000
[high_after] => 220.74000000
[low_before] => 216.41000000
[low_after] => 215.46000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)