Short Trade on AVAX 22 Oct 2025 at 04:45:19
Take profit at 19.4885 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 19.7127 (0.38 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 22 Oct 2025 at 04:45:19
Take profit at 19.4885 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 19.7127 (0.38 %)
Position size of 2102.1578 $
Take profit at 19.4885 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 19.7127 (0.38 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.71 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.53 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.748372 15m : -0.060721 1H : 0.051944 |
1 |
Indicators:
108115
0.00145053
108272
0.748372
108878
-0.00556208
108272
-0.060721
108849
-0.00529411
108272
0.051944
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 05:00:00
[1] => 19.74
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 13:00:00
[1] => 20.837
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 20:00:00
[1] => 20.153
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 02:00:00
[1] => 21.212
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 13:00:00
[1] => 20.223
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 17:00:00
[1] => 20.623
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 01:00:00
[1] => 19.456
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 11:00:00
[1] => 20.839
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 01:00:00
[1] => 19.274
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 04:00:00
[1] => 19.676
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2236226875381
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8574245097022
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0857113209505
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 11:15:00
[1] => 20.839
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 13:15:00
[1] => 20.226
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 15:15:00
[1] => 20.526
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 21:00:00
[1] => 19.338
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 22:15:00
[1] => 19.596
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 23:30:00
[1] => 19.339
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 01:00:00
[1] => 19.638
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 01:15:00
[1] => 19.274
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 03:00:00
[1] => 19.33
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 04:45:00
[1] => 19.676
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2236226875381
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5623383341956
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7899637868598
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 22:15:00
[1] => 19.596
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 23:35:00
[1] => 19.339
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 00:05:00
[1] => 19.558
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 01:00:00
[1] => 19.638
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 01:25:00
[1] => 19.274
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 02:35:00
[1] => 19.503
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 03:05:00
[1] => 19.33
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 03:55:00
[1] => 19.597
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 04:20:00
[1] => 19.474
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 04:45:00
[1] => 19.676
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2236226875381
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.81133819451577
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0372804765328
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 22:15:00 | 19.596 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 23:35:00 | 19.339 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 00:05:00 | 19.558 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 01:00:00 | 19.638 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 01:25:00 | 19.274 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 02:35:00 | 19.503 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 03:05:00 | 19.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 03:55:00 | 19.597 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 04:20:00 | 19.474 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 04:45:00 | 19.676 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 11:15:00 | 20.839 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 13:15:00 | 20.226 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 15:15:00 | 20.526 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 21:00:00 | 19.338 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 22:15:00 | 19.596 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 23:30:00 | 19.339 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 01:00:00 | 19.638 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 01:15:00 | 19.274 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 03:00:00 | 19.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 04:45:00 | 19.676 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 05:00:00 | 19.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 13:00:00 | 20.837 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-19 20:00:00 | 20.153 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 02:00:00 | 21.212 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 13:00:00 | 20.223 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 17:00:00 | 20.623 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 01:00:00 | 19.456 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 11:00:00 | 20.839 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 01:00:00 | 19.274 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 04:00:00 | 19.676 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 04:45:19 |
22 Oct 2025 05:15:00 |
29 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.638 | 19.7127 | 19.4885 | 2 | 9.259 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 19.7127 - 19.638 = 0.0747
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 19.638 - 19.4885 = 0.1495
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1495 / 0.0747 = 2.0013
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2102.1578 | 100 | 107.0454 | 21.02 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0747 = 107.1
Taille de position USD = 107.1 x 19.638 = 2103.23
Donc, tu peux acheter 107.1 avec un stoploss a 19.7127
Avec un position size USD de 2103.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 107.1 x 0.0747 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 107.1 x 0.1495 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 19.4886
[stop_loss] => 19.7127
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 05:15:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 19.45125
[stop_loss] => 19.7127
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 05:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 19.4139
[stop_loss] => 19.7127
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 05:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 19.37655
[stop_loss] => 19.7127
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 05:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 19.3392
[stop_loss] => 19.7127
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 06:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 19.30185
[stop_loss] => 19.7127
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 07:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 19.2645
[stop_loss] => 19.7127
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 07:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 19.22715
[stop_loss] => 19.7127
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 07:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 19.1898
[stop_loss] => 19.7127
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 07:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 19.15245
[stop_loss] => 19.7127
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 07:00:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 19.1151
[stop_loss] => 19.7127
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 07:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.3
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 19.63300000
[low] => 19.33800000
[mfe_pct] => 1.53
[mae_pct] => -0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-22T04:45:19-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-22T06:45:19-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.528
[max_drawdown] => 0.081999999999997
[rr_ratio] => 6.44
[high] => 19.72000000
[low] => 19.11000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.69
[mae_pct] => 0.42
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.44
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-22T04:45:19-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-22T11:45:19-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 19.67600000
[high_after] => 19.68400000
[low_before] => 19.27400000
[low_after] => 19.11000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)