Short Trade on HOOD 22 Oct 2025 at 15:28:44
Take profit at 124.5319 (0.68 %) and Stop Loss at 125.8191 (0.34 %)
Short Trade on HOOD 22 Oct 2025 at 15:28:44
Take profit at 124.5319 (0.68 %) and Stop Loss at 125.8191 (0.34 %)
Position size of 2337.9952 $
Take profit at 124.5319 (0.68 %) and Stop Loss at 125.8191 (0.34 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.46 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.78 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.241653 15m : 0.079643 1H : -0.004649 |
1 |
Indicators:
108055
0.000372989
108096
0.241653
108726
-0.00481681
108202
0.079643
108674
-0.00532206
108096
-0.004649
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 09:00:00
[1] => 133.41
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 13:00:00
[1] => 139.85
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 16:00:00
[1] => 135.67
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 21:00:00
[1] => 137.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 03:00:00
[1] => 135.09
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 07:00:00
[1] => 136.53
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 21:00:00
[1] => 129.6
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 22:00:00
[1] => 131.78
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 09:00:00
[1] => 131.6
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 12:00:00
[1] => 121.5
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.7568389057751
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1604938271605
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.3127572016461
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 03:00:00
[1] => 130.8
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 03:30:00
[1] => 130.8
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 04:00:00
[1] => 131.2
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 05:15:00
[1] => 130.8
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 05:30:00
[1] => 131.22
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 06:00:00
[1] => 131.22
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 07:45:00
[1] => 129.61
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 09:15:00
[1] => 131.6
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 12:30:00
[1] => 121.5
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 15:15:00
[1] => 125.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.047846889952155
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1604938271605
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2098765432099
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 09:35:00
[1] => 127.87
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 10:45:00
[1] => 123.21
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 11:05:00
[1] => 124.83
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 11:30:00
[1] => 122.04
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 11:50:00
[1] => 123.5
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 12:35:00
[1] => 121.5
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 13:05:00
[1] => 122.69
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 13:15:00
[1] => 122.69
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 13:55:00
[1] => 121.78
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 15:25:00
[1] => 125.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.047846889952155
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9233043192642
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9725734931844
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-22 09:35:00 | 127.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 10:45:00 | 123.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 11:05:00 | 124.83 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 11:30:00 | 122.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 11:50:00 | 123.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 12:35:00 | 121.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 13:05:00 | 122.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 13:15:00 | 122.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 13:55:00 | 121.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 15:25:00 | 125.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-22 03:00:00 | 130.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 03:30:00 | 130.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 04:00:00 | 131.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 05:15:00 | 130.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 05:30:00 | 131.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 06:00:00 | 131.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 07:45:00 | 129.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 09:15:00 | 131.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 12:30:00 | 121.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 15:15:00 | 125.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 09:00:00 | 133.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 13:00:00 | 139.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 16:00:00 | 135.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 21:00:00 | 137.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 03:00:00 | 135.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 07:00:00 | 136.53 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 21:00:00 | 129.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 22:00:00 | 131.78 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 09:00:00 | 131.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 12:00:00 | 121.5 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 15:28:44 |
22 Oct 2025 15:35:00 |
6 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125.39 | 125.8191 | 124.5319 | 2 | 79.02 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 125.8191 - 125.39 = 0.42910000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 125.39 - 124.5319 = 0.85810000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.85810000000001 / 0.42910000000001 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2337.9952 | 100 | 18.6458 | 23.38 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.42910000000001 = 18.64
Taille de position USD = 18.64 x 125.39 = 2337.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 18.64 avec un stoploss a 125.8191
Avec un position size USD de 2337.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 18.64 x 0.42910000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 18.64 x 0.85810000000001 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4466 % | 130.51 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.5319
[entry_price] => 125.39
[stop_loss] => 125.86201
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 15:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.5319
[entry_price] => 125.39
[stop_loss] => 125.90492
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 15:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.5319
[entry_price] => 125.39
[stop_loss] => 125.94783
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 15:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 124.5319
[entry_price] => 125.39
[stop_loss] => 126.03365
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 15:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.049999999999997
[max_drawdown] => 2.01
[rr_ratio] => 0.02
[high] => 127.40000000
[low] => 125.34000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.04
[mae_pct] => 1.6
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-22T15:28:44-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-22T17:28:44-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.049999999999997
[max_drawdown] => 3.6
[rr_ratio] => 0.01
[high] => 128.99000000
[low] => 125.34000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.04
[mae_pct] => 2.87
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.01
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-22T15:28:44-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-22T22:28:44-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 125.40000000
[high_after] => 128.00000000
[low_before] => 121.50000000
[low_after] => 125.34000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)