Short Trade on HOOD 22 Oct 2025 at 17:46:20
Take profit at 126.4287 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 126.8956 (0.12 %)
Short Trade on HOOD 22 Oct 2025 at 17:46:20
Take profit at 126.4287 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 126.8956 (0.12 %)
Position size of 6514.2856 $
Take profit at 126.4287 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 126.8956 (0.12 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.7 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.44 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.166204 15m : 0.195307 1H : -0.026162 |
2 |
Indicators:
107759
-0.00694856
107010
0.166204
108416
-0.0129672
107010
0.195307
108641
-0.0150097
107010
-0.026162
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 13:00:00
[1] => 139.85
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 16:00:00
[1] => 135.67
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 21:00:00
[1] => 137.9
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 03:00:00
[1] => 135.09
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 07:00:00
[1] => 136.53
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 21:00:00
[1] => 129.6
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 22:00:00
[1] => 131.78
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 09:00:00
[1] => 131.6
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 12:00:00
[1] => 121.5
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 16:00:00
[1] => 127.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51805337519624
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3127572016461
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8559670781893
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 03:00:00
[1] => 130.8
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 03:30:00
[1] => 130.8
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 04:00:00
[1] => 131.2
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 05:15:00
[1] => 130.8
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 05:30:00
[1] => 131.22
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 06:00:00
[1] => 131.22
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 07:45:00
[1] => 129.61
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 09:15:00
[1] => 131.6
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 12:30:00
[1] => 121.5
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 16:00:00
[1] => 127.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.51805337519624
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3127572016461
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8559670781893
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 16:20:00
[1] => 127.4
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 16:30:00
[1] => 126.35
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 16:40:00
[1] => 126.35
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 16:55:00
[1] => 126.8
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 17:05:00
[1] => 126.8
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 17:15:00
[1] => 126.74
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 17:25:00
[1] => 126.74
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 17:35:00
[1] => 126.74
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 17:40:00
[1] => 126.74
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 17:45:00
[1] => 126.74
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-22 16:20:00 | 127.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 16:30:00 | 126.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 16:40:00 | 126.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 16:55:00 | 126.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 17:05:00 | 126.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 17:15:00 | 126.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 17:25:00 | 126.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 17:35:00 | 126.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 17:40:00 | 126.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 17:45:00 | 126.74 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-22 03:00:00 | 130.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 03:30:00 | 130.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 04:00:00 | 131.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 05:15:00 | 130.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 05:30:00 | 131.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 06:00:00 | 131.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 07:45:00 | 129.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 09:15:00 | 131.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 12:30:00 | 121.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 16:00:00 | 127.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 13:00:00 | 139.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 16:00:00 | 135.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 21:00:00 | 137.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 03:00:00 | 135.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 07:00:00 | 136.53 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 21:00:00 | 129.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 22:00:00 | 131.78 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 09:00:00 | 131.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 12:00:00 | 121.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 16:00:00 | 127.4 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 17:46:20 |
22 Oct 2025 17:50:00 |
3 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126.74 | 126.8956 | 126.4287 | 2 | 79.13 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 126.8956 - 126.74 = 0.15560000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 126.74 - 126.4287 = 0.31129999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.31129999999999 / 0.15560000000001 = 2.0006
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6514.2856 | 100 | 51.3988 | 65.14 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.15560000000001 = 51.41
Taille de position USD = 51.41 x 126.74 = 6515.7
Donc, tu peux acheter 51.41 avec un stoploss a 126.8956
Avec un position size USD de 6515.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 51.41 x 0.15560000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 51.41 x 0.31129999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.4288
[stop_loss] => 126.8956
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 17:50:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.351
[stop_loss] => 126.8956
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 17:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.2732
[stop_loss] => 126.8956
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 18:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.1954
[stop_loss] => 126.8956
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.1176
[stop_loss] => 126.8956
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.0398
[stop_loss] => 126.8956
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 125.962
[stop_loss] => 126.8956
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 125.8842
[stop_loss] => 126.8956
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 125.8064
[stop_loss] => 126.8956
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 125.7286
[stop_loss] => 126.8956
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 125.6508
[stop_loss] => 126.8956
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.53
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 126.74000000
[low] => 126.21000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.42
[mae_pct] => 0
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-22T17:46:20-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-22T19:46:20-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.53
[max_drawdown] => 2.25
[rr_ratio] => 0.24
[high] => 128.99000000
[low] => 126.21000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.42
[mae_pct] => 1.78
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-22T17:46:20-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-23T00:46:20-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 127.40000000
[high_after] => 128.99000000
[low_before] => 121.78000000
[low_after] => 126.21000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)