Short Trade on ARC 22 Oct 2025 at 22:03:18
Take profit at 0.01209 (1.14 %) and Stop Loss at 0.0123 (0.57 %)
Short Trade on ARC 22 Oct 2025 at 22:03:18
Take profit at 0.01209 (1.14 %) and Stop Loss at 0.0123 (0.57 %)
Position size of 1404.3929 $
Take profit at 0.01209 (1.14 %) and Stop Loss at 0.0123 (0.57 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.72 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.84 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.88 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.380348 15m : -0.179571 1H : -0.007984 |
1 |
Indicators:
107730
0.00345262
108102
0.380348
107893
0.00193611
108102
-0.179571
108601
-0.00459395
108102
-0.007984
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 10:00:00
[1] => 0.01379
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 12:00:00
[1] => 0.01322
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-19 20:00:00
[1] => 0.01311
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 04:00:00
[1] => 0.01431
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-20 12:00:00
[1] => 0.0132
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 00:00:00
[1] => 0.01307
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 11:00:00
[1] => 0.02126
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 21:00:00
[1] => 0.0127
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 06:00:00
[1] => 0.01376
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 18:00:00
[1] => 0.01164
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -10.901162790698
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.3264604810997
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.213058419244
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 03:30:00
[1] => 0.01296
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 06:00:00
[1] => 0.01376
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 09:15:00
[1] => 0.01208
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 11:00:00
[1] => 0.0127
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 11:15:00
[1] => 0.01229
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 14:15:00
[1] => 0.01213
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 16:45:00
[1] => 0.01262
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 18:30:00
[1] => 0.01164
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 20:00:00
[1] => 0.01222
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 22:00:00
[1] => 0.01226
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.3264604810997
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.32733224222586
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 16:10:00
[1] => 0.01235
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 16:30:00
[1] => 0.01223
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 16:45:00
[1] => 0.01262
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 17:45:00
[1] => 0.01175
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 18:00:00
[1] => 0.01206
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 18:40:00
[1] => 0.01164
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 20:10:00
[1] => 0.01222
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 20:50:00
[1] => 0.01222
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 21:20:00
[1] => 0.01205
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 22:00:00
[1] => 0.01226
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7427385892116
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7427385892116
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-22 16:10:00 | 0.01235 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 16:30:00 | 0.01223 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 16:45:00 | 0.01262 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 17:45:00 | 0.01175 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 18:00:00 | 0.01206 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 18:40:00 | 0.01164 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 20:10:00 | 0.01222 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 20:50:00 | 0.01222 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 21:20:00 | 0.01205 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 22:00:00 | 0.01226 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-22 03:30:00 | 0.01296 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 06:00:00 | 0.01376 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 09:15:00 | 0.01208 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 11:00:00 | 0.0127 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 11:15:00 | 0.01229 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 14:15:00 | 0.01213 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 16:45:00 | 0.01262 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 18:30:00 | 0.01164 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 20:00:00 | 0.01222 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 22:00:00 | 0.01226 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 10:00:00 | 0.01379 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-19 12:00:00 | 0.01322 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-19 20:00:00 | 0.01311 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-20 04:00:00 | 0.01431 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-20 12:00:00 | 0.0132 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 00:00:00 | 0.01307 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 11:00:00 | 0.02126 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 21:00:00 | 0.0127 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 06:00:00 | 0.01376 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 18:00:00 | 0.01164 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct 2025 22:03:18 |
22 Oct 2025 22:05:00 |
1 minute |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01223 | 0.0123 | 0.01209 | 2 | 0.03094 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0123 - 0.01223 = 7.0000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01223 - 0.01209 = 0.00014
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00014 / 7.0000000000001E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1404.3929 | 100 | 114831.8021 | 14.04 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 7.0000000000001E-5 = 114285.71
Taille de position USD = 114285.71 x 0.01223 = 1397.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 114285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.0123
Avec un position size USD de 1397.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 114285.71 x 7.0000000000001E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 114285.71 x 0.00014 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.14 % | 16.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.04 $ | -0.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6541 % | 114.27 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01209
[entry_price] => 0.01223
[stop_loss] => 0.012307
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 22:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01209
[entry_price] => 0.01223
[stop_loss] => 0.012314
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01209
[entry_price] => 0.01223
[stop_loss] => 0.012321
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01209
[entry_price] => 0.01223
[stop_loss] => 0.012335
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-22 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.9999999999999E-5
[max_drawdown] => 0.00011
[rr_ratio] => 0.18
[high] => 0.01234000
[low] => 0.01221000
[mfe_pct] => 0.16
[mae_pct] => 0.9
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.18
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-22T22:03:18-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-23T00:03:18-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 9.9999999999999E-5
[max_drawdown] => 0.00028
[rr_ratio] => 0.36
[high] => 0.01251000
[low] => 0.01213000
[mfe_pct] => 0.82
[mae_pct] => 2.29
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.36
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-22T22:03:18-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-23T05:03:18-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.01226000
[high_after] => 0.01251000
[low_before] => 0.01164000
[low_after] => 0.01213000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)