Short Trade on AUCTION 24 Oct 2025 at 00:51:36
Take profit at 7.6619 (1.29 %) and Stop Loss at 7.8121 (0.65 %)
Short Trade on AUCTION 24 Oct 2025 at 00:51:36
Take profit at 7.6619 (1.29 %) and Stop Loss at 7.8121 (0.65 %)
Position size of 1240.1437 $
Take profit at 7.6619 (1.29 %) and Stop Loss at 7.8121 (0.65 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.77 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.210403 15m : -0.032846 1H : 0.103962 |
0 |
Indicators:
110303
0.00745884
111126
0.210403
109804
0.0120398
111126
-0.032846
109194
0.0176935
111126
0.103962
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 09:00:00
[1] => 7.753
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 12:00:00
[1] => 8.538
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-21 21:00:00
[1] => 7.309
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 01:00:00
[1] => 8.726
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 18:00:00
[1] => 7.461
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 20:00:00
[1] => 8.302
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 07:00:00
[1] => 7.926
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 10:00:00
[1] => 7.627
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 16:00:00
[1] => 7.926
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 22:00:00
[1] => 7.574
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8672722684835
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6934248745709
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6474782149459
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 08:00:00
[1] => 7.698
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 10:15:00
[1] => 7.627
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 13:45:00
[1] => 7.85
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 15:00:00
[1] => 7.706
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 16:45:00
[1] => 7.926
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 19:15:00
[1] => 7.719
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 20:00:00
[1] => 7.921
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 22:15:00
[1] => 7.574
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 23:45:00
[1] => 7.593
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-24 00:45:00
[1] => 7.778
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4364546292638
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4364546292638
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 19:15:00
[1] => 7.719
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 20:00:00
[1] => 7.921
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 20:10:00
[1] => 7.72
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 20:40:00
[1] => 7.722
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 20:55:00
[1] => 7.866
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 21:35:00
[1] => 7.737
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 22:05:00
[1] => 7.791
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 22:25:00
[1] => 7.574
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 23:50:00
[1] => 7.593
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-24 00:50:00
[1] => 7.778
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4364546292638
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4364546292638
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-23 19:15:00 | 7.719 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 20:00:00 | 7.921 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-23 20:10:00 | 7.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 20:40:00 | 7.722 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 20:55:00 | 7.866 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-23 21:35:00 | 7.737 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 22:05:00 | 7.791 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-23 22:25:00 | 7.574 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 23:50:00 | 7.593 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-24 00:50:00 | 7.778 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-23 08:00:00 | 7.698 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 10:15:00 | 7.627 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 13:45:00 | 7.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-23 15:00:00 | 7.706 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 16:45:00 | 7.926 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-23 19:15:00 | 7.719 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 20:00:00 | 7.921 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-23 22:15:00 | 7.574 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 23:45:00 | 7.593 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-24 00:45:00 | 7.778 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 09:00:00 | 7.753 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-21 12:00:00 | 8.538 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-21 21:00:00 | 7.309 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 01:00:00 | 8.726 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-22 18:00:00 | 7.461 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 20:00:00 | 8.302 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-23 07:00:00 | 7.926 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-23 10:00:00 | 7.627 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 16:00:00 | 7.926 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-23 22:00:00 | 7.574 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 00:51:36 |
24 Oct 2025 02:40:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.762 | 7.8121 | 7.6619 | 2 | 4.612 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.8121 - 7.762 = 0.0501
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 7.762 - 7.6619 = 0.1001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1001 / 0.0501 = 1.998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1240.1437 | 100 | 159.7712 | 12.40 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0501 = 159.68
Taille de position USD = 159.68 x 7.762 = 1239.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 159.68 avec un stoploss a 7.8121
Avec un position size USD de 1239.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 159.68 x 0.0501 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 159.68 x 0.1001 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.29 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.65 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 1.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5411 % | 83.83 % | 8 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.6618
[stop_loss] => 7.8121
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-24 02:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.63675
[stop_loss] => 7.8121
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-24 03:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.6117
[stop_loss] => 7.8121
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-24 03:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.58665
[stop_loss] => 7.8121
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-24 06:40:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.5616
[stop_loss] => 7.8121
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-10-24 06:50:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.53655
[stop_loss] => 7.8121
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-24 06:50:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.5115
[stop_loss] => 7.8121
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-24 06:50:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.48645
[stop_loss] => 7.8121
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-24 06:50:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.4614
[stop_loss] => 7.8121
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-10-24 06:50:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.43635
[stop_loss] => 7.8121
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-24 06:50:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.4113
[stop_loss] => 7.8121
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-10-24 06:50:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.11
[max_drawdown] => 0.042000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 2.62
[high] => 7.80400000
[low] => 7.65200000
[mfe_pct] => 1.42
[mae_pct] => 0.54
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.62
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-24T00:51:36-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-24T02:51:36-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.428
[max_drawdown] => 0.042000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 10.19
[high] => 7.80400000
[low] => 7.33400000
[mfe_pct] => 5.51
[mae_pct] => 0.54
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.19
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-24T00:51:36-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-24T07:51:36-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 7.86600000
[high_after] => 7.80400000
[low_before] => 7.57400000
[low_after] => 7.33400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)