Short Trade on AIA 25 Oct 2025 at 13:43:24
Take profit at 1.2114 (3.24 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2722 (1.62 %)
Short Trade on AIA 25 Oct 2025 at 13:43:24
Take profit at 1.2114 (3.24 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2722 (1.62 %)
Position size of 494.1642 $
Take profit at 1.2114 (3.24 %) and Stop Loss at 1.2722 (1.62 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.59 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.19488 15m : -0.001959 1H : 0.008164 |
0 |
Indicators:
111463
-0.00182182
111260
0.19488
111164
0.000865491
111260
-0.001959
110645
0.00556338
111260
0.008164
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 02:00:00
[1] => 1.17061
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-22 11:00:00
[1] => 1.07827
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 00:00:00
[1] => 2.18562
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 06:00:00
[1] => 1.19462
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-23 17:00:00
[1] => 1.20277
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-24 02:00:00
[1] => 1.49451
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-24 09:00:00
[1] => 1.2472
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-24 19:00:00
[1] => 1.52971
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 01:00:00
[1] => 1.27544
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 09:00:00
[1] => 1.10666
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -18.332232906891
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 12.887427032693
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 15.251296694558
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-24 19:30:00
[1] => 1.52971
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 01:45:00
[1] => 1.27544
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 02:15:00
[1] => 1.33479
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 04:30:00
[1] => 1.33462
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 05:00:00
[1] => 1.28157
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 07:15:00
[1] => 1.275
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 07:45:00
[1] => 1.31721
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 09:00:00
[1] => 1.10666
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 12:00:00
[1] => 1.1671
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 13:15:00
[1] => 1.257
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.61416070007955
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.0413846285665
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.7028532259446
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 08:45:00
[1] => 1.30473
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 09:00:00
[1] => 1.10666
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 09:30:00
[1] => 1.23386
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 10:05:00
[1] => 1.1713
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 10:20:00
[1] => 1.21346
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 11:00:00
[1] => 1.17528
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 11:40:00
[1] => 1.19581
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 12:00:00
[1] => 1.1671
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 12:25:00
[1] => 1.21615
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 13:25:00
[1] => 1.257
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.61416070007955
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.0413846285665
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3589606545245
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 08:45:00 | 1.30473 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 09:00:00 | 1.10666 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 09:30:00 | 1.23386 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 10:05:00 | 1.1713 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 10:20:00 | 1.21346 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 11:00:00 | 1.17528 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 11:40:00 | 1.19581 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 12:00:00 | 1.1671 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 12:25:00 | 1.21615 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 13:25:00 | 1.257 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-24 19:30:00 | 1.52971 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 01:45:00 | 1.27544 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 02:15:00 | 1.33479 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 04:30:00 | 1.33462 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 05:00:00 | 1.28157 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 07:15:00 | 1.275 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 07:45:00 | 1.31721 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 09:00:00 | 1.10666 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 12:00:00 | 1.1671 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 13:15:00 | 1.257 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-22 02:00:00 | 1.17061 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-22 11:00:00 | 1.07827 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 00:00:00 | 2.18562 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-23 06:00:00 | 1.19462 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-23 17:00:00 | 1.20277 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-24 02:00:00 | 1.49451 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-24 09:00:00 | 1.2472 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-24 19:00:00 | 1.52971 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 01:00:00 | 1.27544 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 09:00:00 | 1.10666 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 13:43:24 |
25 Oct 2025 16:55:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2519 | 1.2722 | 1.2114 | 2 | 0.1513 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2722 - 1.2519 = 0.0203
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2519 - 1.2114 = 0.0405
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0405 / 0.0203 = 1.9951
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 494.1642 | 100 | 394.7188 | 4.94 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0203 = 394.09
Taille de position USD = 394.09 x 1.2519 = 493.36
Donc, tu peux acheter 394.09 avec un stoploss a 1.2722
Avec un position size USD de 493.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 394.09 x 0.0203 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 394.09 x 0.0405 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.24 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.62 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 3.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2924 % | 79.7 % | 7 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2113
[stop_loss] => 1.2722
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-25 16:55:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.20115
[stop_loss] => 1.2722
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-25 16:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.191
[stop_loss] => 1.2722
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-25 16:55:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.02766
[max_drawdown] => 0.01618
[rr_ratio] => 1.71
[high] => 1.26808000
[low] => 1.22424000
[mfe_pct] => 2.21
[mae_pct] => 1.29
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.71
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-25T13:43:24-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-25T15:43:24-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0672
[max_drawdown] => 0.01618
[rr_ratio] => 4.15
[high] => 1.26808000
[low] => 1.18470000
[mfe_pct] => 5.37
[mae_pct] => 1.29
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.15
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-25T13:43:24-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-25T20:43:24-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.25700000
[high_after] => 1.26808000
[low_before] => 1.16710000
[low_after] => 1.18470000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)