Short Trade on MERL 28 Oct 2025 at 21:54:52
Take profit at 0.3151 (2.45 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3269 (1.21 %)
Short Trade on MERL 28 Oct 2025 at 21:54:52
Take profit at 0.3151 (2.45 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3269 (1.21 %)
Position size of 654.195 $
Take profit at 0.3151 (2.45 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3269 (1.21 %)
That's a 2.03 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.54 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.65 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.029064 15m : -0.001879 1H : 0.164326 |
3 |
Indicators:
113278
-0.00908268
112250
-0.029064
113812
-0.0125967
112379
-0.001879
113402
-0.010165
112250
0.164326
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 04:00:00
[1] => 0.3818
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 07:00:00
[1] => 0.4234
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 10:00:00
[1] => 0.3824
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 18:00:00
[1] => 0.3858
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 23:00:00
[1] => 0.4234
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-26 15:00:00
[1] => 0.4444
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-27 20:00:00
[1] => 0.3464
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3778
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 14:00:00
[1] => 0.2757
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 21:00:00
[1] => 0.3237
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.410228509249
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 17.410228509249
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 00:30:00
[1] => 0.3632
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 03:15:00
[1] => 0.3619
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 04:45:00
[1] => 0.3599
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3778
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 14:45:00
[1] => 0.2757
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 16:15:00
[1] => 0.3198
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 17:15:00
[1] => 0.2957
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 18:45:00
[1] => 0.3141
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 20:00:00
[1] => 0.3045
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 21:45:00
[1] => 0.3237
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3054187192118
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.3054187192118
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 13:35:00
[1] => 0.35
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 14:45:00
[1] => 0.2757
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 16:15:00
[1] => 0.3198
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 17:25:00
[1] => 0.2957
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 18:50:00
[1] => 0.3141
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 20:05:00
[1] => 0.3045
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 20:50:00
[1] => 0.3219
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 21:35:00
[1] => 0.3171
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 21:50:00
[1] => 0.3237
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.081362346263
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.081362346263
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 13:35:00 | 0.35 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 14:45:00 | 0.2757 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 16:15:00 | 0.3198 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 17:25:00 | 0.2957 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 18:50:00 | 0.3141 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 20:05:00 | 0.3045 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 20:50:00 | 0.3219 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 21:35:00 | 0.3171 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 21:50:00 | 0.3237 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 00:30:00 | 0.3632 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 03:15:00 | 0.3619 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 04:45:00 | 0.3599 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 09:00:00 | 0.3778 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 14:45:00 | 0.2757 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 16:15:00 | 0.3198 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 17:15:00 | 0.2957 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 18:45:00 | 0.3141 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 20:00:00 | 0.3045 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 21:45:00 | 0.3237 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 04:00:00 | 0.3818 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 07:00:00 | 0.4234 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 10:00:00 | 0.3824 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 18:00:00 | 0.3858 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 23:00:00 | 0.4234 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-26 15:00:00 | 0.4444 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-27 20:00:00 | 0.3464 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 09:00:00 | 0.3778 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 14:00:00 | 0.2757 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 21:00:00 | 0.3237 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 21:54:52 |
28 Oct 2025 22:20:00 |
25 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.323 | 0.3269 | 0.3151 | 2.03 | 0.0429 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3269 - 0.323 = 0.0039
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.323 - 0.3151 = 0.0079
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0039 = 2.0256
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 654.195 | 100 | 2025.3714 | 6.54 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0039 = 2051.28
Taille de position USD = 2051.28 x 0.323 = 662.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 2051.28 avec un stoploss a 0.3269
Avec un position size USD de 662.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2051.28 x 0.0039 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2051.28 x 0.0079 = 16.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.45 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.21 % | 7.9 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.9 $ | -1.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3313 % | 110.26 % | 3 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3151
[entry_price] => 0.323
[stop_loss] => 0.32729
[rr_ratio] => 1.84
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3151
[entry_price] => 0.323
[stop_loss] => 0.32768
[rr_ratio] => 1.69
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3151
[entry_price] => 0.323
[stop_loss] => 0.32807
[rr_ratio] => 1.56
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3151
[entry_price] => 0.323
[stop_loss] => 0.32885
[rr_ratio] => 1.35
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.003
[max_drawdown] => 0.0098
[rr_ratio] => 0.31
[high] => 0.33280000
[low] => 0.32000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.93
[mae_pct] => 3.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.31
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-28T21:54:52-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-28T23:54:52-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.003
[max_drawdown] => 0.0111
[rr_ratio] => 0.27
[high] => 0.33410000
[low] => 0.32000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.93
[mae_pct] => 3.44
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-28T21:54:52-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-29T04:54:52-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.32370000
[high_after] => 0.33410000
[low_before] => 0.30450000
[low_after] => 0.32000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)