Short Trade on MERL 28 Oct 2025 at 22:23:44
Take profit at 0.3176 (2.49 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3298 (1.26 %)
Short Trade on MERL 28 Oct 2025 at 22:23:44
Take profit at 0.3176 (2.49 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3298 (1.26 %)
Position size of 639.747 $
Take profit at 0.3176 (2.49 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3298 (1.26 %)
That's a 1.98 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.75 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.71 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.028554 15m : 0.003084 1H : -0.122252 |
2 |
Indicators:
113158
-0.00672057
112398
-0.028554
113797
-0.0120705
112423
0.003084
113386
-0.00871301
112398
-0.122252
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 04:00:00
[1] => 0.3818
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 07:00:00
[1] => 0.4234
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 10:00:00
[1] => 0.3824
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 18:00:00
[1] => 0.3858
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-25 23:00:00
[1] => 0.4234
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-26 15:00:00
[1] => 0.4444
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-27 20:00:00
[1] => 0.3464
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3778
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 14:00:00
[1] => 0.2757
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 22:00:00
[1] => 0.3273
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 18.715995647443
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.715995647443
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 00:30:00
[1] => 0.3632
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 03:15:00
[1] => 0.3619
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 04:45:00
[1] => 0.3599
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3778
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 14:45:00
[1] => 0.2757
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 16:15:00
[1] => 0.3198
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 17:15:00
[1] => 0.2957
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 18:45:00
[1] => 0.3141
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 20:00:00
[1] => 0.3045
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 22:15:00
[1] => 0.3273
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.487684729064
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.487684729064
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 14:05:00
[1] => 0.3333
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 14:45:00
[1] => 0.2757
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 16:15:00
[1] => 0.3198
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 17:25:00
[1] => 0.2957
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 18:50:00
[1] => 0.3141
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 20:05:00
[1] => 0.3045
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 20:50:00
[1] => 0.3219
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 21:35:00
[1] => 0.3171
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 22:20:00
[1] => 0.3273
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2166508987701
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2166508987701
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 14:05:00 | 0.3333 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 14:45:00 | 0.2757 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 16:15:00 | 0.3198 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 17:25:00 | 0.2957 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 18:50:00 | 0.3141 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 20:05:00 | 0.3045 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 20:50:00 | 0.3219 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 21:35:00 | 0.3171 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 22:20:00 | 0.3273 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 00:30:00 | 0.3632 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 03:15:00 | 0.3619 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 04:45:00 | 0.3599 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 09:00:00 | 0.3778 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 14:45:00 | 0.2757 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 16:15:00 | 0.3198 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 17:15:00 | 0.2957 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 18:45:00 | 0.3141 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 20:00:00 | 0.3045 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 22:15:00 | 0.3273 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 04:00:00 | 0.3818 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 07:00:00 | 0.4234 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-25 10:00:00 | 0.3824 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 18:00:00 | 0.3858 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-25 23:00:00 | 0.4234 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-26 15:00:00 | 0.4444 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-27 20:00:00 | 0.3464 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 09:00:00 | 0.3778 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 14:00:00 | 0.2757 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 22:00:00 | 0.3273 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 22:23:44 |
28 Oct 2025 22:50:00 |
26 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3257 | 0.3298 | 0.3176 | 1.98 | 0.04214 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3298 - 0.3257 = 0.0041
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3257 - 0.3176 = 0.0081
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.0041 = 1.9756
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 639.747 | 100 | 1964.2218 | 6.40 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0041 = 1951.22
Taille de position USD = 1951.22 x 0.3257 = 635.51
Donc, tu peux acheter 1951.22 avec un stoploss a 0.3298
Avec un position size USD de 635.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0041 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0081 = 15.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.8$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 15.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.26 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.05 $ | -1.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.443 % | 114.63 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3176
[entry_price] => 0.3257
[stop_loss] => 0.33021
[rr_ratio] => 1.8
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3176
[entry_price] => 0.3257
[stop_loss] => 0.33062
[rr_ratio] => 1.65
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3176
[entry_price] => 0.3257
[stop_loss] => 0.33103
[rr_ratio] => 1.52
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3176
[entry_price] => 0.3257
[stop_loss] => 0.33185
[rr_ratio] => 1.32
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-28 22:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0039
[max_drawdown] => 0.0071
[rr_ratio] => 0.55
[high] => 0.33280000
[low] => 0.32180000
[mfe_pct] => 1.2
[mae_pct] => 2.18
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.55
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-28T22:23:44-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-29T00:23:44-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0039
[max_drawdown] => 0.0084
[rr_ratio] => 0.46
[high] => 0.33410000
[low] => 0.32180000
[mfe_pct] => 1.2
[mae_pct] => 2.58
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.46
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-28T22:23:44-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-29T05:23:44-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.32730000
[high_after] => 0.33410000
[low_before] => 0.30450000
[low_after] => 0.32180000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)