Short Trade on BTC 30 Oct 2025 at 02:46:21
Take profit at 109955.5058 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 111222.2471 (0.38 %)
Short Trade on BTC 30 Oct 2025 at 02:46:21
Take profit at 109955.5058 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 111222.2471 (0.38 %)
Position size of 2099.2448 $
Take profit at 109955.5058 (0.76 %) and Stop Loss at 111222.2471 (0.38 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.73 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : 0.167567 1H : 0.070023 |
1 |
Indicators:
110204
0.0053992
110800
1
111201
-0.00361317
110800
0.167567
112585
-0.0158562
110800
0.070023
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-26 18:00:00
[1] => 115496.6
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-27 03:00:00
[1] => 116350.6
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-27 10:00:00
[1] => 114451
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-27 14:00:00
[1] => 115740.9
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 01:00:00
[1] => 113416.3
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 10:00:00
[1] => 116050.5
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 21:00:00
[1] => 112050.1
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 09:00:00
[1] => 113591.6
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 14:00:00
[1] => 109105.5
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 00:00:00
[1] => 107877.5
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4815215209575
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6838775462909
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1383281963338
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 06:45:00
[1] => 112660
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 09:15:00
[1] => 113591.6
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 12:00:00
[1] => 110912
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 14:00:00
[1] => 111983.6
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 14:30:00
[1] => 109105.5
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 17:30:00
[1] => 111745.9
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 20:00:00
[1] => 109675.6
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 22:45:00
[1] => 110974.2
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 00:30:00
[1] => 107877.5
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 02:30:00
[1] => 110868.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.086138237891264
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6838775462909
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7724038840351
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 21:05:00
[1] => 110202.4
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 22:00:00
[1] => 110300
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 22:55:00
[1] => 110974.2
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 23:00:00
[1] => 110625
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 23:35:00
[1] => 110872.7
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 00:30:00
[1] => 107877.5
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 01:05:00
[1] => 108366
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 01:55:00
[1] => 110360.9
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 02:15:00
[1] => 109922.7
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 02:40:00
[1] => 110868.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.086138237891264
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.7733616441372
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.86024087836271
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 21:05:00 | 110202.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 22:00:00 | 110300 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 22:55:00 | 110974.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 23:00:00 | 110625 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 23:35:00 | 110872.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 00:30:00 | 107877.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 01:05:00 | 108366 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 01:55:00 | 110360.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 02:15:00 | 109922.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 02:40:00 | 110868.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 06:45:00 | 112660 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 09:15:00 | 113591.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 12:00:00 | 110912 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 14:00:00 | 111983.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 14:30:00 | 109105.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 17:30:00 | 111745.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 20:00:00 | 109675.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 22:45:00 | 110974.2 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 00:30:00 | 107877.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 02:30:00 | 110868.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-26 18:00:00 | 115496.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-27 03:00:00 | 116350.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-27 10:00:00 | 114451 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-27 14:00:00 | 115740.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 01:00:00 | 113416.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 10:00:00 | 116050.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 21:00:00 | 112050.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 09:00:00 | 113591.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 14:00:00 | 109105.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 00:00:00 | 107877.5 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2025 02:46:21 |
30 Oct 2025 03:10:00 |
23 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110800 | 111222.2471 | 109955.5058 | 2 | 65388.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 111222.2471 - 110800 = 422.24709999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 110800 - 109955.5058 = 844.4942
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 844.4942 / 422.24709999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2099.2448 | 100 | 0.01895 | 20.99 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 422.24709999999 = 0.02
Taille de position USD = 0.02 x 110800 = 2216
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.02 avec un stoploss a 111222.2471
Avec un position size USD de 2216$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.02 x 422.24709999999 = 8.44
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.44$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.02 x 844.4942 = 16.89
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.89$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4061 % | 106.56 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 109955.5058
[entry_price] => 110800
[stop_loss] => 111264.47181
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 03:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 109955.5058
[entry_price] => 110800
[stop_loss] => 111306.69652
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 03:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 109955.5058
[entry_price] => 110800
[stop_loss] => 111348.92123
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 03:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 109955.5058
[entry_price] => 110800
[stop_loss] => 111433.37065
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 03:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 218.2
[max_drawdown] => 743.7
[rr_ratio] => 0.29
[high] => 111543.70000000
[low] => 110581.80000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.2
[mae_pct] => 0.67
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-30T02:46:21-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-30T04:46:21-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3444
[max_drawdown] => 743.7
[rr_ratio] => 4.63
[high] => 111543.70000000
[low] => 107356.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.11
[mae_pct] => 0.67
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.63
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-30T02:46:21-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-30T09:46:21-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 110974.20000000
[high_after] => 111543.70000000
[low_before] => 107877.50000000
[low_after] => 108415.10000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)