Short Trade on TAO 30 Oct 2025 at 19:05:37
Take profit at 405.5519 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 415.2691 (0.79 %)
Short Trade on TAO 30 Oct 2025 at 19:05:37
Take profit at 405.5519 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 415.2691 (0.79 %)
Position size of 1017.6529 $
Take profit at 405.5519 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 415.2691 (0.79 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.93 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.71 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.6542 15m : 0.118802 1H : -0.026099 |
2 |
Indicators:
107529
0.00189628
107733
0.6542
108795
-0.00975971
107733
0.118802
111575
-0.0344311
107733
-0.026099
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-27 22:00:00
[1] => 404.36
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 09:00:00
[1] => 460
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 17:00:00
[1] => 421.85
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 01:00:00
[1] => 438.47
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 04:00:00
[1] => 415.32
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 14:00:00
[1] => 410
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 21:00:00
[1] => 455.35
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 03:00:00
[1] => 453.88
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 16:00:00
[1] => 388.56
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 19:00:00
[1] => 412.35
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.80756638777738
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2655960469426
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.1226065472514
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 18:15:00
[1] => 450.35
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 20:00:00
[1] => 435.53
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 21:45:00
[1] => 455.35
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 00:15:00
[1] => 432.41
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 01:45:00
[1] => 447.97
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 03:45:00
[1] => 453.88
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 05:15:00
[1] => 428.26
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 09:30:00
[1] => 406
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 16:00:00
[1] => 388.56
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 19:00:00
[1] => 412.35
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.80756638777738
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2655960469426
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.1226065472514
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 12:00:00
[1] => 408
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 12:25:00
[1] => 414.94
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 12:55:00
[1] => 415.33
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 13:35:00
[1] => 397.39
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 14:30:00
[1] => 405.39
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 16:00:00
[1] => 388.56
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 16:50:00
[1] => 404.46
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 17:15:00
[1] => 398.53
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 17:20:00
[1] => 404.66
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 19:05:00
[1] => 412.35
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.80756638777738
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.11014024524561
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9003607967182
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 12:00:00 | 408 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 12:25:00 | 414.94 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 12:55:00 | 415.33 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 13:35:00 | 397.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 14:30:00 | 405.39 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 16:00:00 | 388.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 16:50:00 | 404.46 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 17:15:00 | 398.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 17:20:00 | 404.66 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 19:05:00 | 412.35 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 18:15:00 | 450.35 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 20:00:00 | 435.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 21:45:00 | 455.35 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 00:15:00 | 432.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 01:45:00 | 447.97 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 03:45:00 | 453.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 05:15:00 | 428.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 09:30:00 | 406 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 16:00:00 | 388.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 19:00:00 | 412.35 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 22:00:00 | 404.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 09:00:00 | 460 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 17:00:00 | 421.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 01:00:00 | 438.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 04:00:00 | 415.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 14:00:00 | 410 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 21:00:00 | 455.35 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 03:00:00 | 453.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 16:00:00 | 388.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 19:00:00 | 412.35 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2025 19:05:37 |
30 Oct 2025 19:55:00 |
49 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412.03 | 415.2691 | 405.5519 | 2 | 182.62 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 415.2691 - 412.03 = 3.2391
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 412.03 - 405.5519 = 6.4781
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.4781 / 3.2391 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1017.6529 | 100 | 2.4699 | 10.18 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 3.2391 = 2.47
Taille de position USD = 2.47 x 412.03 = 1017.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.47 avec un stoploss a 415.2691
Avec un position size USD de 1017.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.47 x 3.2391 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.47 x 6.4781 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.57 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.79 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.79 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9077 % | 115.47 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 405.5519
[entry_price] => 412.03
[stop_loss] => 415.59301
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 19:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 405.5519
[entry_price] => 412.03
[stop_loss] => 415.91692
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 405.5519
[entry_price] => 412.03
[stop_loss] => 416.24083
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 405.5519
[entry_price] => 412.03
[stop_loss] => 416.88865
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 20:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.1
[max_drawdown] => 12.64
[rr_ratio] => 0.25
[high] => 424.67000000
[low] => 408.93000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.75
[mae_pct] => 3.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-30T19:05:37-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-30T21:05:37-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.1
[max_drawdown] => 29.5
[rr_ratio] => 0.11
[high] => 441.53000000
[low] => 408.93000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.75
[mae_pct] => 7.16
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-30T19:05:37-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-31T02:05:37-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 412.35000000
[high_after] => 439.36000000
[low_before] => 388.56000000
[low_after] => 408.93000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)