Short Trade on FIL 30 Oct 2025 at 19:38:44
Take profit at 1.4411 (1.02 %) and Stop Loss at 1.4635 (0.52 %)
Short Trade on FIL 30 Oct 2025 at 19:38:44
Take profit at 1.4411 (1.02 %) and Stop Loss at 1.4635 (0.52 %)
Position size of 1562.9575 $
Take profit at 1.4411 (1.02 %) and Stop Loss at 1.4635 (0.52 %)
That's a 1.99 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.96 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.94 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.95 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.756637 15m : 0.004093 1H : 0.173887 |
1 |
Indicators:
107510
0.00627543
108185
0.756637
108728
-0.00691311
107977
0.004093
111584
-0.030464
108185
0.173887
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-27 13:00:00
[1] => 1.676
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-27 22:00:00
[1] => 1.602
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 03:00:00
[1] => 1.651
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 09:00:00
[1] => 1.646
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 17:00:00
[1] => 1.531
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 08:00:00
[1] => 1.643
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 14:00:00
[1] => 1.64
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 00:00:00
[1] => 1.515
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 15:00:00
[1] => 1.397
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 19:00:00
[1] => 1.458
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.27434842249657
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0801717967072
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3664996420902
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 20:45:00
[1] => 1.603
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 22:30:00
[1] => 1.608
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 00:15:00
[1] => 1.515
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 03:15:00
[1] => 1.581
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 03:45:00
[1] => 1.581
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 05:15:00
[1] => 1.538
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 09:30:00
[1] => 1.473
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 11:30:00
[1] => 1.452
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 15:00:00
[1] => 1.397
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 19:30:00
[1] => 1.458
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.27434842249657
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0801717967072
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3664996420902
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 12:00:00
[1] => 1.452
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 12:05:00
[1] => 1.471
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 13:35:00
[1] => 1.412
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 13:45:00
[1] => 1.438
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 15:00:00
[1] => 1.416
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 15:30:00
[1] => 1.416
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 15:40:00
[1] => 1.398
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 16:30:00
[1] => 1.408
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 17:10:00
[1] => 1.429
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 19:35:00
[1] => 1.458
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.27434842249657
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2670454545455
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 37
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0293911826452
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 12:00:00 | 1.452 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 12:05:00 | 1.471 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 13:35:00 | 1.412 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 13:45:00 | 1.438 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 15:00:00 | 1.416 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 15:30:00 | 1.416 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 15:40:00 | 1.398 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 16:30:00 | 1.408 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 17:10:00 | 1.429 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 19:35:00 | 1.458 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 20:45:00 | 1.603 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 22:30:00 | 1.608 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 00:15:00 | 1.515 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 03:15:00 | 1.581 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 03:45:00 | 1.581 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 05:15:00 | 1.538 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 09:30:00 | 1.473 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 11:30:00 | 1.452 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 15:00:00 | 1.397 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 19:30:00 | 1.458 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 13:00:00 | 1.676 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-27 22:00:00 | 1.602 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-28 03:00:00 | 1.651 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 09:00:00 | 1.646 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-28 17:00:00 | 1.531 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 08:00:00 | 1.643 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 14:00:00 | 1.64 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 00:00:00 | 1.515 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 15:00:00 | 1.397 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 19:00:00 | 1.458 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2025 19:38:44 |
30 Oct 2025 19:55:00 |
16 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.456 | 1.4635 | 1.4411 | 1.99 | 1.0167 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4635 - 1.456 = 0.0075000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.456 - 1.4411 = 0.0149
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0149 / 0.0075000000000001 = 1.9867
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1562.9575 | 100 | 1073.4598 | 15.63 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0075000000000001 = 1066.67
Taille de position USD = 1066.67 x 1.456 = 1553.07
Donc, tu peux acheter 1066.67 avec un stoploss a 1.4635
Avec un position size USD de 1553.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1066.67 x 0.0075000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1066.67 x 0.0149 = 15.89
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.89$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.02 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.05 $ | -0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5495 % | 106.68 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4411
[entry_price] => 1.456
[stop_loss] => 1.46425
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4411
[entry_price] => 1.456
[stop_loss] => 1.465
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4411
[entry_price] => 1.456
[stop_loss] => 1.46575
[rr_ratio] => 1.53
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 20:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4411
[entry_price] => 1.456
[stop_loss] => 1.46725
[rr_ratio] => 1.32
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 20:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0049999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.022
[rr_ratio] => 0.23
[high] => 1.47800000
[low] => 1.45100000
[mfe_pct] => 0.34
[mae_pct] => 1.51
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.23
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-30T19:38:44-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-30T21:38:44-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0049999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.049
[rr_ratio] => 0.1
[high] => 1.50500000
[low] => 1.45100000
[mfe_pct] => 0.34
[mae_pct] => 3.37
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-30T19:38:44-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-31T02:38:44-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.45800000
[high_after] => 1.50500000
[low_before] => 1.39800000
[low_after] => 1.45100000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)