Short Trade on RIVER 30 Oct 2025 at 22:06:26
Take profit at 7.3884 (2.51 %) and Stop Loss at 7.6743 (1.26 %)
Short Trade on RIVER 30 Oct 2025 at 22:06:26
Take profit at 7.3884 (2.51 %) and Stop Loss at 7.6743 (1.26 %)
Position size of 636.3236 $
Take profit at 7.3884 (2.51 %) and Stop Loss at 7.6743 (1.26 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.95 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.015136 15m : -0.003427 1H : 0.114707 |
1 |
Indicators:
108185
0.0111535
109392
0.015136
108732
0.00606242
109392
-0.003427
111620
-0.0199645
109392
0.114707
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 13:00:00
[1] => 8.55
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 07:00:00
[1] => 8.125
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 09:00:00
[1] => 7.616
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 19:00:00
[1] => 8.454
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 22:00:00
[1] => 8.454
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 05:00:00
[1] => 7.463
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 08:00:00
[1] => 8.011
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 14:00:00
[1] => 7.361
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 20:00:00
[1] => 7.17
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 22:00:00
[1] => 7.634
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10479434110558
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3598326359833
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4714086471409
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 05:15:00
[1] => 7.463
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 06:45:00
[1] => 7.486
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 08:00:00
[1] => 8.011
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 11:15:00
[1] => 7.478
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 14:15:00
[1] => 7.361
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 16:00:00
[1] => 7.651
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 17:30:00
[1] => 7.406
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 18:15:00
[1] => 7.593
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 20:15:00
[1] => 7.17
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 22:00:00
[1] => 7.634
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10479434110558
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3598326359833
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4714086471409
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 16:05:00
[1] => 7.651
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 16:45:00
[1] => 7.465
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 17:10:00
[1] => 7.528
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 17:35:00
[1] => 7.406
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 18:25:00
[1] => 7.593
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 19:05:00
[1] => 7.382
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 19:30:00
[1] => 7.506
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 20:15:00
[1] => 7.17
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 20:55:00
[1] => 7.469
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 22:05:00
[1] => 7.634
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10479434110558
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3598326359833
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2091310751105
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 16:05:00 | 7.651 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 16:45:00 | 7.465 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 17:10:00 | 7.528 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 17:35:00 | 7.406 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 18:25:00 | 7.593 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 19:05:00 | 7.382 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 19:30:00 | 7.506 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 20:15:00 | 7.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 20:55:00 | 7.469 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 22:05:00 | 7.634 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 05:15:00 | 7.463 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 06:45:00 | 7.486 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 08:00:00 | 8.011 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 11:15:00 | 7.478 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 14:15:00 | 7.361 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 16:00:00 | 7.651 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 17:30:00 | 7.406 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 18:15:00 | 7.593 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 20:15:00 | 7.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 22:00:00 | 7.634 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 13:00:00 | 8.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 07:00:00 | 8.125 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 09:00:00 | 7.616 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 19:00:00 | 8.454 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 22:00:00 | 8.454 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 05:00:00 | 7.463 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 08:00:00 | 8.011 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 14:00:00 | 7.361 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 20:00:00 | 7.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 22:00:00 | 7.634 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2025 22:06:26 |
30 Oct 2025 22:15:00 |
8 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.579 | 7.6743 | 7.3884 | 2 | 11.012 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.6743 - 7.579 = 0.0953
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 7.579 - 7.3884 = 0.1906
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1906 / 0.0953 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 636.3236 | 100 | 83.9588 | 6.36 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0953 = 83.95
Taille de position USD = 83.95 x 7.579 = 636.26
Donc, tu peux acheter 83.95 avec un stoploss a 7.6743
Avec un position size USD de 636.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 83.95 x 0.0953 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 83.95 x 0.1906 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.9951 % | 238.2 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.3884
[entry_price] => 7.579
[stop_loss] => 7.68383
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 22:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.3884
[entry_price] => 7.579
[stop_loss] => 7.69336
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 22:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.3884
[entry_price] => 7.579
[stop_loss] => 7.70289
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 22:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.3884
[entry_price] => 7.579
[stop_loss] => 7.72195
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-30 22:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.279
[max_drawdown] => 0.421
[rr_ratio] => 0.66
[high] => 8.00000000
[low] => 7.30000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.68
[mae_pct] => 5.55
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.66
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-30T22:06:26-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-31T00:06:26-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.279
[max_drawdown] => 0.421
[rr_ratio] => 0.66
[high] => 8.00000000
[low] => 7.30000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.68
[mae_pct] => 5.55
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.66
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-30T22:06:26-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-31T05:06:26-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 7.63400000
[high_after] => 8.00000000
[low_before] => 7.17000000
[low_after] => 7.30000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)