Short Trade on SPX 31 Oct 2025 at 15:44:46
Take profit at 0.846 (3.03 %) and Stop Loss at 0.8856 (1.51 %)
Short Trade on SPX 31 Oct 2025 at 15:44:46
Take profit at 0.846 (3.03 %) and Stop Loss at 0.8856 (1.51 %)
Position size of 527.892 $
Take profit at 0.846 (3.03 %) and Stop Loss at 0.8856 (1.51 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.8 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.55 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.762346 15m : 0.084218 1H : -0.106894 |
1 |
Indicators:
109632
0.00243981
109899
0.762346
109128
0.00834202
110038
0.084218
111181
-0.011528
109899
-0.106894
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-28 21:00:00
[1] => 1.0212
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 01:00:00
[1] => 1.0022
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 03:00:00
[1] => 1.0022
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 09:00:00
[1] => 1.0783
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 14:00:00
[1] => 0.9842
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-29 16:00:00
[1] => 1.081
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 15:00:00
[1] => 0.8572
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 21:00:00
[1] => 0.9106
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 05:00:00
[1] => 0.9166
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 14:00:00
[1] => 0.8218
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.8767183067859
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.09637381358
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.53565344366
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-30 22:45:00
[1] => 0.8785
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 01:15:00
[1] => 0.9027
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 02:15:00
[1] => 0.8918
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 05:00:00
[1] => 0.9166
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 07:30:00
[1] => 0.8886
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 08:30:00
[1] => 0.9117
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 10:15:00
[1] => 0.8832
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 10:45:00
[1] => 0.9037
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 14:30:00
[1] => 0.8218
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 15:30:00
[1] => 0.874
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24027459954233
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.09637381358
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.3519104404965
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 09:20:00
[1] => 0.904
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 09:30:00
[1] => 0.8866
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 10:10:00
[1] => 0.902
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 10:20:00
[1] => 0.8832
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 10:55:00
[1] => 0.9037
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 13:20:00
[1] => 0.8229
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 13:50:00
[1] => 0.8488
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 14:35:00
[1] => 0.8494
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 15:10:00
[1] => 0.8308
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-10-31 15:40:00
[1] => 0.874
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24027459954233
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9470389985556
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1998074145402
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 09:20:00 | 0.904 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 09:30:00 | 0.8866 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 10:10:00 | 0.902 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 10:20:00 | 0.8832 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 10:55:00 | 0.9037 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 13:20:00 | 0.8229 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 13:50:00 | 0.8488 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 14:35:00 | 0.8494 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 15:10:00 | 0.8308 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 15:40:00 | 0.874 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 22:45:00 | 0.8785 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 01:15:00 | 0.9027 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 02:15:00 | 0.8918 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 05:00:00 | 0.9166 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 07:30:00 | 0.8886 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 08:30:00 | 0.9117 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 10:15:00 | 0.8832 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 10:45:00 | 0.9037 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 14:30:00 | 0.8218 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-31 15:30:00 | 0.874 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 21:00:00 | 1.0212 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 01:00:00 | 1.0022 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 03:00:00 | 1.0022 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 09:00:00 | 1.0783 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-29 14:00:00 | 0.9842 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-29 16:00:00 | 1.081 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-30 15:00:00 | 0.8572 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-10-30 21:00:00 | 0.9106 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 05:00:00 | 0.9166 | ↑ High |
| 2025-10-31 14:00:00 | 0.8218 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2025 15:44:46 |
31 Oct 2025 16:40:00 |
55 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8724 | 0.8856 | 0.846 | 2 | 0.2959 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8856 - 0.8724 = 0.0132
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8724 - 0.846 = 0.0264
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0264 / 0.0132 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 527.892 | 100 | 605.1032 | 5.28 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0132 = 606.06
Taille de position USD = 606.06 x 0.8724 = 528.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 606.06 avec un stoploss a 0.8856
Avec un position size USD de 528.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 606.06 x 0.0132 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 606.06 x 0.0264 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.03 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.51 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.97 $ | 3.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7336 % | 48.48 % | 4 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.846
[stop_loss] => 0.8856
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-10-31 16:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.8394
[stop_loss] => 0.8856
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-10-31 16:50:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.037
[max_drawdown] => 0.0064000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 5.78
[high] => 0.87880000
[low] => 0.83540000
[mfe_pct] => 4.24
[mae_pct] => 0.73
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.78
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-10-31T15:44:46-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-31T17:44:46-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0479
[max_drawdown] => 0.0064000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 7.48
[high] => 0.87880000
[low] => 0.82450000
[mfe_pct] => 5.49
[mae_pct] => 0.73
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.48
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-10-31T15:44:46-04:00
[end_at] => 2025-10-31T22:44:46-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.89290000
[high_after] => 0.87880000
[low_before] => 0.82180000
[low_after] => 0.83530000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)