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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 31 Oct 2025 at 18:20:31

Take profit at 269.5262 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 270.2969 (0.095 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 31 Oct 2025 at 18:20:31

With 31.1428 MSTR at 270.04$ per unit.

Position size of 8409.7898 $

Take profit at 269.5262 (0.19 %) and Stop Loss at 270.2969 (0.095 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 2.97
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.78
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.69
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.410149

15m : 0.036858

1H : 0.050259

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.1712543793
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 270.326
  4. ema21 : 270.838
  5. ema50 : 273.285
  6. ema100 : 278.466
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00105963
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00189062
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00895551
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0302586
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0540275
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0283296
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.052027
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0639214
  17. rsi : 0.473978
  18. adx : 0.230675
  19. kc_percentage : 0.434077
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0425573
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.0636
  22. volume_ema1 : 2994691.8067014
  23. volume_ema2 : 1451192.1036219
  24. chop : 51.0031
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 269.838
  28. ema21 : 269.986
  29. ema50 : 270.449
  30. ema100 : 269.986
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.000746369
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000546583
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00171275
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.000198666
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.016606
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0106707
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0123469
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.001658
  41. rsi : 0.494345
  42. adx : 0.132959
  43. kc_percentage : 0.525133
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0112406
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.868492
  46. volume_ema1 : 115858.80425027
  47. volume_ema2 : 881008.22379623
  48. chop : 50.542
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 269.937
  52. ema21 : 269.813
  53. ema50 : 269.85
  54. ema100 : 270.091
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000381142
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000459684
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000139091
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.000190358
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00702439
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00574473
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.000421073
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00191428
  65. rsi : 0.591003
  66. adx : 0.227448
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02908
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00153333
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.999724
  70. volume_ema1 : 88.163656287766
  71. volume_ema2 : 319964.58634995
  72. chop : 70.6474
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    109694
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000521597
  78. 5m_price: 
    109752
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.410149
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    109317
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0039796
  83. 15m_price: 
    109752
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.036858
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    111010
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0113355
  88. 1H_price: 
    109752
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.050259
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 01:00:00
                    [1] => 286.99
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 09:00:00
                    [1] => 286.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 275.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 23:00:00
                    [1] => 279.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 00:00:00
                    [1] => 273.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 253.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 22:00:00
                    [1] => 276.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 09:00:00
                    [1] => 264.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 11:00:00
                    [1] => 275.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:00:00
                    [1] => 265.85
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1062171470002
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5760767350009
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7615196539402
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 22:00:00
                    [1] => 276.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 01:00:00
                    [1] => 276.16
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 03:45:00
                    [1] => 271.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 05:30:00
                    [1] => 273.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 08:00:00
                    [1] => 272.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 09:30:00
                    [1] => 264.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 11:30:00
                    [1] => 275.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:00:00
                    [1] => 265.85
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:45:00
                    [1] => 271.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:45:00
                    [1] => 270.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074008288928356
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.12977863472877
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.32563647128478
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:50:00
                    [1] => 271.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 16:15:00
                    [1] => 269.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 16:45:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 16:55:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:05:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:15:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:25:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:35:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:45:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:55:00
                    [1] => 270.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074008288928356
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.12977863472877
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.20393785457377
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.13%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.20%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8231
0.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1162
0.04%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-31 15:50:00 271.12 ↑ High
2025-10-31 16:15:00 269.41 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 16:45:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 16:55:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:05:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:15:00 269.69 ↑ High
2025-10-31 17:25:00 269.69 ↑ High
2025-10-31 17:35:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:45:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:55:00 270.24 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.13%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.1031
2.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.4162
2.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-30 22:00:00 276.4 ↑ High
2025-10-31 01:00:00 276.16 ↑ High
2025-10-31 03:45:00 271.45 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 05:30:00 273.29 ↑ High
2025-10-31 08:00:00 272.2 ↑ High
2025-10-31 09:30:00 264.11 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 11:30:00 275.85 ↑ High
2025-10-31 15:00:00 265.85 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 15:45:00 271.12 ↑ High
2025-10-31 17:45:00 270.24 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.58%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.76%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.6931
6.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
16.3062
6.05%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-29 01:00:00 286.99 ↑ High
2025-10-29 09:00:00 286.9 ↑ High
2025-10-29 16:00:00 275.57 ↓ Low
2025-10-29 23:00:00 279.29 ↑ High
2025-10-30 00:00:00 273.44 ↓ Low
2025-10-30 16:00:00 253.22 ↓ Low
2025-10-30 22:00:00 276.4 ↑ High
2025-10-31 09:00:00 264.11 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 11:00:00 275.85 ↑ High
2025-10-31 15:00:00 265.85 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Oct 2025
18:20:31		 31 Oct 2025
20:05:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
270.04 270.2969 269.5262 2 131.3
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 270.04
  • Stop Loss: 270.2969
  • Take Profit: 269.5262

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 270.2969 - 270.04 = 0.25689999999997

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 270.04 - 269.5262 = 0.5138

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5138 / 0.25689999999997 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
8409.7898 100 31.1428 84.10
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.25689999999997

Taille de position = 8 / 0.25689999999997 = 31.14

Taille de position USD = 31.14 x 270.04 = 8409.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 31.14 avec un stoploss a 270.2969

Avec un position size USD de 8409.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 31.14 x 0.25689999999997 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 31.14 x 0.5138 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 31.14
  • Taille de position USD 8409.05
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.19 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.095 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1148 % 120.72 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.5262
            [entry_price] => 270.04
            [stop_loss] => 270.32259
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.5262
            [entry_price] => 270.04
            [stop_loss] => 270.34828
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.5262
            [entry_price] => 270.04
            [stop_loss] => 270.37397
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.5262
            [entry_price] => 270.04
            [stop_loss] => 270.42535
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.44
            [max_drawdown] => 0.31
            [rr_ratio] => 1.42
            [high] => 270.35000000
            [low] => 269.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.42
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-31T18:20:31-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-31T20:20:31-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.95000000000005
            [max_drawdown] => 0.31
            [rr_ratio] => 3.06
            [high] => 270.35000000
            [low] => 269.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.35
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-31T18:20:31-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-01T01:20:31-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 271.12000000
            [high_after] => 270.35000000
            [low_before] => 265.85000000
            [low_after] => 269.09000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)