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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 31 Oct 2025 at 18:44:29

Take profit at 269.8034 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 270.4283 (0.077 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 31 Oct 2025 at 18:44:29

With 38.4049 MSTR at 270.22$ per unit.

Position size of 10377.7757 $

Take profit at 269.8034 (0.15 %) and Stop Loss at 270.4283 (0.077 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.79
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.75
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.410018

15m : 0.09838

1H : -0.108243

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.37
  4. atr: 0.1388711193
Details
  1. score: 1.37
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 270.362
  4. ema21 : 270.854
  5. ema50 : 273.292
  6. ema100 : 278.469
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000526876
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00181801
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00892123
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0296246
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0529249
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0278278
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0518131
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0638156
  17. rsi : 0.478055
  18. adx : 0.230675
  19. kc_percentage : 0.44857
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0427954
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.06363
  22. volume_ema1 : 2994748.5529014
  23. volume_ema2 : 1451198.7796455
  24. chop : 51.0139
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 269.878
  28. ema21 : 269.991
  29. ema50 : 270.462
  30. ema100 : 270.205
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00126397
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000415941
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00174375
  34. price_ema100_diff : 5.44026E-5
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0208427
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0062927
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0109507
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00270095
  41. rsi : 0.494273
  42. adx : 0.124594
  43. kc_percentage : 0.591129
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0101097
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.908749
  46. volume_ema1 : 77239.202833513
  47. volume_ema2 : 846449.25171665
  48. chop : 63.5037
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 270.062
  52. ema21 : 269.916
  53. ema50 : 269.888
  54. ema100 : 270.047
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000582611
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000542399
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000104229
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.000637083
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0112644
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00831752
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00246747
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.000329807
  65. rsi : 0.643841
  66. adx : 0.278956
  67. kc_percentage : 1.37445
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00124483
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.999797
  70. volume_ema1 : 55.245843217336
  71. volume_ema2 : 272567.90370075
  72. chop : 61.7741
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    109620
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000157776
  78. 5m_price: 
    109603
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.410018
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    109356
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00276565
  83. 15m_price: 
    109658
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.09838
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    111007
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0126488
  88. 1H_price: 
    109603
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.108243
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 01:00:00
                    [1] => 286.99
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 09:00:00
                    [1] => 286.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 275.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 23:00:00
                    [1] => 279.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 00:00:00
                    [1] => 273.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 253.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 22:00:00
                    [1] => 276.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 09:00:00
                    [1] => 264.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 11:00:00
                    [1] => 275.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:00:00
                    [1] => 265.85
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0482146093892
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.636261049464
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7615196539402
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 22:00:00
                    [1] => 276.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 01:00:00
                    [1] => 276.16
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 03:45:00
                    [1] => 271.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 05:30:00
                    [1] => 273.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 08:00:00
                    [1] => 272.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 09:30:00
                    [1] => 264.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 11:30:00
                    [1] => 275.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:00:00
                    [1] => 265.85
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:45:00
                    [1] => 271.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:45:00
                    [1] => 270.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01480165778568
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.18910601060477
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.32563647128478
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 16:15:00
                    [1] => 269.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 16:45:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 16:55:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:05:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:15:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:25:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:35:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:45:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:55:00
                    [1] => 270.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 18:35:00
                    [1] => 270.22
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0074013766560723
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.18910601060477
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.0074013766560513
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.19%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1883
0.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.3934
0.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-31 16:15:00 269.41 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 16:45:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 16:55:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:05:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:15:00 269.69 ↑ High
2025-10-31 17:25:00 269.69 ↑ High
2025-10-31 17:35:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:45:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:55:00 270.24 ↑ High
2025-10-31 18:35:00 270.22 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.19%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.9717
2.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6934
2.11%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-30 22:00:00 276.4 ↑ High
2025-10-31 01:00:00 276.16 ↑ High
2025-10-31 03:45:00 271.45 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 05:30:00 273.29 ↑ High
2025-10-31 08:00:00 272.2 ↑ High
2025-10-31 09:30:00 264.11 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 11:30:00 275.85 ↑ High
2025-10-31 15:00:00 265.85 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 15:45:00 271.12 ↑ High
2025-10-31 17:45:00 270.24 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.64%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.76%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.5617
6.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
16.5834
6.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-29 01:00:00 286.99 ↑ High
2025-10-29 09:00:00 286.9 ↑ High
2025-10-29 16:00:00 275.57 ↓ Low
2025-10-29 23:00:00 279.29 ↑ High
2025-10-30 00:00:00 273.44 ↓ Low
2025-10-30 16:00:00 253.22 ↓ Low
2025-10-30 22:00:00 276.4 ↑ High
2025-10-31 09:00:00 264.11 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 11:00:00 275.85 ↑ High
2025-10-31 15:00:00 265.85 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Oct 2025
18:44:29		 31 Oct 2025
20:15:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
270.22 270.4283 269.8034 2 131.16
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 270.22
  • Stop Loss: 270.4283
  • Take Profit: 269.8034

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 270.4283 - 270.22 = 0.20829999999995

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 270.22 - 269.8034 = 0.41660000000002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.41660000000002 / 0.20829999999995 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
10377.7757 100 38.4049 103.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.20829999999995

Taille de position = 8 / 0.20829999999995 = 38.41

Taille de position USD = 38.41 x 270.22 = 10379.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 38.41 avec un stoploss a 270.4283

Avec un position size USD de 10379.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 38.41 x 0.20829999999995 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 38.41 x 0.41660000000002 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 38.41
  • Taille de position USD 10379.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.15 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.077 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0481 % 62.39 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.8034
            [stop_loss] => 270.4283
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.69925
            [stop_loss] => 270.4283
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.5951
            [stop_loss] => 270.4283
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.49095
            [stop_loss] => 270.4283
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.3868
            [stop_loss] => 270.4283
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.28265
            [stop_loss] => 270.4283
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.1785
            [stop_loss] => 270.4283
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.1300000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.13
            [rr_ratio] => 8.69
            [high] => 270.35000000
            [low] => 269.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.42
            [mae_pct] => 0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-31T18:44:29-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-31T20:44:29-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.1300000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.13
            [rr_ratio] => 8.69
            [high] => 270.35000000
            [low] => 269.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.42
            [mae_pct] => 0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-31T18:44:29-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-01T01:44:29-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 271.12000000
            [high_after] => 270.35000000
            [low_before] => 265.85000000
            [low_after] => 269.09000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)