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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 31 Oct 2025 at 19:19:30

Take profit at 269.9493 (0.093 %) and Stop Loss at 270.3253 (0.046 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 31 Oct 2025 at 19:19:30

With 63.8282 MSTR at 270.2$ per unit.

Position size of 17246.3859 $

Take profit at 269.9493 (0.093 %) and Stop Loss at 270.3253 (0.046 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.54
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.82
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.393301

15m : -0.070513

1H : -0.001261

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.33
  4. atr: 0.08355760307
Details
  1. score: 1.33
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 270.326
  4. ema21 : 270.793
  5. ema50 : 273.145
  6. ema100 : 278.115
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000468906
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00172389
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00860979
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0284628
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0418256
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0250494
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0492367
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0610704
  17. rsi : 0.477625
  18. adx : 0.231336
  19. kc_percentage : 0.446731
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0385187
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.432038
  22. volume_ema1 : 1996536.8632676
  23. volume_ema2 : 1394191.9892582
  24. chop : 50.8405
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 270.051
  28. ema21 : 270.054
  29. ema50 : 270.434
  30. ema100 : 270.179
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00054815
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -7.60957E-6
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00140833
  34. price_ema100_diff : 7.68709E-5
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0154156
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00233066
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00856194
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00174606
  41. rsi : 0.504985
  42. adx : 0.101901
  43. kc_percentage : 0.577441
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0075648
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.969464
  46. volume_ema1 : 22919.315861782
  47. volume_ema2 : 750587.88128115
  48. chop : 105.812
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 270.17
  52. ema21 : 270.053
  53. ema50 : 270.018
  54. ema100 : 270.516
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000109714
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000432276
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000131025
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00116978
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00799534
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00811504
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00285614
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00293482
  65. rsi : 0.633618
  66. adx : 0.344832
  67. kc_percentage : 1.33109
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.000609663
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.999968
  70. volume_ema1 : 6.5543868001002
  71. volume_ema2 : 205959.42563344
  72. chop : 79.7589
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    109696
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00137037
  78. 5m_price: 
    109546
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.393301
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    109330
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00197583
  83. 15m_price: 
    109546
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.070513
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    110911
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0123034
  88. 1H_price: 
    109546
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.001261
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 01:00:00
                    [1] => 286.99
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 09:00:00
                    [1] => 286.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 275.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 23:00:00
                    [1] => 279.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 00:00:00
                    [1] => 273.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 253.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 22:00:00
                    [1] => 276.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 09:00:00
                    [1] => 264.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 11:00:00
                    [1] => 275.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:00:00
                    [1] => 265.85
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0482146093892
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.636261049464
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7615196539402
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 22:00:00
                    [1] => 276.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 01:00:00
                    [1] => 276.16
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 03:45:00
                    [1] => 271.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 05:30:00
                    [1] => 273.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 08:00:00
                    [1] => 272.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 09:30:00
                    [1] => 264.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 11:30:00
                    [1] => 275.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:00:00
                    [1] => 265.85
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:45:00
                    [1] => 271.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:45:00
                    [1] => 270.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.01480165778568
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.18910601060477
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.32563647128478
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:05:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:15:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:25:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:35:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:45:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:55:00
                    [1] => 270.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 18:35:00
                    [1] => 270.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 19:05:00
                    [1] => 270.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 19:10:00
                    [1] => 270.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 19:15:00
                    [1] => 270.2
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0853
0.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2593
0.10%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-31 17:05:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:15:00 269.69 ↑ High
2025-10-31 17:25:00 269.69 ↑ High
2025-10-31 17:35:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:45:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:55:00 270.24 ↑ High
2025-10-31 18:35:00 270.22 ↑ High
2025-10-31 19:05:00 270.2 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 19:10:00 270.2 ↑ High
2025-10-31 19:15:00 270.2 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.19%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.0747
2.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.8393
2.16%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-30 22:00:00 276.4 ↑ High
2025-10-31 01:00:00 276.16 ↑ High
2025-10-31 03:45:00 271.45 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 05:30:00 273.29 ↑ High
2025-10-31 08:00:00 272.2 ↑ High
2025-10-31 09:30:00 264.11 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 11:30:00 275.85 ↑ High
2025-10-31 15:00:00 265.85 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 15:45:00 271.12 ↑ High
2025-10-31 17:45:00 270.24 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.64%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.76%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.6647
6.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
16.7293
6.20%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-29 01:00:00 286.99 ↑ High
2025-10-29 09:00:00 286.9 ↑ High
2025-10-29 16:00:00 275.57 ↓ Low
2025-10-29 23:00:00 279.29 ↑ High
2025-10-30 00:00:00 273.44 ↓ Low
2025-10-30 16:00:00 253.22 ↓ Low
2025-10-30 22:00:00 276.4 ↑ High
2025-10-31 09:00:00 264.11 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 11:00:00 275.85 ↑ High
2025-10-31 15:00:00 265.85 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Oct 2025
19:19:30		 31 Oct 2025
19:50:00		 30 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
270.2 270.3253 269.9493 2 131.11
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 270.2
  • Stop Loss: 270.3253
  • Take Profit: 269.9493

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 270.3253 - 270.2 = 0.12530000000004

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 270.2 - 269.9493 = 0.25069999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.25069999999999 / 0.12530000000004 = 2.0008

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
17246.3859 100 63.8282 172.46
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.12530000000004

Taille de position = 8 / 0.12530000000004 = 63.85

Taille de position USD = 63.85 x 270.2 = 17252.27

Donc, tu peux acheter 63.85 avec un stoploss a 270.3253

Avec un position size USD de 17252.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 63.85 x 0.12530000000004 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 63.85 x 0.25069999999999 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 63.85
  • Taille de position USD 17252.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0008

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.093 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.046 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.9494
            [stop_loss] => 270.3253
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 19:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.88675
            [stop_loss] => 270.3253
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.8241
            [stop_loss] => 270.3253
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.76145
            [stop_loss] => 270.3253
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.6988
            [stop_loss] => 270.3253
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.63615
            [stop_loss] => 270.3253
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.5735
            [stop_loss] => 270.3253
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.51085
            [stop_loss] => 270.3253
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.4482
            [stop_loss] => 270.3253
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.38555
            [stop_loss] => 270.3253
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.3229
            [stop_loss] => 270.3253
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.11
            [max_drawdown] => 0.15000000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 7.4
            [high] => 270.35000000
            [low] => 269.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.41
            [mae_pct] => 0.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-31T19:19:30-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-31T21:19:30-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.11
            [max_drawdown] => 0.15000000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 7.4
            [high] => 270.35000000
            [low] => 269.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.41
            [mae_pct] => 0.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-31T19:19:30-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-01T02:19:30-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 271.12000000
            [high_after] => 270.35000000
            [low_before] => 267.54000000
            [low_after] => 269.09000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)