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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 31 Oct 2025 at 20:13:28

Take profit at 270.1066 (0.09 %) and Stop Loss at 270.4717 (0.045 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 31 Oct 2025 at 20:13:28

With 65.7328 MSTR at 270.35$ per unit.

Position size of 17770.86 $

Take profit at 270.1066 (0.09 %) and Stop Loss at 270.4717 (0.045 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.59
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.89
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.372105

15m : 0.064186

1H : -0.077205

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.43
  4. atr: 0.08113657216
Details
  1. score: 1.43
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 270.288
  4. ema21 : 270.73
  5. ema50 : 273.018
  6. ema100 : 277.904
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00022862
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00163521
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0083784
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0271826
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0282106
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0204587
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0462347
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0590146
  17. rsi : 0.482449
  18. adx : 0.231763
  19. kc_percentage : 0.464431
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0356285
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.00638829
  22. volume_ema1 : 1331124.775234
  23. volume_ema2 : 1339683.063755
  24. chop : 50.6868
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 270.091
  28. ema21 : 270.07
  29. ema50 : 270.415
  30. ema100 : 270.302
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.000955937
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 7.91247E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00127486
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.000176975
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0139081
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00114862
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00662333
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00204629
  41. rsi : 0.52061
  42. adx : 0.0868263
  43. kc_percentage : 0.662996
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00653277
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.989681
  46. volume_ema1 : 6877.7057553427
  47. volume_ema2 : 666527.46047201
  48. chop : 114.162
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 270.136
  52. ema21 : 270.087
  53. ema50 : 270.071
  54. ema100 : 270.654
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000790599
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000180594
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 5.84492E-5
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00112461
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.000817957
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.001496
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.000629089
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00459502
  65. rsi : 0.662016
  66. adx : 0.262623
  67. kc_percentage : 1.42591
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00102966
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.999813
  70. volume_ema1 : 24.664025205996
  71. volume_ema2 : 132518.65571248
  72. chop : 36.0835
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    109619
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.002023
  78. 5m_price: 
    109398
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.372105
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    109348
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000449108
  83. 15m_price: 
    109398
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.064186
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    110860
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0131909
  88. 1H_price: 
    109398
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.077205
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 01:00:00
                    [1] => 286.99
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 09:00:00
                    [1] => 286.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 275.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-29 23:00:00
                    [1] => 279.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 00:00:00
                    [1] => 273.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 253.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-30 22:00:00
                    [1] => 276.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 09:00:00
                    [1] => 264.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 11:00:00
                    [1] => 275.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:00:00
                    [1] => 265.85
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9938372303788
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6926838442731
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7615196539402
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 03:45:00
                    [1] => 271.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 05:30:00
                    [1] => 273.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 08:00:00
                    [1] => 272.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 09:30:00
                    [1] => 264.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 11:30:00
                    [1] => 275.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:00:00
                    [1] => 265.85
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 15:45:00
                    [1] => 271.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:45:00
                    [1] => 270.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 19:45:00
                    [1] => 269.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 20:00:00
                    [1] => 270.35
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.1555958952321
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.1555958952321
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:35:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:45:00
                    [1] => 269.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 17:55:00
                    [1] => 270.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 18:35:00
                    [1] => 270.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 19:10:00
                    [1] => 270.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 19:20:00
                    [1] => 270.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 19:30:00
                    [1] => 270.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 19:50:00
                    [1] => 269.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 20:00:00
                    [1] => 269.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-10-31 20:05:00
                    [1] => 270.35
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.1555958952321
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.1555958952321
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.16%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.16%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1217
0.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.4166
0.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-31 17:35:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:45:00 269.69 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 17:55:00 270.24 ↑ High
2025-10-31 18:35:00 270.22 ↑ High
2025-10-31 19:10:00 270.2 ↑ High
2025-10-31 19:20:00 270.2 ↑ High
2025-10-31 19:30:00 270.2 ↑ High
2025-10-31 19:50:00 269.93 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 20:00:00 269.93 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 20:05:00 270.35 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.16%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.16%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.3783
1.99%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.9966
2.22%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-31 03:45:00 271.45 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 05:30:00 273.29 ↑ High
2025-10-31 08:00:00 272.2 ↑ High
2025-10-31 09:30:00 264.11 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 11:30:00 275.85 ↑ High
2025-10-31 15:00:00 265.85 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 15:45:00 271.12 ↑ High
2025-10-31 17:45:00 270.24 ↑ High
2025-10-31 19:45:00 269.93 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 20:00:00 270.35 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.99%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.69%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.76%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.5183
6.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
16.8866
6.25%
DateTime Price Type
2025-10-29 01:00:00 286.99 ↑ High
2025-10-29 09:00:00 286.9 ↑ High
2025-10-29 16:00:00 275.57 ↓ Low
2025-10-29 23:00:00 279.29 ↑ High
2025-10-30 00:00:00 273.44 ↓ Low
2025-10-30 16:00:00 253.22 ↓ Low
2025-10-30 22:00:00 276.4 ↑ High
2025-10-31 09:00:00 264.11 ↓ Low
2025-10-31 11:00:00 275.85 ↑ High
2025-10-31 15:00:00 265.85 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Oct 2025
20:13:28		 31 Oct 2025
20:15:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
270.35 270.4717 270.1066 2 129.46
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 270.35
  • Stop Loss: 270.4717
  • Take Profit: 270.1066

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 270.4717 - 270.35 = 0.12169999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 270.35 - 270.1066 = 0.24340000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.24340000000001 / 0.12169999999998 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
17770.86 100 65.7328 177.71
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.12169999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.12169999999998 = 65.74

Taille de position USD = 65.74 x 270.35 = 17772.81

Donc, tu peux acheter 65.74 avec un stoploss a 270.4717

Avec un position size USD de 17772.81$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 65.74 x 0.12169999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 65.74 x 0.24340000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 65.74
  • Taille de position USD 17772.81
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.09 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.045 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 270.1066
            [stop_loss] => 270.4717
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 270.04575
            [stop_loss] => 270.4717
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.9849
            [stop_loss] => 270.4717
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.92405
            [stop_loss] => 270.4717
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.8632
            [stop_loss] => 270.4717
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.80235
            [stop_loss] => 270.4717
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.7415
            [stop_loss] => 270.4717
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.68065
            [stop_loss] => 270.4717
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.6198
            [stop_loss] => 270.4717
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.55895
            [stop_loss] => 270.4717
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 269.4981
            [stop_loss] => 270.4717
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-10-31 20:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.26
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 270.35000000
            [low] => 269.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.47
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-10-31T20:13:28-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-10-31T22:13:28-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.26
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 270.35000000
            [low] => 269.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.47
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-10-31T20:13:28-04:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-01T03:13:28-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 270.38000000
            [high_after] => 270.35000000
            [low_before] => 269.41000000
            [low_after] => 269.09000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)