Short Trade on PENGU 04 Nov 2025 at 17:34:25
Take profit at 0.01388 (3.81 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01471 (1.94 %)
Short Trade on PENGU 04 Nov 2025 at 17:34:25
Take profit at 0.01388 (3.81 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01471 (1.94 %)
Position size of 419.7412 $
Take profit at 0.01388 (3.81 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01471 (1.94 %)
That's a 1.96 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.51 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.86 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.868402 15m : 0.036619 1H : -0.08139 |
3 |
Indicators:
101407
-0.000621376
101344
0.868402
103461
-0.0204637
101344
0.036619
106932
-0.0522641
101344
-0.08139
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 14:00:00
[1] => 0.01715
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-02 19:00:00
[1] => 0.017919
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-03 01:00:00
[1] => 0.01607
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-03 04:00:00
[1] => 0.016727
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-03 10:00:00
[1] => 0.014762
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-03 17:00:00
[1] => 0.015148
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-03 20:00:00
[1] => 0.015728
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 02:00:00
[1] => 0.014481
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 10:00:00
[1] => 0.015129
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 16:00:00
[1] => 0.013213
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.7524621587679
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.0592598198744
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.500870354953
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-03 20:30:00
[1] => 0.015728
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 00:45:00
[1] => 0.014585
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 02:45:00
[1] => 0.014481
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 04:30:00
[1] => 0.015049
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 05:00:00
[1] => 0.015049
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 09:30:00
[1] => 0.014392
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 10:15:00
[1] => 0.015129
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 13:30:00
[1] => 0.01378
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 16:30:00
[1] => 0.013213
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 17:30:00
[1] => 0.014451
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28371738980002
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.0592598198744
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.3695602815409
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 10:20:00
[1] => 0.015129
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 10:50:00
[1] => 0.014595
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 12:15:00
[1] => 0.013957
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 12:35:00
[1] => 0.014634
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 13:30:00
[1] => 0.01378
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 14:00:00
[1] => 0.014413
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 15:15:00
[1] => 0.01324
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 15:40:00
[1] => 0.014124
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 16:35:00
[1] => 0.013213
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-04 17:30:00
[1] => 0.014451
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28371738980002
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.0592598198744
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.3695602815409
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 10:20:00 | 0.015129 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-04 10:50:00 | 0.014595 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-04 12:15:00 | 0.013957 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-04 12:35:00 | 0.014634 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-04 13:30:00 | 0.01378 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-04 14:00:00 | 0.014413 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-04 15:15:00 | 0.01324 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-04 15:40:00 | 0.014124 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-04 16:35:00 | 0.013213 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-04 17:30:00 | 0.014451 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 20:30:00 | 0.015728 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-04 00:45:00 | 0.014585 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-04 02:45:00 | 0.014481 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-04 04:30:00 | 0.015049 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-04 05:00:00 | 0.015049 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-04 09:30:00 | 0.014392 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-04 10:15:00 | 0.015129 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-04 13:30:00 | 0.01378 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-04 16:30:00 | 0.013213 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-04 17:30:00 | 0.014451 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-02 14:00:00 | 0.01715 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-02 19:00:00 | 0.017919 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-03 01:00:00 | 0.01607 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-03 04:00:00 | 0.016727 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-03 10:00:00 | 0.014762 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-03 17:00:00 | 0.015148 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-03 20:00:00 | 0.015728 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-04 02:00:00 | 0.014481 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-04 10:00:00 | 0.015129 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-04 16:00:00 | 0.013213 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov 2025 17:34:25 |
04 Nov 2025 20:15:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01443 | 0.01471 | 0.01388 | 1.96 | 0.006991 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01471 - 0.01443 = 0.00028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01443 - 0.01388 = 0.00055
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00055 / 0.00028 = 1.9643
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 419.7412 | 100 | 29080.0308 | 4.20 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00028 = 28571.43
Taille de position USD = 28571.43 x 0.01443 = 412.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 28571.43 avec un stoploss a 0.01471
Avec un position size USD de 412.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 28571.43 x 0.00028 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 28571.43 x 0.00055 = 15.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.71$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.81 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.94 % | 8.14 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 3.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4712 % | 24.28 % | 11 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01387
[stop_loss] => 0.01471
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-04 20:15:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01373
[stop_loss] => 0.01471
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-04 20:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01359
[stop_loss] => 0.01471
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-04 20:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01345
[stop_loss] => 0.01471
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-04 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01331
[stop_loss] => 0.01471
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-04 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01317
[stop_loss] => 0.01471
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-04 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01303
[stop_loss] => 0.01471
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-04 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01289
[stop_loss] => 0.01471
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-04 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01275
[stop_loss] => 0.01471
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-04 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01261
[stop_loss] => 0.01471
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-04 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01247
[stop_loss] => 0.01471
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-04 22:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.000305
[max_drawdown] => 6.8E-5
[rr_ratio] => 4.49
[high] => 0.01449800
[low] => 0.01412500
[mfe_pct] => 2.11
[mae_pct] => 0.47
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.49
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-04T17:34:25-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-04T19:34:25-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.000853
[max_drawdown] => 0.00039
[rr_ratio] => 2.19
[high] => 0.01482000
[low] => 0.01357700
[mfe_pct] => 5.91
[mae_pct] => 2.7
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.19
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-04T17:34:25-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-05T00:34:25-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.01445100
[high_after] => 0.01482000
[low_before] => 0.01321300
[low_after] => 0.01357700
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)