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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 06 Nov 2025 at 14:11:23

Take profit at 239.8014 (1.02 %) and Stop Loss at 243.5193 (0.51 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 06 Nov 2025 at 14:11:23

With 6.4552 MSTR at 242.28$ per unit.

Position size of 1563.9775 $

Take profit at 239.8014 (1.02 %) and Stop Loss at 243.5193 (0.51 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 9.32
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.53
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.53
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.485816

15m : -0.025381

1H : -0.013913

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.8262011518
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 244.112
  4. ema21 : 247.816
  5. ema50 : 251.297
  6. ema100 : 255.529
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00750702
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0149456
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0138538
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0518526
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.323335
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.182008
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103022
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0786549
  17. rsi : 0.373251
  18. adx : 0.304614
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0611038
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0502696
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.305206
  22. volume_ema1 : 734407.50948733
  23. volume_ema2 : 1057015.5299866
  24. chop : 23.6587
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 240.429
  28. ema21 : 242.364
  29. ema50 : 246.39
  30. ema100 : 248.808
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00769841
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00798365
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0163407
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0262382
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.132955
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.186305
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.138859
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0831887
  41. rsi : 0.462667
  42. adx : 0.462387
  43. kc_percentage : 0.514721
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0301353
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.762738
  46. volume_ema1 : 98078.956861352
  47. volume_ema2 : 413378.77050049
  48. chop : 59.0394
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 240.817
  52. ema21 : 240.24
  53. ema50 : 241.495
  54. ema100 : 244.425
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00607214
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00240333
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00519851
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00877669
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0559632
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0228676
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0239709
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0379922
  65. rsi : 0.634261
  66. adx : 0.183454
  67. kc_percentage : 1.14502
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.012993
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.699887
  70. volume_ema1 : 17757.106357741
  71. volume_ema2 : 59168.168449606
  72. chop : 38.23
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    102056
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00243986
  78. 5m_price: 
    101807
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.485816
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102836
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0100145
  83. 15m_price: 
    101807
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.025381
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    104446
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0252714
  88. 1H_price: 
    101807
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.013913
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-03 11:00:00
                    [1] => 260.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-04 20:00:00
                    [1] => 241.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-04 22:00:00
                    [1] => 252.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 07:00:00
                    [1] => 253.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 11:00:00
                    [1] => 247.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 16:00:00
                    [1] => 256.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 20:00:00
                    [1] => 251.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 23:00:00
                    [1] => 256.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 09:00:00
                    [1] => 253.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 11:00:00
                    [1] => 237.37
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.1469381313131
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3423347516535
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.7700214854447
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 19:00:00
                    [1] => 255.39
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 20:15:00
                    [1] => 251.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 23:45:00
                    [1] => 256.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 05:00:00
                    [1] => 251.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 05:30:00
                    [1] => 253.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 07:00:00
                    [1] => 253.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 07:45:00
                    [1] => 251.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 08:45:00
                    [1] => 253.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 11:45:00
                    [1] => 237.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 14:00:00
                    [1] => 243.08
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061708079644564
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3423347516535
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4055272359607
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 08:50:00
                    [1] => 253.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 09:00:00
                    [1] => 253.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 10:55:00
                    [1] => 238.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 11:05:00
                    [1] => 242.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 11:50:00
                    [1] => 237.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 12:10:00
                    [1] => 239.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 12:30:00
                    [1] => 237.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 12:55:00
                    [1] => 240.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 13:15:00
                    [1] => 237.75
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 14:10:00
                    [1] => 243.08
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061708079644564
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1787592008412
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2418506834911
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.24%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.9207
4.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4314
1.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-06 08:50:00 253.44 ↑ High
2025-11-06 09:00:00 253.44 ↑ High
2025-11-06 10:55:00 238.31 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 11:05:00 242.3 ↑ High
2025-11-06 11:50:00 237.37 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 12:10:00 239.75 ↑ High
2025-11-06 12:30:00 237.57 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 12:55:00 240.94 ↑ High
2025-11-06 13:15:00 237.75 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 14:10:00 243.08 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.34%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.41%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.0007
5.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4314
1.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-05 19:00:00 255.39 ↑ High
2025-11-05 20:15:00 251.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 23:45:00 256.52 ↑ High
2025-11-06 05:00:00 251.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 05:30:00 253.36 ↑ High
2025-11-06 07:00:00 253.28 ↑ High
2025-11-06 07:45:00 251.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 08:45:00 253.44 ↑ High
2025-11-06 11:45:00 237.37 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 14:00:00 243.08 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.34%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.77%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.2507
5.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4314
1.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-03 11:00:00 260.9 ↓ Low
2025-11-04 20:00:00 241.27 ↓ Low
2025-11-04 22:00:00 252.72 ↑ High
2025-11-05 07:00:00 253.73 ↑ High
2025-11-05 11:00:00 247.79 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 16:00:00 256.77 ↑ High
2025-11-05 20:00:00 251.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 23:00:00 256.52 ↑ High
2025-11-06 09:00:00 253.44 ↑ High
2025-11-06 11:00:00 237.37 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
06 Nov 2025
14:11:23		 06 Nov 2025
14:40:00		 28 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
242.28 243.5193 239.8014 2 129.41
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 242.28
  • Stop Loss: 243.5193
  • Take Profit: 239.8014

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 243.5193 - 242.28 = 1.2393

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 242.28 - 239.8014 = 2.4786

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.4786 / 1.2393 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1563.9775 100 6.4552 15.64
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.2393

Taille de position = 8 / 1.2393 = 6.46

Taille de position USD = 6.46 x 242.28 = 1565.13

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.46 avec un stoploss a 243.5193

Avec un position size USD de 1565.13$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.46 x 1.2393 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.46 x 2.4786 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.46
  • Taille de position USD 1565.13
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.02 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.51 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.02
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4169 % 81.51 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 239.8014
            [stop_loss] => 243.5193
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-06 14:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 239.18175
            [stop_loss] => 243.5193
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-06 14:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.5621
            [stop_loss] => 243.5193
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-06 14:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.94245
            [stop_loss] => 243.5193
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-06 14:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.3228
            [stop_loss] => 243.5193
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-06 15:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 236.70315
            [stop_loss] => 243.5193
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-06 15:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 236.0835
            [stop_loss] => 243.5193
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-06 15:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.68
            [max_drawdown] => 1.01
            [rr_ratio] => 6.61
            [high] => 243.29000000
            [low] => 235.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.76
            [mae_pct] => 0.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-06T14:11:23-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-06T16:11:23-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.68
            [max_drawdown] => 1.01
            [rr_ratio] => 6.61
            [high] => 243.29000000
            [low] => 235.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.76
            [mae_pct] => 0.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-06T14:11:23-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-06T21:11:23-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 245.00000000
            [high_after] => 243.29000000
            [low_before] => 237.37000000
            [low_after] => 235.60000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)