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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 07 Nov 2025 at 00:49:57

Take profit at 237.7842 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 239.6229 (0.26 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 07 Nov 2025 at 00:49:57

With 13.0524 MSTR at 239.01$ per unit.

Position size of 3119.6627 $

Take profit at 237.7842 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 239.6229 (0.26 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 7.36
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.158026

15m : 0.005765

1H : -0.121254

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.4086082755
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 238.14
  4. ema21 : 241.322
  5. ema50 : 246.616
  6. ema100 : 252.049
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00365124
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0131875
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0214653
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0517352
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.257244
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.26379
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.181666
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.126514
  17. rsi : 0.392058
  18. adx : 0.409141
  19. kc_percentage : 0.272806
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0378899
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.904741
  22. volume_ema1 : 76126.915040859
  23. volume_ema2 : 799160.6988192
  24. chop : 61.5643
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 237.952
  28. ema21 : 237.655
  29. ema50 : 239.196
  30. ema100 : 242.809
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00444588
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00124803
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00644079
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0156476
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0347791
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00375173
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0347189
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0488924
  41. rsi : 0.613605
  42. adx : 0.310799
  43. kc_percentage : 0.972489
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0120687
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.94921
  46. volume_ema1 : 5560.2624822904
  47. volume_ema2 : 109475.62356118
  48. chop : 46.63
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 238.5
  52. ema21 : 237.896
  53. ema50 : 237.48
  54. ema100 : 237.474
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00213446
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0025389
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00175326
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00646456
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.068131
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0406896
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0181472
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00758343
  65. rsi : 0.683848
  66. adx : 0.308127
  67. kc_percentage : 1.13414
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00712138
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.0237142
  70. volume_ema1 : 3966.2084172958
  71. volume_ema2 : 4062.5488042426
  72. chop : 20.437
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    101632
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00625759
  78. 5m_price: 
    102268
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.158026
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102055
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0020887
  83. 15m_price: 
    102268
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.005765
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103774
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0145153
  88. 1H_price: 
    102268
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.121254
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-04 22:00:00
                    [1] => 252.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 07:00:00
                    [1] => 253.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 11:00:00
                    [1] => 247.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 16:00:00
                    [1] => 256.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 20:00:00
                    [1] => 251.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 23:00:00
                    [1] => 256.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 09:00:00
                    [1] => 253.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 15:00:00
                    [1] => 235.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:00:00
                    [1] => 235.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 00:00:00
                    [1] => 239.11
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.041821755677313
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3011782656608
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3435619225227
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 11:45:00
                    [1] => 237.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 14:15:00
                    [1] => 243.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 15:45:00
                    [1] => 235.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 18:00:00
                    [1] => 239.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 19:30:00
                    [1] => 236.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 20:00:00
                    [1] => 237.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 21:30:00
                    [1] => 236.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 22:00:00
                    [1] => 237.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:30:00
                    [1] => 235.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 00:45:00
                    [1] => 239.11
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.041821755677313
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3011782656608
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3435619225227
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 19:00:00
                    [1] => 236.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 19:05:00
                    [1] => 237.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 19:30:00
                    [1] => 236.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 20:05:00
                    [1] => 237.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 20:40:00
                    [1] => 236.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 21:30:00
                    [1] => 236.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 22:05:00
                    [1] => 237.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:10:00
                    [1] => 236.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:40:00
                    [1] => 235.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 00:45:00
                    [1] => 239.11
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.041821755677313
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3011782656608
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3435619225227
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.30%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.34%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.5129
0.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8442
0.78%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-06 19:00:00 236.67 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 19:05:00 237.62 ↑ High
2025-11-06 19:30:00 236.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 20:05:00 237.62 ↑ High
2025-11-06 20:40:00 236.45 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 21:30:00 236.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 22:05:00 237.41 ↑ High
2025-11-06 23:10:00 236.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 23:40:00 235.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 00:45:00 239.11 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.30%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.34%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.6671
1.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1842
0.92%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-06 11:45:00 237.37 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 14:15:00 243.29 ↑ High
2025-11-06 15:45:00 235.6 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 18:00:00 239.09 ↑ High
2025-11-06 19:30:00 236.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 20:00:00 237.62 ↑ High
2025-11-06 21:30:00 236.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 22:00:00 237.41 ↑ High
2025-11-06 23:30:00 235.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 00:45:00 239.11 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.30%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
17.1471
7.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1842
0.92%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-04 22:00:00 252.72 ↑ High
2025-11-05 07:00:00 253.73 ↑ High
2025-11-05 11:00:00 247.79 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 16:00:00 256.77 ↑ High
2025-11-05 20:00:00 251.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 23:00:00 256.52 ↑ High
2025-11-06 09:00:00 253.44 ↑ High
2025-11-06 15:00:00 235.6 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 23:00:00 235.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 00:00:00 239.11 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Nov 2025
00:49:57		 07 Nov 2025
01:00:00		 10 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
239.01 239.6229 237.7842 2 129.34
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 239.01
  • Stop Loss: 239.6229
  • Take Profit: 237.7842

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 239.6229 - 239.01 = 0.6129

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 239.01 - 237.7842 = 1.2258

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2258 / 0.6129 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3119.6627 100 13.0524 31.20
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.6129

Taille de position = 8 / 0.6129 = 13.05

Taille de position USD = 13.05 x 239.01 = 3119.08

Donc, tu peux acheter 13.05 avec un stoploss a 239.6229

Avec un position size USD de 3119.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13.05 x 0.6129 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13.05 x 1.2258 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13.05
  • Taille de position USD 3119.08
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.51 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.26
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2887 % 112.6 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.7842
            [entry_price] => 239.01
            [stop_loss] => 239.68419
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 01:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.7842
            [entry_price] => 239.01
            [stop_loss] => 239.74548
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 04:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.7842
            [entry_price] => 239.01
            [stop_loss] => 239.80677
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 04:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.7842
            [entry_price] => 239.01
            [stop_loss] => 239.92935
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 04:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.17
            [max_drawdown] => 0.69
            [rr_ratio] => 1.7
            [high] => 239.70000000
            [low] => 237.84000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.7
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T00:49:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T02:49:57-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.4
            [max_drawdown] => 0.69
            [rr_ratio] => 12.17
            [high] => 239.70000000
            [low] => 230.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.51
            [mae_pct] => 0.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T00:49:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T07:49:57-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 239.11000000
            [high_after] => 239.70000000
            [low_before] => 235.94000000
            [low_after] => 232.33000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)