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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 07 Nov 2025 at 00:59:54

Take profit at 238.0532 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 239.8034 (0.24 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 07 Nov 2025 at 00:59:54

With 13.7124 MSTR at 239.22$ per unit.

Position size of 3280.2781 $

Take profit at 238.0532 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 239.8034 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8.3
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.89
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low_confirmed

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.159687

15m : 0.06862

1H : -0.097012

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.17
  4. atr: 0.3889426305
Details
  1. score: 1.17
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 238.182
  4. ema21 : 241.342
  5. ema50 : 246.624
  6. ema100 : 252.054
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00435594
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0130916
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0214205
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0509177
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.255819
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.263152
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.181394
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.126378
  17. rsi : 0.398885
  18. adx : 0.408246
  19. kc_percentage : 0.295054
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0380907
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.904227
  22. volume_ema1 : 76542.205107526
  23. volume_ema2 : 799209.55647411
  24. chop : 61.574
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 237.952
  28. ema21 : 237.655
  29. ema50 : 239.196
  30. ema100 : 242.809
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00532841
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00124803
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00644079
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0147827
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0347791
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00375173
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0347189
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0488924
  41. rsi : 0.613605
  42. adx : 0.310799
  43. kc_percentage : 1.04529
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0120581
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.94921
  46. volume_ema1 : 5560.2624822904
  47. volume_ema2 : 109475.62356118
  48. chop : 46.63
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 238.761
  52. ema21 : 238.127
  53. ema50 : 237.615
  54. ema100 : 237.551
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00192076
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00266247
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00215297
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00702319
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0775357
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0500481
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.024009
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0109183
  65. rsi : 0.700677
  66. adx : 0.336406
  67. kc_percentage : 1.16701
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00660931
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.453943
  70. volume_ema1 : 2114.5283299093
  71. volume_ema2 : 3872.3593719092
  72. chop : 22.3078
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    101672
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00685054
  78. 5m_price: 
    102369
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.159687
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102054
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00165363
  83. 15m_price: 
    102223
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.06862
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103776
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.013561
  88. 1H_price: 
    102369
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.097012
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-04 22:00:00
                    [1] => 252.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 07:00:00
                    [1] => 253.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 11:00:00
                    [1] => 247.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 16:00:00
                    [1] => 256.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 20:00:00
                    [1] => 251.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 23:00:00
                    [1] => 256.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 09:00:00
                    [1] => 253.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 15:00:00
                    [1] => 235.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:00:00
                    [1] => 235.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 00:00:00
                    [1] => 239.25
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.012539184952979
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3901839450708
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4028990421294
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 11:45:00
                    [1] => 237.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 14:15:00
                    [1] => 243.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 15:45:00
                    [1] => 235.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 18:00:00
                    [1] => 239.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 19:30:00
                    [1] => 236.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 20:00:00
                    [1] => 237.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 21:30:00
                    [1] => 236.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 22:00:00
                    [1] => 237.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:30:00
                    [1] => 235.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 00:45:00
                    [1] => 239.25
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.012539184952979
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3901839450708
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4028990421294
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 19:00:00
                    [1] => 236.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 19:05:00
                    [1] => 237.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 19:30:00
                    [1] => 236.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 20:05:00
                    [1] => 237.62
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 20:40:00
                    [1] => 236.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 21:30:00
                    [1] => 236.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 22:05:00
                    [1] => 237.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:10:00
                    [1] => 236.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:40:00
                    [1] => 235.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 00:50:00
                    [1] => 239.25
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.012539184952979
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3901839450708
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4028990421294
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.39%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.5534
0.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1132
0.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-06 19:00:00 236.67 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 19:05:00 237.62 ↑ High
2025-11-06 19:30:00 236.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 20:05:00 237.62 ↑ High
2025-11-06 20:40:00 236.45 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 21:30:00 236.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 22:05:00 237.41 ↑ High
2025-11-06 23:10:00 236.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 23:40:00 235.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 00:50:00 239.25 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.39%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.4866
1.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4532
1.03%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-06 11:45:00 237.37 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 14:15:00 243.29 ↑ High
2025-11-06 15:45:00 235.6 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 18:00:00 239.09 ↑ High
2025-11-06 19:30:00 236.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 20:00:00 237.62 ↑ High
2025-11-06 21:30:00 236.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 22:00:00 237.41 ↑ High
2025-11-06 23:30:00 235.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 00:45:00 239.25 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.39%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.40%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.9666
7.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4532
1.03%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-04 22:00:00 252.72 ↑ High
2025-11-05 07:00:00 253.73 ↑ High
2025-11-05 11:00:00 247.79 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 16:00:00 256.77 ↑ High
2025-11-05 20:00:00 251.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 23:00:00 256.52 ↑ High
2025-11-06 09:00:00 253.44 ↑ High
2025-11-06 15:00:00 235.6 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 23:00:00 235.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 00:00:00 239.25 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Nov 2025
00:59:54		 07 Nov 2025
01:55:00		 55 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
239.22 239.8034 238.0532 2 129.7
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 239.22
  • Stop Loss: 239.8034
  • Take Profit: 238.0532

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 239.8034 - 239.22 = 0.58340000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 239.22 - 238.0532 = 1.1668

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1668 / 0.58340000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3280.2781 100 13.7124 32.80
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.58340000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.58340000000001 = 13.71

Taille de position USD = 13.71 x 239.22 = 3279.71

Donc, tu peux acheter 13.71 avec un stoploss a 239.8034

Avec un position size USD de 3279.71$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13.71 x 0.58340000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13.71 x 1.1668 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13.71
  • Taille de position USD 3279.71
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.49 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2007 % 82.29 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.0532
            [stop_loss] => 239.8034
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 01:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.7615
            [stop_loss] => 239.8034
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 04:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.4698
            [stop_loss] => 239.8034
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 04:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.1781
            [stop_loss] => 239.8034
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 04:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 236.8864
            [stop_loss] => 239.8034
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 04:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 236.5947
            [stop_loss] => 239.8034
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 04:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 236.303
            [stop_loss] => 239.8034
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 236.0113
            [stop_loss] => 239.8034
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 235.7196
            [stop_loss] => 239.8034
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 04:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 235.4279
            [stop_loss] => 239.8034
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 06:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 235.1362
            [stop_loss] => 239.8034
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 06:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.38
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 2.88
            [high] => 239.70000000
            [low] => 237.84000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.58
            [mae_pct] => 0.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.88
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T00:59:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T02:59:54-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.61
            [max_drawdown] => 0.47999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 17.94
            [high] => 239.70000000
            [low] => 230.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.6
            [mae_pct] => 0.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 17.94
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T00:59:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T07:59:54-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 239.25000000
            [high_after] => 239.70000000
            [low_before] => 235.94000000
            [low_after] => 232.33000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)