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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 07 Nov 2025 at 12:16:50

Take profit at 229.3119 (1.34 %) and Stop Loss at 233.9741 (0.67 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 07 Nov 2025 at 12:16:50

With 5.1478 MSTR at 232.42$ per unit.

Position size of 1196.4454 $

Take profit at 229.3119 (1.34 %) and Stop Loss at 233.9741 (0.67 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.03
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.57
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.63
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.492663

15m : 0.037593

1H : 0.110461

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.19
  4. atr: 1.036046762
Details
  1. score: 1.19
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 231.803
  4. ema21 : 235.178
  5. ema50 : 241.403
  6. ema100 : 248.127
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00266152
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0143528
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0257869
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0633037
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.223198
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.212837
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.177724
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.134783
  17. rsi : 0.40549
  18. adx : 0.478119
  19. kc_percentage : 0.318763
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0591055
  21. volume_ema_diff : 2.01491
  22. volume_ema1 : 10917653.845338
  23. volume_ema2 : 3621219.4307901
  24. chop : 24.8184
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 230.068
  28. ema21 : 230.098
  29. ema50 : 232.34
  30. ema100 : 234.444
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.010221
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000129931
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00964842
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00863581
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0873269
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0321952
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0638439
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0489427
  41. rsi : 0.551563
  42. adx : 0.343402
  43. kc_percentage : 0.786381
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.035897
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.989272
  46. volume_ema1 : 4451148.7661646
  47. volume_ema2 : 2237576.7354199
  48. chop : 33.883
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 230.704
  52. ema21 : 229.708
  53. ema50 : 229.491
  54. ema100 : 230.97
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00743792
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00433442
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000943438
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00627498
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.101009
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0625073
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0191112
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0066698
  65. rsi : 0.655742
  66. adx : 0.193659
  67. kc_percentage : 1.19137
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0165417
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.197303
  70. volume_ema1 : 1500655.9167694
  71. volume_ema2 : 1253363.4924449
  72. chop : 42.8477
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    100741
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00966029
  78. 5m_price: 
    101714
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.492663
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    101003
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00703629
  83. 15m_price: 
    101714
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.037593
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103075
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0132091
  88. 1H_price: 
    101714
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.110461
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-04 22:00:00
                    [1] => 252.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 07:00:00
                    [1] => 253.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 11:00:00
                    [1] => 247.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 16:00:00
                    [1] => 256.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 20:00:00
                    [1] => 251.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-05 23:00:00
                    [1] => 256.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 09:00:00
                    [1] => 253.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 15:00:00
                    [1] => 235.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 01:00:00
                    [1] => 239.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:00:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.9453483521068
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2764956104625
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.4713548737442
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 21:30:00
                    [1] => 236.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 22:00:00
                    [1] => 237.41
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-06 23:30:00
                    [1] => 235.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 01:00:00
                    [1] => 239.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 02:15:00
                    [1] => 237.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 03:15:00
                    [1] => 239.47
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 04:30:00
                    [1] => 235.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:30:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:15:00
                    [1] => 231.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 12:15:00
                    [1] => 232.75
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.047261009667031
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2764956104625
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.47485430606518
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 06:40:00
                    [1] => 232.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 06:55:00
                    [1] => 234.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 08:05:00
                    [1] => 232.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 09:35:00
                    [1] => 220.98
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:15:00
                    [1] => 231.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 10:40:00
                    [1] => 226.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:15:00
                    [1] => 227.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:25:00
                    [1] => 230.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 11:35:00
                    [1] => 230.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-07 12:15:00
                    [1] => 232.75
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.047261009667031
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4214141058378
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0550538381382
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.06%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4759
0.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.3319
3.63%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-07 06:40:00 232.33 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 06:55:00 234.45 ↑ High
2025-11-07 08:05:00 232.43 ↑ High
2025-11-07 09:35:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 10:15:00 231.65 ↑ High
2025-11-07 10:40:00 226.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 11:15:00 227.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 11:25:00 230.32 ↑ High
2025-11-07 11:35:00 230.32 ↑ High
2025-11-07 12:15:00 232.75 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.28%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.7259
2.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.3319
3.63%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-06 21:30:00 236.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-06 22:00:00 237.41 ↑ High
2025-11-06 23:30:00 235.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 01:00:00 239.7 ↑ High
2025-11-07 02:15:00 237.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 03:15:00 239.47 ↑ High
2025-11-07 04:30:00 235.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 09:30:00 220.98 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 10:15:00 231.65 ↑ High
2025-11-07 12:15:00 232.75 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.95%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.28%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.47%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
22.7959
9.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.3319
3.63%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-04 22:00:00 252.72 ↑ High
2025-11-05 07:00:00 253.73 ↑ High
2025-11-05 11:00:00 247.79 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 16:00:00 256.77 ↑ High
2025-11-05 20:00:00 251.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-05 23:00:00 256.52 ↑ High
2025-11-06 09:00:00 253.44 ↑ High
2025-11-06 15:00:00 235.6 ↓ Low
2025-11-07 01:00:00 239.7 ↑ High
2025-11-07 09:00:00 220.98 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
07 Nov 2025
12:16:50		 07 Nov 2025
12:30:00		 13 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
232.42 233.9741 229.3119 2 133.57
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 232.42
  • Stop Loss: 233.9741
  • Take Profit: 229.3119

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 233.9741 - 232.42 = 1.5541

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 232.42 - 229.3119 = 3.1081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.1081 / 1.5541 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1196.4454 100 5.1478 11.96
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.5541

Taille de position = 8 / 1.5541 = 5.15

Taille de position USD = 5.15 x 232.42 = 1196.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.15 avec un stoploss a 233.9741

Avec un position size USD de 1196.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.15 x 1.5541 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.15 x 3.1081 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.15
  • Taille de position USD 1196.96
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.34 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.67 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.67
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7486 % 111.95 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.3119
            [entry_price] => 232.42
            [stop_loss] => 234.12951
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 12:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.3119
            [entry_price] => 232.42
            [stop_loss] => 234.28492
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 12:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.3119
            [entry_price] => 232.42
            [stop_loss] => 234.44033
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 12:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.3119
            [entry_price] => 232.42
            [stop_loss] => 234.75115
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-07 12:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.19
            [max_drawdown] => 8.61
            [rr_ratio] => 0.02
            [high] => 241.03000000
            [low] => 232.23000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.08
            [mae_pct] => 3.7
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T12:16:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T14:16:50-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.19
            [max_drawdown] => 11.44
            [rr_ratio] => 0.02
            [high] => 243.86000000
            [low] => 232.23000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.08
            [mae_pct] => 4.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-07T12:16:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-07T19:16:50-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 232.75000000
            [high_after] => 243.86000000
            [low_before] => 220.98000000
            [low_after] => 232.23000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)