Short Trade on SAPIEN 08 Nov 2025 at 13:33:13
Take profit at 0.2218 (3.4 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2336 (1.74 %)
Short Trade on SAPIEN 08 Nov 2025 at 13:33:13
Take profit at 0.2218 (3.4 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2336 (1.74 %)
Position size of 466.2346 $
Take profit at 0.2218 (3.4 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2336 (1.74 %)
That's a 1.95 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.83 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.333225 15m : -0.00257 1H : 0.010959 |
1 |
Indicators:
101919
0.000440745
101964
0.333225
102253
-0.00282455
101964
-0.00257
102299
-0.00326677
101964
0.010959
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-05 11:00:00
[1] => 0.12862
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-05 13:00:00
[1] => 0.12118
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-05 21:00:00
[1] => 0.11752
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-06 09:00:00
[1] => 0.55601
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-06 19:00:00
[1] => 0.30811
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-06 23:00:00
[1] => 0.41765
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-07 13:00:00
[1] => 0.24037
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-07 16:00:00
[1] => 0.27913
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 01:00:00
[1] => 0.22193
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 11:00:00
[1] => 0.21183
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -18.027442410346
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.0158617759524
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.7679743190294
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-07 23:15:00
[1] => 0.24651
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 01:00:00
[1] => 0.22193
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 02:15:00
[1] => 0.24252
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 04:00:00
[1] => 0.22764
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 04:30:00
[1] => 0.24074
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 05:30:00
[1] => 0.22447
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 07:30:00
[1] => 0.23725
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 09:45:00
[1] => 0.23706
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 11:15:00
[1] => 0.21183
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 13:30:00
[1] => 0.23037
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.67717150670659
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.0158617759524
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.7523013737431
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 07:40:00
[1] => 0.23226
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 08:25:00
[1] => 0.23668
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 09:20:00
[1] => 0.2256
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 09:45:00
[1] => 0.23706
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 10:50:00
[1] => 0.21221
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 11:05:00
[1] => 0.22457
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 11:20:00
[1] => 0.21183
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 11:35:00
[1] => 0.2228
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 11:50:00
[1] => 0.21511
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 13:30:00
[1] => 0.23037
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.67717150670659
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3688345497652
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.0940449072568
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 07:40:00 | 0.23226 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 08:25:00 | 0.23668 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 09:20:00 | 0.2256 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 09:45:00 | 0.23706 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 10:50:00 | 0.21221 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 11:05:00 | 0.22457 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 11:20:00 | 0.21183 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 11:35:00 | 0.2228 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 11:50:00 | 0.21511 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 13:30:00 | 0.23037 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 23:15:00 | 0.24651 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 01:00:00 | 0.22193 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 02:15:00 | 0.24252 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 04:00:00 | 0.22764 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 04:30:00 | 0.24074 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 05:30:00 | 0.22447 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 07:30:00 | 0.23725 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 09:45:00 | 0.23706 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 11:15:00 | 0.21183 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 13:30:00 | 0.23037 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 11:00:00 | 0.12862 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-05 13:00:00 | 0.12118 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-05 21:00:00 | 0.11752 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-06 09:00:00 | 0.55601 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-06 19:00:00 | 0.30811 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-06 23:00:00 | 0.41765 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-07 13:00:00 | 0.24037 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-07 16:00:00 | 0.27913 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 01:00:00 | 0.22193 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 11:00:00 | 0.21183 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov 2025 13:33:13 |
08 Nov 2025 17:10:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2296 | 0.2336 | 0.2218 | 1.95 | 0.0837 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2336 - 0.2296 = 0.004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2296 - 0.2218 = 0.0078
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0078 / 0.004 = 1.95
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 466.2346 | 100 | 2030.2849 | 4.66 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.004 = 2000
Taille de position USD = 2000 x 0.2296 = 459.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 2000 avec un stoploss a 0.2336
Avec un position size USD de 459.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2000 x 0.004 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2000 x 0.0078 = 15.6
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.6$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.4 % | 15.84 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.74 % | 8.12 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.84 $ | 3.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5375 % | 88.25 % | 16 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2216
[stop_loss] => 0.2336
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-08 17:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2196
[stop_loss] => 0.2336
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-08 17:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2176
[stop_loss] => 0.2336
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-08 19:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2156
[stop_loss] => 0.2336
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-08 19:20:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2136
[stop_loss] => 0.2336
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-08 19:25:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00248
[max_drawdown] => 0.00353
[rr_ratio] => 0.7
[high] => 0.23313000
[low] => 0.22712000
[mfe_pct] => 1.08
[mae_pct] => 1.54
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.7
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-08T13:33:13-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-08T15:33:13-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.02572
[max_drawdown] => 0.00385
[rr_ratio] => 6.68
[high] => 0.23345000
[low] => 0.20388000
[mfe_pct] => 11.2
[mae_pct] => 1.68
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.68
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-08T13:33:13-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-08T20:33:13-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.23706000
[high_after] => 0.23345000
[low_before] => 0.21183000
[low_after] => 0.21282000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)