Short Trade on PENGU 09 Nov 2025 at 03:16:35
Take profit at 0.01432 (1.1 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01456 (0.55 %)
Short Trade on PENGU 09 Nov 2025 at 03:16:35
Take profit at 0.01432 (1.1 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01456 (0.55 %)
Position size of 1451.4593 $
Take profit at 0.01432 (1.1 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01456 (0.55 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.72 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.629417 15m : -0.007407 1H : 0.070523 |
1 |
Indicators:
101867
0.000322955
101900
0.629417
101955
-0.000538025
101900
-0.007407
102076
-0.00172022
101900
0.070523
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-06 08:00:00
[1] => 0.015159
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-06 11:00:00
[1] => 0.014159
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-06 20:00:00
[1] => 0.014262
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-07 03:00:00
[1] => 0.014928
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-07 09:00:00
[1] => 0.013789
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-07 17:00:00
[1] => 0.016236
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 06:00:00
[1] => 0.015485
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 10:00:00
[1] => 0.014357
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 17:00:00
[1] => 0.014908
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 22:00:00
[1] => 0.014063
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.9916823182184
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8372324539572
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.0086752471023
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 03:30:00
[1] => 0.015425
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 04:45:00
[1] => 0.015111
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 06:00:00
[1] => 0.015485
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 10:30:00
[1] => 0.014357
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 14:00:00
[1] => 0.014801
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 14:15:00
[1] => 0.014537
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 17:45:00
[1] => 0.014908
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 22:45:00
[1] => 0.014063
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 23:15:00
[1] => 0.014314
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 02:45:00
[1] => 0.014487
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17256850969836
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8372324539572
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2086069582227
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 20:30:00
[1] => 0.014417
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 20:50:00
[1] => 0.014591
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 22:45:00
[1] => 0.014063
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 23:15:00
[1] => 0.014314
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 00:00:00
[1] => 0.014145
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 00:30:00
[1] => 0.014258
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 00:35:00
[1] => 0.01416
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 01:40:00
[1] => 0.01439
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 01:55:00
[1] => 0.014199
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 02:55:00
[1] => 0.014487
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17256850969836
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8522431157124
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0283118529474
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 20:30:00 | 0.014417 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 20:50:00 | 0.014591 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 22:45:00 | 0.014063 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 23:15:00 | 0.014314 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-09 00:00:00 | 0.014145 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-09 00:30:00 | 0.014258 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-09 00:35:00 | 0.01416 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-09 01:40:00 | 0.01439 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-09 01:55:00 | 0.014199 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-09 02:55:00 | 0.014487 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 03:30:00 | 0.015425 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 04:45:00 | 0.015111 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 06:00:00 | 0.015485 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 10:30:00 | 0.014357 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 14:00:00 | 0.014801 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 14:15:00 | 0.014537 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 17:45:00 | 0.014908 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 22:45:00 | 0.014063 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 23:15:00 | 0.014314 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-09 02:45:00 | 0.014487 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 08:00:00 | 0.015159 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-06 11:00:00 | 0.014159 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-06 20:00:00 | 0.014262 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-07 03:00:00 | 0.014928 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-07 09:00:00 | 0.013789 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-07 17:00:00 | 0.016236 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 06:00:00 | 0.015485 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 10:00:00 | 0.014357 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 17:00:00 | 0.014908 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 22:00:00 | 0.014063 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov 2025 03:16:35 |
09 Nov 2025 03:45:00 |
28 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01448 | 0.01456 | 0.01432 | 2 | 0.006972 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01456 - 0.01448 = 8.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01448 - 0.01432 = 0.00016
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00016 / 8.0E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1451.4593 | 100 | 100238.9031 | 14.51 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 8.0E-5 = 100000
Taille de position USD = 100000 x 0.01448 = 1448
Donc, tu peux acheter 100000 avec un stoploss a 0.01456
Avec un position size USD de 1448$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 100000 x 8.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 100000 x 0.00016 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.1 % | 16.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.04 $ | 1.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01432
[stop_loss] => 0.01456
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-09 03:45:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01428
[stop_loss] => 0.01456
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-09 03:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01424
[stop_loss] => 0.01456
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-09 04:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0142
[stop_loss] => 0.01456
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-09 05:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01416
[stop_loss] => 0.01456
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-09 05:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01412
[stop_loss] => 0.01456
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-09 07:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01408
[stop_loss] => 0.01456
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-09 07:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01404
[stop_loss] => 0.01456
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-09 07:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.014
[stop_loss] => 0.01456
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-09 07:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01396
[stop_loss] => 0.01456
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-09 07:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01392
[stop_loss] => 0.01456
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-09 07:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.000327
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 0.01447900
[low] => 0.01415300
[mfe_pct] => 2.26
[mae_pct] => -0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-09T03:16:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-09T05:16:35-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.000327
[max_drawdown] => 0.0008
[rr_ratio] => 0.41
[high] => 0.01528000
[low] => 0.01415300
[mfe_pct] => 2.26
[mae_pct] => 5.52
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.41
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-09T03:16:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-09T10:16:35-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.01448700
[high_after] => 0.01504500
[low_before] => 0.01414500
[low_after] => 0.01415300
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)