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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 10 Nov 2025 at 18:08:33

Take profit at 237.5224 (0.31 %) and Stop Loss at 238.6438 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 10 Nov 2025 at 18:08:33

With 21.4029 MSTR at 238.27$ per unit.

Position size of 5099.6641 $

Take profit at 237.5224 (0.31 %) and Stop Loss at 238.6438 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.36
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.213399

15m : 0.122208

1H : -0.085691

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.2491876517
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 239.727
  4. ema21 : 242.12
  5. ema50 : 242.667
  6. ema100 : 241.558
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0060789
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00988314
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00225358
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0136121
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.308088
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.161951
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0484861
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00937003
  17. rsi : 0.401997
  18. adx : 0.393826
  19. kc_percentage : 0.115445
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0408513
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.899774
  22. volume_ema1 : 59445.769900373
  23. volume_ema2 : 593118.07647647
  24. chop : 17.7909
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 237.909
  28. ema21 : 238.866
  29. ema50 : 241.407
  30. ema100 : 243.095
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.001515
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00400474
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0105264
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0198489
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0782166
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0787683
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0745969
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0480271
  41. rsi : 0.428114
  42. adx : 0.368598
  43. kc_percentage : 0.348995
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.013913
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.815955
  46. volume_ema1 : 8766.8483818691
  47. volume_ema2 : 47634.455611059
  48. chop : 45.3418
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 237.825
  52. ema21 : 237.789
  53. ema50 : 238.418
  54. ema100 : 239.449
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00186725
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000154052
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00263889
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00492493
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0186389
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.005082
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.016362
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0170961
  65. rsi : 0.558758
  66. adx : 0.179699
  67. kc_percentage : 1.11109
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00340171
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.112898
  70. volume_ema1 : 4970.9988919999
  71. volume_ema2 : 4466.7150209787
  72. chop : 40.5733
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    105513
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00446666
  78. 5m_price: 
    105984
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.213399
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    105562
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00399829
  83. 15m_price: 
    105984
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.122208
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103559
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0234162
  88. 1H_price: 
    105984
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.085691
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 07:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 09:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 11:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 13:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 15:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 17:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.030092869385
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1303043291899
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.5396485212173
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 01:45:00
                    [1] => 249.56
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 03:00:00
                    [1] => 250.78
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 04:00:00
                    [1] => 248.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 07:15:00
                    [1] => 247.65
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:45:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 13:15:00
                    [1] => 241.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 14:00:00
                    [1] => 238.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 16:45:00
                    [1] => 236.56
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 18:00:00
                    [1] => 238.27
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.72286100777816
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.72286100777816
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 13:25:00
                    [1] => 241.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 14:00:00
                    [1] => 238.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 14:10:00
                    [1] => 238.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 14:55:00
                    [1] => 241.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 15:50:00
                    [1] => 240.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 16:15:00
                    [1] => 236.78
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 16:55:00
                    [1] => 236.56
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 17:05:00
                    [1] => 237.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 17:35:00
                    [1] => 237.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 18:00:00
                    [1] => 238.27
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.43839312060027
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.43839312060027
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.44%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.44%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.9562
1.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.9624
0.41%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 13:25:00 241.6 ↑ High
2025-11-10 14:00:00 238.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 14:10:00 238.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 14:55:00 241.59 ↑ High
2025-11-10 15:50:00 240.45 ↑ High
2025-11-10 16:15:00 236.78 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 16:55:00 236.56 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 17:05:00 237.54 ↑ High
2025-11-10 17:35:00 237.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 18:00:00 238.27 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.72%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.72%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.2462
5.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.2224
1.78%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 01:45:00 249.56 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 03:00:00 250.78 ↑ High
2025-11-10 04:00:00 248.03 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 07:15:00 247.65 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:45:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 13:15:00 241.6 ↑ High
2025-11-10 14:00:00 238.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 16:45:00 236.56 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 18:00:00 238.27 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.13%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.54%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.0962
5.91%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.2224
1.78%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 07:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 09:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 11:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 13:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 15:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 17:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 19:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Nov 2025
18:08:33		 10 Nov 2025
18:20:00		 11 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
238.27 238.6438 237.5224 2 132.38
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 238.27
  • Stop Loss: 238.6438
  • Take Profit: 237.5224

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 238.6438 - 238.27 = 0.37379999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 238.27 - 237.5224 = 0.74760000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.74760000000001 / 0.37379999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5099.6641 100 21.4029 51.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.37379999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.37379999999999 = 21.4

Taille de position USD = 21.4 x 238.27 = 5098.98

Donc, tu peux acheter 21.4 avec un stoploss a 238.6438

Avec un position size USD de 5098.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 21.4 x 0.37379999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 21.4 x 0.74760000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 21.4
  • Taille de position USD 5098.98
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.31 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1595 % 101.66 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.5224
            [entry_price] => 238.27
            [stop_loss] => 238.68118
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.5224
            [entry_price] => 238.27
            [stop_loss] => 238.71856
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.5224
            [entry_price] => 238.27
            [stop_loss] => 238.75594
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 237.5224
            [entry_price] => 238.27
            [stop_loss] => 238.8307
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 18:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.63000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 2.18
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [high] => 240.45000000
            [low] => 237.64000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.26
            [mae_pct] => 0.91
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-10T18:08:33-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-10T20:08:33-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.16
            [max_drawdown] => 5.64
            [rr_ratio] => 0.21
            [high] => 243.91000000
            [low] => 237.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.49
            [mae_pct] => 2.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-10T18:08:33-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-11T01:08:33-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 241.59000000
            [high_after] => 243.91000000
            [low_before] => 236.56000000
            [low_after] => 237.64000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)