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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 10 Nov 2025 at 19:20:39

Take profit at 238.437 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 239.6565 (0.17 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 10 Nov 2025 at 19:20:39

With 19.6791 MSTR at 239.25$ per unit.

Position size of 4708.2142 $

Take profit at 238.437 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 239.6565 (0.17 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.35
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.135085

15m : 0.237399

1H : 0.084907

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.2710157095
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 239.748
  4. ema21 : 241.919
  5. ema50 : 242.577
  6. ema100 : 241.655
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00207977
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00897421
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00271372
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0099528
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.305049
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.173686
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0584408
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0162376
  17. rsi : 0.426358
  18. adx : 0.381757
  19. kc_percentage : 0.227981
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0393805
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.918707
  22. volume_ema1 : 46725.87621136
  23. volume_ema2 : 574786.33274591
  24. chop : 19.2961
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 238.602
  28. ema21 : 238.872
  29. ema50 : 240.945
  30. ema100 : 242.691
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00271227
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00113094
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00860135
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0141795
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00810809
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0427767
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0590541
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0425246
  41. rsi : 0.498431
  42. adx : 0.296634
  43. kc_percentage : 0.630249
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0139222
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.893997
  46. volume_ema1 : 4250.8824966522
  47. volume_ema2 : 40101.614101476
  48. chop : 62.2279
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 239.025
  52. ema21 : 238.666
  53. ema50 : 238.529
  54. ema100 : 238.465
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000938024
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00150564
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000572211
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.003291
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.032197
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0256451
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00950789
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00467561
  65. rsi : 0.596215
  66. adx : 0.158057
  67. kc_percentage : 1.07397
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00410262
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.906335
  70. volume_ema1 : 306.01409264242
  71. volume_ema2 : 3267.1314343356
  72. chop : 33.8765
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    105685
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00127295
  78. 5m_price: 
    105819
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.135085
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    105632
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00176848
  83. 15m_price: 
    105819
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.237399
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103633
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0211
  88. 1H_price: 
    105819
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.084907
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 07:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 09:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 11:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 13:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 15:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 17:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6394834389573
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5503643377625
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.5396485212173
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 01:45:00
                    [1] => 249.56
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 03:00:00
                    [1] => 250.78
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 04:00:00
                    [1] => 248.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 07:15:00
                    [1] => 247.65
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:45:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 13:15:00
                    [1] => 241.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 14:00:00
                    [1] => 238.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 16:45:00
                    [1] => 236.56
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 18:30:00
                    [1] => 239.49
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10021295252412
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1371322286101
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2385864051403
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 14:55:00
                    [1] => 241.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 15:50:00
                    [1] => 240.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 16:15:00
                    [1] => 236.78
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 16:55:00
                    [1] => 236.56
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 17:05:00
                    [1] => 237.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 17:35:00
                    [1] => 237.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 18:30:00
                    [1] => 239.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 18:40:00
                    [1] => 237.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 19:05:00
                    [1] => 239.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 19:15:00
                    [1] => 239.25
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.67749537114964
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.68%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.9335
0.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8770
0.79%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 14:55:00 241.59 ↑ High
2025-11-10 15:50:00 240.45 ↑ High
2025-11-10 16:15:00 236.78 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 16:55:00 236.56 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 17:05:00 237.54 ↑ High
2025-11-10 17:35:00 237.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 18:30:00 239.49 ↑ High
2025-11-10 18:40:00 237.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 19:05:00 239.25 ↑ High
2025-11-10 19:15:00 239.25 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.14%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.24%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.2335
4.69%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.1370
2.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 01:45:00 249.56 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 03:00:00 250.78 ↑ High
2025-11-10 04:00:00 248.03 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 07:15:00 247.65 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:45:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 13:15:00 241.6 ↑ High
2025-11-10 14:00:00 238.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 16:45:00 236.56 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 18:30:00 239.49 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.64%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.55%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.54%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.0835
5.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.1370
2.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 07:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 09:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 11:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 13:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 15:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 17:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 19:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Nov 2025
19:20:39		 10 Nov 2025
20:00:00		 39 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
239.25 239.6565 238.437 2 133.04
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 239.25
  • Stop Loss: 239.6565
  • Take Profit: 238.437

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 239.6565 - 239.25 = 0.40649999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 239.25 - 238.437 = 0.81299999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.81299999999999 / 0.40649999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4708.2142 100 19.6791 47.08
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.40649999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.40649999999999 = 19.68

Taille de position USD = 19.68 x 239.25 = 4708.44

Donc, tu peux acheter 19.68 avec un stoploss a 239.6565

Avec un position size USD de 4708.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 19.68 x 0.40649999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 19.68 x 0.81299999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 19.68
  • Taille de position USD 4708.44
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.34 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.17 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.17
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5016 % 295.23 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.437
            [entry_price] => 239.25
            [stop_loss] => 239.69715
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.437
            [entry_price] => 239.25
            [stop_loss] => 239.7378
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.437
            [entry_price] => 239.25
            [stop_loss] => 239.77845
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.437
            [entry_price] => 239.25
            [stop_loss] => 239.85975
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.41
            [max_drawdown] => 4.66
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 243.91000000
            [low] => 238.84000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.17
            [mae_pct] => 1.95
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-10T19:20:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-10T21:20:39-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.21
            [max_drawdown] => 4.66
            [rr_ratio] => 0.47
            [high] => 243.91000000
            [low] => 237.04000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.92
            [mae_pct] => 1.95
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-10T19:20:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-11T02:20:39-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 240.45000000
            [high_after] => 243.91000000
            [low_before] => 236.56000000
            [low_after] => 237.04000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)