Short Trade on MSTR 10 Nov 2025 at 19:37:58

Take profit at 238.5871 (0.27 %) and Stop Loss at 239.5665 (0.14 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 10 Nov 2025 at 19:37:58

With 24.5052 MSTR at 239.24$ per unit.

Position size of 5862.6253 $

Take profit at 238.5871 (0.27 %) and Stop Loss at 239.5665 (0.14 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.35
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.51
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.45
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.151874

15m : -0.10166

1H : -0.040286

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.2176408339
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 239.746
  4. ema21 : 241.918
  5. ema50 : 242.577
  6. ema100 : 241.654
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00211316
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00897875
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00271586
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00999337
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.305116
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.173717
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0584542
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0162444
  17. rsi : 0.426105
  18. adx : 0.381757
  19. kc_percentage : 0.227021
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0393822
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.918703
  22. volume_ema1 : 46728.26861136
  23. volume_ema2 : 574786.61420473
  24. chop : 19.2961
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 238.732
  29. ema21 : 238.907
  30. ema50 : 240.878
  31. ema100 : 242.623
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00212675
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000732477
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00818541
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0139439
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00671082
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0329589
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0542395
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0404256
  42. rsi : 0.498431
  43. adx : 0.284172
  44. kc_percentage : 0.6276
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0125307
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.926447
  47. volume_ema1 : 2833.9216644348
  48. volume_ema2 : 38529.001783771
  49. chop : 60.9583
  50. regime : bear_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 239.133
  54. ema21 : 238.81
  55. ema50 : 238.621
  56. ema100 : 238.589
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.000446598
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00135046
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000791863
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00272557
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0234354
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0223362
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00951322
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00431273
  67. rsi : 0.594185
  68. adx : 0.159543
  69. kc_percentage : 1.06729
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00300761
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.953922
  72. volume_ema1 : 93.06324226442
  73. volume_ema2 : 2019.7064503437
  74. chop : 33.2545
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    105684
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -2.5484E-5
  81. 5m_price:
    105681
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.151874
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    105651
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000998677
  86. 15m_price:
    105756
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.10166
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    103630
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0197943
  91. 1H_price:
    105681
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.040286
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-09 07:00:00
                        [1] => 241.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 241.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-09 11:00:00
                        [1] => 241.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-09 13:00:00
                        [1] => 241.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-09 15:00:00
                        [1] => 241.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-09 17:00:00
                        [1] => 241.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
                        [1] => 241.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                        [1] => 252.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                        [1] => 250.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                        [1] => 233.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6434692494719
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5460780111444
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.5396485212173
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 01:45:00
                        [1] => 249.56
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 03:00:00
                        [1] => 250.78
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 04:00:00
                        [1] => 248.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 07:15:00
                        [1] => 247.65
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                        [1] => 250.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 10:45:00
                        [1] => 233.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 13:15:00
                        [1] => 241.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 14:00:00
                        [1] => 238.08
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 16:45:00
                        [1] => 236.56
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 18:30:00
                        [1] => 239.49
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10438849221262
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1329049712547
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2385864051403
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 16:15:00
                        [1] => 236.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 16:55:00
                        [1] => 236.56
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 17:05:00
                        [1] => 237.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 17:35:00
                        [1] => 237.23
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 18:30:00
                        [1] => 239.49
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 18:40:00
                        [1] => 237.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 19:05:00
                        [1] => 239.25
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 19:15:00
                        [1] => 239.25
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 19:25:00
                        [1] => 239.25
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 19:35:00
                        [1] => 239.25
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0041797283176556
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0765
0.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0271
0.85%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 16:15:00 236.78 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 16:55:00 236.56 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 17:05:00 237.54 ↑ High
2025-11-10 17:35:00 237.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 18:30:00 239.49 ↑ High
2025-11-10 18:40:00 237.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 19:05:00 239.25 ↑ High
2025-11-10 19:15:00 239.25 ↑ High
2025-11-10 19:25:00 239.25 ↑ High
2025-11-10 19:35:00 239.25 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.13%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.24%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.3235
4.73%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.2871
2.22%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 01:45:00 249.56 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 03:00:00 250.78 ↑ High
2025-11-10 04:00:00 248.03 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 07:15:00 247.65 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:45:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 13:15:00 241.6 ↑ High
2025-11-10 14:00:00 238.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 16:45:00 236.56 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 18:30:00 239.49 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.64%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.55%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.54%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.1735
5.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.2871
2.22%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 07:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 09:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 11:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 13:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 15:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 17:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 19:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Nov 2025
19:37:58
10 Nov 2025
20:00:00
22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
239.24 239.5665 238.5871 2 132.48
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 239.24
  • Stop Loss: 239.5665
  • Take Profit: 238.5871

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 239.5665 - 239.24 = 0.32649999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 239.24 - 238.5871 = 0.65290000000002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.65290000000002 / 0.32649999999998 = 1.9997

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5862.6253 100 24.5052 58.63
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.32649999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.32649999999998 = 24.5

Taille de position USD = 24.5 x 239.24 = 5861.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 24.5 avec un stoploss a 239.5665

Avec un position size USD de 5861.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 24.5 x 0.32649999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 24.5 x 0.65290000000002 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 24.5
  • Taille de position USD 5861.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9997

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.27 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.14 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5058 % 370.55 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.5871
            [entry_price] => 239.24
            [stop_loss] => 239.59915
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.5871
            [entry_price] => 239.24
            [stop_loss] => 239.6318
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.5871
            [entry_price] => 239.24
            [stop_loss] => 239.66445
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 238.5871
            [entry_price] => 239.24
            [stop_loss] => 239.72975
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.40000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 4.67
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 243.91000000
            [low] => 238.84000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.17
            [mae_pct] => 1.95
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-10T19:37:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-10T21:37:58-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.2
            [max_drawdown] => 4.67
            [rr_ratio] => 0.47
            [high] => 243.91000000
            [low] => 237.04000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.92
            [mae_pct] => 1.95
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-10T19:37:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-11T02:37:58-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 240.45000000
            [high_after] => 243.91000000
            [low_before] => 236.56000000
            [low_after] => 237.04000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)