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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 10 Nov 2025 at 20:13:58

Take profit at 239.2095 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 240.3652 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 10 Nov 2025 at 20:13:58

With 20.7658 MSTR at 239.98$ per unit.

Position size of 4983.368 $

Take profit at 239.2095 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 240.3652 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.52
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.65
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.129817

15m : 0.009656

1H : -0.020712

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.33
  4. atr: 0.2568329961
Details
  1. score: 1.33
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 239.729
  4. ema21 : 241.709
  5. ema50 : 242.46
  6. ema100 : 241.612
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00104576
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00819225
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0030974
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00675736
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.312862
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.189469
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0699724
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0229712
  17. rsi : 0.44697
  18. adx : 0.368521
  19. kc_percentage : 0.323224
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0382582
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.938015
  22. volume_ema1 : 35967.899129795
  23. volume_ema2 : 580270.70944231
  24. chop : 20.6344
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 238.997
  28. ema21 : 238.998
  29. ema50 : 240.766
  30. ema100 : 242.497
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00410976
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -2.94298E-6
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0073434
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0103801
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.034468
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0129316
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0438803
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0357061
  41. rsi : 0.540158
  42. adx : 0.256884
  43. kc_percentage : 0.81616
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.013416
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.832095
  46. volume_ema1 : 6076.3040841932
  47. volume_ema2 : 36188.99898288
  48. chop : 48.1016
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 239.455
  52. ema21 : 239.116
  53. ema50 : 238.821
  54. ema100 : 238.783
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00218937
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0014191
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00123323
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00501218
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0193969
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0199934
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0111889
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00515913
  65. rsi : 0.672502
  66. adx : 0.193505
  67. kc_percentage : 1.33371
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00420137
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.847167
  70. volume_ema1 : 3736.4925999131
  71. volume_ema2 : 2022.8223208599
  72. chop : 29.7722
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    105729
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0039796
  78. 5m_price: 
    106149
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.129817
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    105772
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00356598
  83. 15m_price: 
    106149
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.009656
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103726
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0233647
  88. 1H_price: 
    106149
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.020712
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 07:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 09:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 11:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 13:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 15:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 17:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3485192713938
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.863266180883
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.5396485212173
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 03:00:00
                    [1] => 250.78
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 04:00:00
                    [1] => 248.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 07:15:00
                    [1] => 247.65
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:45:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 13:15:00
                    [1] => 241.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 14:00:00
                    [1] => 238.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 16:45:00
                    [1] => 236.56
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 18:30:00
                    [1] => 239.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 240.45
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19546683302142
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4457220155563
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.40085181009645
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 17:05:00
                    [1] => 237.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 17:35:00
                    [1] => 237.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 18:30:00
                    [1] => 239.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 18:40:00
                    [1] => 237.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 19:05:00
                    [1] => 239.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 19:15:00
                    [1] => 239.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 19:25:00
                    [1] => 239.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 19:45:00
                    [1] => 238.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 19:55:00
                    [1] => 238.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 240.45
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19546683302142
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.47730698375481
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.67409144196951
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.48%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.67%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0848
0.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9795
0.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 17:05:00 237.54 ↑ High
2025-11-10 17:35:00 237.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 18:30:00 239.49 ↑ High
2025-11-10 18:40:00 237.64 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 19:05:00 239.25 ↑ High
2025-11-10 19:15:00 239.25 ↑ High
2025-11-10 19:25:00 239.25 ↑ High
2025-11-10 19:45:00 238.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 19:55:00 238.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 240.45 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.45%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.5248
4.38%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.9095
2.47%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 03:00:00 250.78 ↑ High
2025-11-10 04:00:00 248.03 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 07:15:00 247.65 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:45:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 13:15:00 241.6 ↑ High
2025-11-10 14:00:00 238.08 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 16:45:00 236.56 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 18:30:00 239.49 ↑ High
2025-11-10 20:00:00 240.45 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.86%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.54%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.3748
5.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.9095
2.47%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 07:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 09:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 11:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 13:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 15:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 17:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 19:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
10 Nov 2025
20:13:58		 10 Nov 2025
20:15:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
239.98 240.3652 239.2095 2 133.57
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 239.98
  • Stop Loss: 240.3652
  • Take Profit: 239.2095

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 240.3652 - 239.98 = 0.3852

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 239.98 - 239.2095 = 0.7705

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7705 / 0.3852 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4983.368 100 20.7658 49.83
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3852

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3852 = 20.77

Taille de position USD = 20.77 x 239.98 = 4984.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 20.77 avec un stoploss a 240.3652

Avec un position size USD de 4984.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 20.77 x 0.3852 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 20.77 x 0.7705 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 20.77
  • Taille de position USD 4984.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.32 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6876 % 428.41 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 239.2095
            [entry_price] => 239.98
            [stop_loss] => 240.40372
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 239.2095
            [entry_price] => 239.98
            [stop_loss] => 240.44224
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 239.2095
            [entry_price] => 239.98
            [stop_loss] => 240.48076
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 239.2095
            [entry_price] => 239.98
            [stop_loss] => 240.5578
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-10 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0
            [max_drawdown] => 3.93
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 243.91000000
            [low] => 239.98000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0
            [mae_pct] => 1.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-10T20:13:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-10T22:13:58-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.38
            [max_drawdown] => 3.93
            [rr_ratio] => 0.86
            [high] => 243.91000000
            [low] => 236.60000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.41
            [mae_pct] => 1.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.86
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-10T20:13:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-11T03:13:58-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 240.45000000
            [high_after] => 243.91000000
            [low_before] => 236.56000000
            [low_after] => 237.04000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)