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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 11 Nov 2025 at 11:24:26

Take profit at 236.0033 (0.96 %) and Stop Loss at 239.4334 (0.48 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 11 Nov 2025 at 11:24:26

With 6.9969 MSTR at 238.29$ per unit.

Position size of 1667.2878 $

Take profit at 236.0033 (0.96 %) and Stop Loss at 239.4334 (0.48 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.84
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.76
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.513403

15m : 0.089449

1H : 0.09972

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.19
  4. atr: 0.762243915
Details
  1. score: 1.19
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 237.084
  4. ema21 : 238.429
  5. ema50 : 240.136
  6. ema100 : 239.138
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0050847
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00563902
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00711103
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00354767
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.140875
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.123039
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0710608
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0220441
  17. rsi : 0.481693
  18. adx : 0.288585
  19. kc_percentage : 0.497375
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.039587
  21. volume_ema_diff : 3.15075
  22. volume_ema1 : 6545910.4503606
  23. volume_ema2 : 1577041.3061192
  24. chop : 44.8356
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 236.174
  28. ema21 : 236.219
  29. ema50 : 237.076
  30. ema100 : 237.847
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00895685
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000191776
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00361485
  34. price_ema100_diff : 0.00185956
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0132363
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0162687
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0251319
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0186574
  41. rsi : 0.531432
  42. adx : 0.185372
  43. kc_percentage : 0.922693
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0207927
  45. volume_ema_diff : 2.5557
  46. volume_ema1 : 4059050.4474105
  47. volume_ema2 : 1141560.4281006
  48. chop : 49.11
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 236.605
  52. ema21 : 236.07
  53. ema50 : 235.95
  54. ema100 : 236.24
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00711917
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00226574
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00050932
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00867406
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0392528
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0218113
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00583386
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.000680924
  65. rsi : 0.677454
  66. adx : 0.167829
  67. kc_percentage : 1.19482
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0132619
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.0280208
  70. volume_ema1 : 865395.35439673
  71. volume_ema2 : 890343.57169661
  72. chop : 39.8014
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    104451
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00709775
  78. 5m_price: 
    103710
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.513403
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    105095
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0129999
  83. 15m_price: 
    103729
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.089449
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103893
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00175982
  88. 1H_price: 
    103710
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.09972
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 13:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 15:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 17:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9008970525417
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9008970525417
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 18:30:00
                    [1] => 239.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:45:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 02:00:00
                    [1] => 238.64
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 02:45:00
                    [1] => 236.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 04:00:00
                    [1] => 238.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 04:45:00
                    [1] => 235.78
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:45:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 09:30:00
                    [1] => 234.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 09:45:00
                    [1] => 237.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:15:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8834885111472
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.2900866055663
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 08:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 08:10:00
                    [1] => 235.71
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 08:30:00
                    [1] => 234.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 08:45:00
                    [1] => 235.63
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 09:25:00
                    [1] => 236.08
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 09:30:00
                    [1] => 234.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 09:40:00
                    [1] => 234.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 09:55:00
                    [1] => 237.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 10:45:00
                    [1] => 234.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:20:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.679382805507
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.679382805507
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.68%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.68%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.8834
0.37%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9033
0.81%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 08:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 08:10:00 235.71 ↑ High
2025-11-11 08:30:00 234.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 08:45:00 235.63 ↑ High
2025-11-11 09:25:00 236.08 ↑ High
2025-11-11 09:30:00 234.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 09:40:00 234.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 09:55:00 237.86 ↑ High
2025-11-11 10:45:00 234.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:20:00 238.55 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.88%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.29%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.4766
1.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9033
0.81%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 18:30:00 239.49 ↑ High
2025-11-10 20:45:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 02:00:00 238.64 ↑ High
2025-11-11 02:45:00 236.6 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 04:00:00 238.43 ↑ High
2025-11-11 04:45:00 235.78 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 07:45:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 09:30:00 234.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 09:45:00 237.86 ↑ High
2025-11-11 11:15:00 238.55 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.90%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.3066
5.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.7033
1.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 13:00:00 241.43 ↑ High
2025-11-09 15:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 17:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 19:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Nov 2025
11:24:26		 11 Nov 2025
12:35:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
238.29 239.4334 236.0033 2 133.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 238.29
  • Stop Loss: 239.4334
  • Take Profit: 236.0033

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 239.4334 - 238.29 = 1.1434

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 238.29 - 236.0033 = 2.2867

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2867 / 1.1434 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1667.2878 100 6.9969 16.67
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.1434

Taille de position = 8 / 1.1434 = 7

Taille de position USD = 7 x 238.29 = 1668.03

Donc, tu peux acheter 7 avec un stoploss a 239.4334

Avec un position size USD de 1668.03$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7 x 1.1434 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7 x 2.2867 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7
  • Taille de position USD 1668.03
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.96 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.48 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.96
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1091 % 22.74 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 236.0032
            [stop_loss] => 239.4334
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 12:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 235.4315
            [stop_loss] => 239.4334
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 12:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 234.8598
            [stop_loss] => 239.4334
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 12:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 234.2881
            [stop_loss] => 239.4334
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 14:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 233.7164
            [stop_loss] => 239.4334
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 14:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 233.1447
            [stop_loss] => 239.4334
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 15:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.573
            [stop_loss] => 239.4334
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 15:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.0013
            [stop_loss] => 239.4334
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.4296
            [stop_loss] => 239.4334
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.8579
            [stop_loss] => 239.4334
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 16:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.2862
            [stop_loss] => 239.4334
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 17:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.77
            [max_drawdown] => 0.26000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 14.5
            [high] => 238.55000000
            [low] => 234.52000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.58
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 14.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-11T11:24:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-11T13:24:26-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.07
            [max_drawdown] => 0.26000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 31.04
            [high] => 238.55000000
            [low] => 230.22000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.39
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 31.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-11T11:24:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-11T18:24:26-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 238.55000000
            [high_after] => 238.55000000
            [low_before] => 234.10000000
            [low_after] => 230.22000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)