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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 11 Nov 2025 at 20:23:19

Take profit at 231.7898 (0.39 %) and Stop Loss at 233.1401 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 11 Nov 2025 at 20:23:19

With 17.7732 MSTR at 232.69$ per unit.

Position size of 4135.6499 $

Take profit at 231.7898 (0.39 %) and Stop Loss at 233.1401 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 4.85
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.69
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.77
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.85
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.141611

15m : -0.047877

1H : -0.095401

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.51
  4. atr: 0.3000769821
Details
  1. score: 1.51
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 232.777
  4. ema21 : 235.02
  5. ema50 : 238.151
  6. ema100 : 240.146
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000377043
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00954473
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0131451
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0310481
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.140462
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.131148
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0951233
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0588405
  17. rsi : 0.408356
  18. adx : 0.336462
  19. kc_percentage : 0.238842
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0356787
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.809547
  22. volume_ema1 : 184601.73411214
  23. volume_ema2 : 969280.67493754
  24. chop : 50.484
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 231.545
  28. ema21 : 232.006
  29. ema50 : 233.651
  30. ema100 : 235.413
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00494489
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00199013
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00703821
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0115696
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00857881
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0469806
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0503567
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0390108
  41. rsi : 0.519971
  42. adx : 0.346633
  43. kc_percentage : 0.747401
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0129073
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.976404
  46. volume_ema1 : 6451.6210458582
  47. volume_ema2 : 273429.82196487
  48. chop : 61.1436
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 231.68
  52. ema21 : 231.371
  53. ema50 : 231.687
  54. ema100 : 232.847
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00435655
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00133809
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00136709
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.000677001
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0214
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00690683
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00738093
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0148153
  65. rsi : 0.692717
  66. adx : 0.390286
  67. kc_percentage : 1.50526
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00560304
  69. volume_ema_diff : 1.61788
  70. volume_ema1 : 3807.5487936915
  71. volume_ema2 : 1454.4391304022
  72. chop : 14.27
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    103068
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00122661
  78. 5m_price: 
    103195
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.141611
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    104050
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00808491
  83. 15m_price: 
    103209
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.047877
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    104145
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00912883
  88. 1H_price: 
    103195
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.095401
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 15:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 17:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5068119891008
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0207627486752
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6182781687082
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:45:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 09:30:00
                    [1] => 234.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 09:45:00
                    [1] => 237.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:15:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 12:45:00
                    [1] => 234.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 13:00:00
                    [1] => 238.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:15:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 18:30:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:45:00
                    [1] => 230.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 20:15:00
                    [1] => 232.69
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.051570759379434
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.93745931166182
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.98954038453192
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:20:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:55:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 18:05:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 18:15:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 18:25:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
                    [1] => 231.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:15:00
                    [1] => 230.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:55:00
                    [1] => 230.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 20:05:00
                    [1] => 230.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 20:15:00
                    [1] => 232.69
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.051570759379434
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.93745931166182
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.98954038453192
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.94%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.99%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4501
0.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5698
0.68%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 17:20:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 17:55:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 18:05:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 18:15:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 18:25:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:00:00 231.32 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:15:00 230.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 19:55:00 230.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 20:05:00 230.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 20:15:00 232.69 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.94%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.99%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.4099
2.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5698
0.68%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 07:45:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 09:30:00 234.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 09:45:00 237.86 ↑ High
2025-11-11 11:15:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 12:45:00 234.52 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 13:00:00 238.02 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:15:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 18:30:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:45:00 230.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 20:15:00 232.69 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.51%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.02%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.62%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.5999
8.41%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5698
0.68%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 15:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 17:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 19:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Nov 2025
20:23:19		 11 Nov 2025
20:25:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
232.69 233.1401 231.7898 2 135.36
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 232.69
  • Stop Loss: 233.1401
  • Take Profit: 231.7898

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 233.1401 - 232.69 = 0.45009999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 232.69 - 231.7898 = 0.90019999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.90019999999998 / 0.45009999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4135.6499 100 17.7732 41.36
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.45009999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.45009999999999 = 17.77

Taille de position USD = 17.77 x 232.69 = 4134.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.77 avec un stoploss a 233.1401

Avec un position size USD de 4134.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.77 x 0.45009999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.77 x 0.90019999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.77
  • Taille de position USD 4134.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.39 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.39
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.7898
            [stop_loss] => 233.1401
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 20:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.56475
            [stop_loss] => 233.1401
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.3397
            [stop_loss] => 233.1401
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.11465
            [stop_loss] => 233.1401
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.8896
            [stop_loss] => 233.1401
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.66455
            [stop_loss] => 233.1401
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.4395
            [stop_loss] => 233.1401
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.21445
            [stop_loss] => 233.1401
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.9894
            [stop_loss] => 233.1401
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.76435
            [stop_loss] => 233.1401
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.5393
            [stop_loss] => 233.1401
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.06
            [max_drawdown] => 0.22
            [rr_ratio] => 4.82
            [high] => 232.91000000
            [low] => 231.63000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 0.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.82
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-11T20:23:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-11T22:23:19-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.06
            [max_drawdown] => 0.64000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [high] => 233.33000000
            [low] => 231.63000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.66
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-11T20:23:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T03:23:19-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 232.69000000
            [high_after] => 233.33000000
            [low_before] => 230.22000000
            [low_after] => 231.63000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)