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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 11 Nov 2025 at 21:19:43

Take profit at 231.8082 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 233.1459 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 11 Nov 2025 at 21:19:43

With 17.9414 MSTR at 232.7$ per unit.

Position size of 4174.9687 $

Take profit at 231.8082 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 233.1459 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 3.27
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.8
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.02473

15m : -0.014466

1H : 0.023367

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.2972637078
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 232.698
  4. ema21 : 234.776
  5. ema50 : 237.899
  6. ema100 : 239.817
  7. price_ema9_diff : 7.67608E-6
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00885359
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0131248
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0296794
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.149148
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.136042
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.098157
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0597559
  17. rsi : 0.409672
  18. adx : 0.334478
  19. kc_percentage : 0.252818
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.033347
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.766503
  22. volume_ema1 : 220499.62917476
  23. volume_ema2 : 944337.94920104
  24. chop : 50.3588
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 232.038
  28. ema21 : 232.103
  29. ema50 : 233.521
  30. ema100 : 235.724
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00285271
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000280587
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00607264
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0128315
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0190573
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0208962
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.03954
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0386756
  41. rsi : 0.528227
  42. adx : 0.27347
  43. kc_percentage : 0.744919
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0110916
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.725304
  46. volume_ema1 : 67279.886783132
  47. volume_ema2 : 244925.55464076
  48. chop : 59.9597
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 232.263
  52. ema21 : 231.928
  53. ema50 : 231.884
  54. ema100 : 232.826
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00187971
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00144418
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00018807
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0005422
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0300695
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.024829
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00750753
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00592902
  65. rsi : 0.65582
  66. adx : 0.235446
  67. kc_percentage : 1.11604
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00524007
  69. volume_ema_diff : 2.38898
  70. volume_ema1 : 41587.451682995
  71. volume_ema2 : 12271.371885919
  72. chop : 38.7067
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    103081
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0026802
  78. 5m_price: 
    103358
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.02473
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    104081
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00695239
  83. 15m_price: 
    103358
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.014466
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    104091
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00704896
  88. 1H_price: 
    103358
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.023367
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 17:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 21:00:00
                    [1] => 232.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1597602293458
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1597602293458
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:45:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 09:30:00
                    [1] => 234.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 09:45:00
                    [1] => 237.86
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:15:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 12:45:00
                    [1] => 234.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 13:00:00
                    [1] => 238.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:15:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 18:30:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:45:00
                    [1] => 230.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 21:15:00
                    [1] => 232.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0763421726488
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0763421726488
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:55:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 18:05:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 18:15:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 18:25:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
                    [1] => 231.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:15:00
                    [1] => 230.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:55:00
                    [1] => 230.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 20:05:00
                    [1] => 230.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 20:15:00
                    [1] => 232.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 21:15:00
                    [1] => 232.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0763421726488
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.085951265632382
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.08%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.09%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2559
0.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3982
0.60%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 17:55:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 18:05:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 18:15:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 18:25:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:00:00 231.32 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:15:00 230.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 19:55:00 230.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 20:05:00 230.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 20:15:00 232.69 ↑ High
2025-11-11 21:15:00 232.89 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.08%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.08%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.4041
2.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5882
0.69%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 07:45:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 09:30:00 234.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 09:45:00 237.86 ↑ High
2025-11-11 11:15:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 12:45:00 234.52 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 13:00:00 238.02 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:15:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 18:30:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:45:00 230.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 21:15:00 232.89 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.16%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.16%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.5941
8.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5882
0.69%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 17:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 19:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 21:00:00 232.89 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Nov 2025
21:19:43		 11 Nov 2025
23:45:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
232.7 233.1459 231.8082 2 133.17
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 232.7
  • Stop Loss: 233.1459
  • Take Profit: 231.8082

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 233.1459 - 232.7 = 0.44590000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 232.7 - 231.8082 = 0.89179999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.89179999999999 / 0.44590000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4174.9687 100 17.9414 41.75
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.44590000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.44590000000002 = 17.94

Taille de position USD = 17.94 x 232.7 = 4174.64

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.94 avec un stoploss a 233.1459

Avec un position size USD de 4174.64$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.94 x 0.44590000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.94 x 0.89179999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.94
  • Taille de position USD 4174.64
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.38 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0902 % 47.08 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.8082
            [stop_loss] => 233.1459
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.58525
            [stop_loss] => 233.1459
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.3623
            [stop_loss] => 233.1459
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.13935
            [stop_loss] => 233.1459
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.9164
            [stop_loss] => 233.1459
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.69345
            [stop_loss] => 233.1459
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.4705
            [stop_loss] => 233.1459
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.24755
            [stop_loss] => 233.1459
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.0246
            [stop_loss] => 233.1459
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.80165
            [stop_loss] => 233.1459
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 229.5787
            [stop_loss] => 233.1459
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.79999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 0.21000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 3.81
            [high] => 232.91000000
            [low] => 231.90000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.34
            [mae_pct] => 0.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.81
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-11T21:19:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-11T23:19:43-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.07
            [max_drawdown] => 2.88
            [rr_ratio] => 0.37
            [high] => 235.58000000
            [low] => 231.63000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 1.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.37
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-11T21:19:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T04:19:43-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 232.89000000
            [high_after] => 233.33000000
            [low_before] => 230.22000000
            [low_after] => 231.63000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)