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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 01:44:11

Take profit at 232.4429 (0.27 %) and Stop Loss at 233.3985 (0.14 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 01:44:11

With 25.1138 MSTR at 233.08$ per unit.

Position size of 5853.5246 $

Take profit at 232.4429 (0.27 %) and Stop Loss at 233.3985 (0.14 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 1.38
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.152562

15m : 0.007999

1H : 0.003264

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.2123666375
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 232.609
  4. ema21 : 234.052
  5. ema50 : 237.087
  6. ema100 : 239.183
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00202299
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00616701
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0127991
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0255162
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.1467
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.139538
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.105245
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0658199
  17. rsi : 0.433732
  18. adx : 0.29948
  19. kc_percentage : 0.36823
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0272744
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.563239
  22. volume_ema1 : 393070.38767115
  23. volume_ema2 : 899968.81202161
  24. chop : 51.0238
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 232.602
  28. ema21 : 232.378
  29. ema50 : 232.872
  30. ema100 : 234.061
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00205095
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000965654
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00212082
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00419212
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0159647
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00836173
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00977495
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.015925
  41. rsi : 0.607639
  42. adx : 0.146052
  43. kc_percentage : 0.886972
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00773317
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.737239
  46. volume_ema1 : 50688.673639742
  47. volume_ema2 : 192908.25661646
  48. chop : 59.8477
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 232.875
  52. ema21 : 232.599
  53. ema50 : 232.32
  54. ema100 : 231.994
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000876415
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00118871
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00120084
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0046773
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0260938
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.016788
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00977726
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00728195
  65. rsi : 0.6472
  66. adx : 0.329426
  67. kc_percentage : 1.08722
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00339891
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.52576
  70. volume_ema1 : 15784.225455798
  71. volume_ema2 : 33283.269511618
  72. chop : 42.3798
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    103214
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00234209
  78. 5m_price: 
    103456
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.152562
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    103710
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00232731
  83. 15m_price: 
    103469
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.007999
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103935
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00460692
  88. 1H_price: 
    103456
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.003264
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 16:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 18:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:00:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10714438777697
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2422899834941
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.350881765268
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:15:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 12:45:00
                    [1] => 234.52
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 13:00:00
                    [1] => 238.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:15:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 18:30:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:45:00
                    [1] => 230.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 21:15:00
                    [1] => 232.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:30:00
                    [1] => 232.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                    [1] => 231.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10714438777697
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.62599835945258
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.73392911108234
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 20:15:00
                    [1] => 232.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 21:25:00
                    [1] => 232.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 21:35:00
                    [1] => 231.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 22:05:00
                    [1] => 232.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 22:45:00
                    [1] => 232.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 22:55:00
                    [1] => 232.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:40:00
                    [1] => 232.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                    [1] => 231.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 00:20:00
                    [1] => 232.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10714438777697
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.62599835945258
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 23
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.45204064060617
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.63%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
23 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.45%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0685
0.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8129
0.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 20:15:00 232.69 ↑ High
2025-11-11 21:25:00 232.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 21:35:00 231.9 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 22:05:00 232.52 ↑ High
2025-11-11 22:45:00 232.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 22:55:00 232.58 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:40:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 00:20:00 232.28 ↑ High
2025-11-12 01:25:00 233.33 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.63%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.73%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.1515
2.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2229
0.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 11:15:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 12:45:00 234.52 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 13:00:00 238.02 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:15:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 18:30:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:45:00 230.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 21:15:00 232.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:30:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:15:00 233.33 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.24%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.3415
8.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2229
0.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 16:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 18:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:00:00 233.33 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
01:44:11		 12 Nov 2025
02:05:00		 20 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
233.08 233.3985 232.4429 2 135.44
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 233.08
  • Stop Loss: 233.3985
  • Take Profit: 232.4429

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 233.3985 - 233.08 = 0.3185

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 233.08 - 232.4429 = 0.6371

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6371 / 0.3185 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5853.5246 100 25.1138 58.54
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3185

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3185 = 25.12

Taille de position USD = 25.12 x 233.08 = 5854.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 25.12 avec un stoploss a 233.3985

Avec un position size USD de 5854.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 25.12 x 0.3185 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 25.12 x 0.6371 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 25.12
  • Taille de position USD 5854.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.27 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.14 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.443
            [stop_loss] => 233.3985
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 02:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.28375
            [stop_loss] => 233.3985
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.1245
            [stop_loss] => 233.3985
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.96525
            [stop_loss] => 233.3985
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.806
            [stop_loss] => 233.3985
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.64675
            [stop_loss] => 233.3985
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.4875
            [stop_loss] => 233.3985
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.32825
            [stop_loss] => 233.3985
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.169
            [stop_loss] => 233.3985
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.00975
            [stop_loss] => 233.3985
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 230.8505
            [stop_loss] => 233.3985
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.26
            [max_drawdown] => 0.86999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 1.45
            [high] => 233.95000000
            [low] => 231.82000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T01:44:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T03:44:11-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.26
            [max_drawdown] => 3.47
            [rr_ratio] => 0.36
            [high] => 236.55000000
            [low] => 231.82000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.54
            [mae_pct] => 1.49
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T01:44:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T08:44:11-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 233.33000000
            [high_after] => 236.55000000
            [low_before] => 231.63000000
            [low_after] => 231.82000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)