Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 01:48:25

Take profit at 232.4884 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 233.3758 (0.13 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 01:48:25

With 27.0436 MSTR at 233.08$ per unit.

Position size of 6303.3114 $

Take profit at 232.4884 (0.25 %) and Stop Loss at 233.3758 (0.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 1.09
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.155003

15m : 0.008379

1H : 0.074117

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.1972127419
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 232.609
  4. ema21 : 234.052
  5. ema50 : 237.087
  6. ema100 : 239.183
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00202299
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00616701
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0127991
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0255162
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.1467
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.139538
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.105245
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0658199
  17. rsi : 0.433732
  18. adx : 0.29948
  19. kc_percentage : 0.36823
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0272744
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.563239
  22. volume_ema1 : 393070.38767115
  23. volume_ema2 : 899968.81202161
  24. chop : 51.0238
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 232.68
  29. ema21 : 232.433
  30. ema50 : 232.871
  31. ema100 : 234
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00171585
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00106504
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00188048
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00393334
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0157238
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00890703
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.00872314
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.014961
  42. rsi : 0.591208
  43. adx : 0.158432
  44. kc_percentage : 0.885459
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00712977
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.7838
  47. volume_ema1 : 40320.089093162
  48. volume_ema2 : 186494.55242654
  49. chop : 58.9893
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 232.916
  54. ema21 : 232.643
  55. ema50 : 232.35
  56. ema100 : 232.016
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.000701009
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00117615
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00126052
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00458425
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0268315
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0179697
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0105623
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00772834
  67. rsi : 0.6472
  68. adx : 0.343293
  69. kc_percentage : 1.09032
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00305903
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.670936
  72. volume_ema1 : 10522.816970532
  73. volume_ema2 : 31978.043256261
  74. chop : 41.4346
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    103224
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.001629
  81. 5m_price:
    103392
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.155003
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    103678
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00275398
  86. 15m_price:
    103392
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.008379
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    103933
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00520962
  91. 1H_price:
    103392
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.074117
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-09 16:00:00
                        [1] => 241.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-09 18:00:00
                        [1] => 241.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                        [1] => 252.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                        [1] => 250.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                        [1] => 233.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                        [1] => 243.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                        [1] => 234.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                        [1] => 238.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                        [1] => 230.22
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 01:00:00
                        [1] => 233.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10714438777697
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2422899834941
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.350881765268
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 11:15:00
                        [1] => 238.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 12:45:00
                        [1] => 234.52
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 13:00:00
                        [1] => 238.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 17:15:00
                        [1] => 230.22
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 18:30:00
                        [1] => 231.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 19:45:00
                        [1] => 230.41
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 21:15:00
                        [1] => 232.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 23:30:00
                        [1] => 232.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                        [1] => 231.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
                        [1] => 233.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10714438777697
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.62599835945258
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.73392911108234
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 20:15:00
                        [1] => 232.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 21:25:00
                        [1] => 232.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 21:35:00
                        [1] => 231.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 22:05:00
                        [1] => 232.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 22:45:00
                        [1] => 232.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 22:55:00
                        [1] => 232.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 23:40:00
                        [1] => 232.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                        [1] => 231.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 00:20:00
                        [1] => 232.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
                        [1] => 233.33
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.10714438777697
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.62599835945258
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 24
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.45204064060617
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.63%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
24 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.45%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0458
0.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8584
0.37%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 20:15:00 232.69 ↑ High
2025-11-11 21:25:00 232.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 21:35:00 231.9 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 22:05:00 232.52 ↑ High
2025-11-11 22:45:00 232.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 22:55:00 232.58 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:40:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 00:20:00 232.28 ↑ High
2025-11-12 01:25:00 233.33 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.63%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.73%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.1742
2.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2684
0.98%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 11:15:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 12:45:00 234.52 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 13:00:00 238.02 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:15:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 18:30:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:45:00 230.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 21:15:00 232.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:30:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:15:00 233.33 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.24%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.35%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.3642
8.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2684
0.98%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 16:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 18:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:00:00 233.33 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
01:48:25
12 Nov 2025
02:05:00
16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
233.08 233.3758 232.4884 2 133.19
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 233.08
  • Stop Loss: 233.3758
  • Take Profit: 232.4884

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 233.3758 - 233.08 = 0.29579999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 233.08 - 232.4884 = 0.5916

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5916 / 0.29579999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6303.3114 100 27.0436 63.03
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.29579999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.29579999999999 = 27.05

Taille de position USD = 27.05 x 233.08 = 6304.81

Donc, tu peux acheter 27.05 avec un stoploss a 233.3758

Avec un position size USD de 6304.81$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 27.05 x 0.29579999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 27.05 x 0.5916 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 27.05
  • Taille de position USD 6304.81
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.25 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.4884
            [stop_loss] => 233.3758
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 02:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.3405
            [stop_loss] => 233.3758
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 02:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.1926
            [stop_loss] => 233.3758
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.0447
            [stop_loss] => 233.3758
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.8968
            [stop_loss] => 233.3758
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.7489
            [stop_loss] => 233.3758
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.601
            [stop_loss] => 233.3758
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.4531
            [stop_loss] => 233.3758
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.3052
            [stop_loss] => 233.3758
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.1573
            [stop_loss] => 233.3758
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 231.0094
            [stop_loss] => 233.3758
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.26
            [max_drawdown] => 1.16
            [rr_ratio] => 1.09
            [high] => 234.24000000
            [low] => 231.82000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T01:48:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T03:48:25-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.26
            [max_drawdown] => 3.47
            [rr_ratio] => 0.36
            [high] => 236.55000000
            [low] => 231.82000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.54
            [mae_pct] => 1.49
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T01:48:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T08:48:25-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 233.33000000
            [high_after] => 236.55000000
            [low_before] => 231.63000000
            [low_after] => 231.82000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)