Short Trade on TRUMP 12 Nov 2025 at 02:09:53
Take profit at 7.6887 (1.03 %) and Stop Loss at 7.8092 (0.52 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP 12 Nov 2025 at 02:09:53
Take profit at 7.6887 (1.03 %) and Stop Loss at 7.8092 (0.52 %)
Position size of 1547.5493 $
Take profit at 7.6887 (1.03 %) and Stop Loss at 7.8092 (0.52 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.69 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.52 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.616324 15m : -0.025036 1H : -0.105543 |
1 |
Indicators:
103254
0.00169757
103429
0.616324
103667
-0.00230053
103429
-0.025036
103920
-0.0047235
103429
-0.105543
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 01:00:00
[1] => 7.656
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 04:00:00
[1] => 7.938
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 10:00:00
[1] => 7.364
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-08 22:00:00
[1] => 7.39
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 05:00:00
[1] => 7.407
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 11:00:00
[1] => 7.905
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
[1] => 7.637
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 15:00:00
[1] => 9.568
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 06:00:00
[1] => 8.501
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 01:00:00
[1] => 7.627
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.6460416421597
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8224727940212
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 20
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.459289366723
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 04:00:00
[1] => 8.275
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 06:00:00
[1] => 8.501
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 07:30:00
[1] => 8.204
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 09:45:00
[1] => 8.416
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 12:45:00
[1] => 8.038
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 14:30:00
[1] => 8.138
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 17:45:00
[1] => 8.059
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 21:30:00
[1] => 7.747
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
[1] => 7.627
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 02:00:00
[1] => 7.774
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1029071263185
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8224727940212
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9273633145405
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 20:15:00
[1] => 7.917
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 20:40:00
[1] => 7.817
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 21:05:00
[1] => 7.88
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 21:35:00
[1] => 7.747
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 22:20:00
[1] => 7.85
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 22:50:00
[1] => 7.758
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 00:30:00
[1] => 7.651
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 00:50:00
[1] => 7.738
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
[1] => 7.627
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 02:05:00
[1] => 7.774
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1029071263185
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8224727940212
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9273633145405
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 20:15:00 | 7.917 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 20:40:00 | 7.817 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 21:05:00 | 7.88 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 21:35:00 | 7.747 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 22:20:00 | 7.85 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 22:50:00 | 7.758 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 00:30:00 | 7.651 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 00:50:00 | 7.738 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 01:15:00 | 7.627 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 02:05:00 | 7.774 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 04:00:00 | 8.275 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 06:00:00 | 8.501 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 07:30:00 | 8.204 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 09:45:00 | 8.416 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 12:45:00 | 8.038 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 14:30:00 | 8.138 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 17:45:00 | 8.059 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 21:30:00 | 7.747 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 01:15:00 | 7.627 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 02:00:00 | 7.774 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 01:00:00 | 7.656 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 04:00:00 | 7.938 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-08 10:00:00 | 7.364 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-08 22:00:00 | 7.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-09 05:00:00 | 7.407 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-09 11:00:00 | 7.905 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-09 19:00:00 | 7.637 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-10 15:00:00 | 9.568 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 06:00:00 | 8.501 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 01:00:00 | 7.627 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 02:09:53 |
12 Nov 2025 02:55:00 |
45 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.769 | 7.8092 | 7.6887 | 2 | 3.476 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.8092 - 7.769 = 0.0402
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 7.769 - 7.6887 = 0.0803
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0803 / 0.0402 = 1.9975
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1547.5493 | 100 | 199.1954 | 15.48 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0402 = 199
Taille de position USD = 199 x 7.769 = 1546.03
Donc, tu peux acheter 199 avec un stoploss a 7.8092
Avec un position size USD de 1546.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 199 x 0.0402 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 199 x 0.0803 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.6886
[stop_loss] => 7.8092
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 02:55:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.6685
[stop_loss] => 7.8092
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 02:55:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.6484
[stop_loss] => 7.8092
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.6283
[stop_loss] => 7.8092
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.6082
[stop_loss] => 7.8092
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.5881
[stop_loss] => 7.8092
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.568
[stop_loss] => 7.8092
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.5479
[stop_loss] => 7.8092
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.5278
[stop_loss] => 7.8092
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.5077
[stop_loss] => 7.8092
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.4876
[stop_loss] => 7.8092
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.101
[max_drawdown] => 0.055
[rr_ratio] => 1.84
[high] => 7.82400000
[low] => 7.66800000
[mfe_pct] => 1.3
[mae_pct] => 0.71
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.84
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-12T02:09:53-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-12T04:09:53-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.101
[max_drawdown] => 0.124
[rr_ratio] => 0.81
[high] => 7.89300000
[low] => 7.66800000
[mfe_pct] => 1.3
[mae_pct] => 1.6
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.81
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-12T02:09:53-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-12T09:09:53-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 7.85000000
[high_after] => 7.89300000
[low_before] => 7.62700000
[low_after] => 7.66800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)