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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 03:44:26

Take profit at 232.923 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 234.0885 (0.17 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 03:44:26

With 20.5931 MSTR at 233.7$ per unit.

Position size of 4812.604 $

Take profit at 232.923 (0.33 %) and Stop Loss at 234.0885 (0.17 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.3
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.78
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.249154

15m : 0.070627

1H : -0.091408

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.2589866108
Details
  1. score: 1.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 232.803
  4. ema21 : 233.888
  5. ema50 : 236.779
  6. ema100 : 238.943
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00385167
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00464016
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0122107
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0219458
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.101132
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.119773
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0993054
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0643358
  17. rsi : 0.465426
  18. adx : 0.280401
  19. kc_percentage : 0.488761
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0269579
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.629033
  22. volume_ema1 : 315683.82709829
  23. volume_ema2 : 850976.29492167
  24. chop : 58.1495
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 232.853
  28. ema21 : 232.627
  29. ema50 : 232.843
  30. ema100 : 233.76
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00363738
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000968274
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000928075
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.000259011
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0259154
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0173924
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.000182359
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.00899511
  41. rsi : 0.618545
  42. adx : 0.13042
  43. kc_percentage : 1.04641
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00830997
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.84488
  46. volume_ema1 : 23642.344095942
  47. volume_ema2 : 152414.08466984
  48. chop : 54.5536
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 233.13
  52. ema21 : 232.891
  53. ema50 : 232.646
  54. ema100 : 232.328
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00244282
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00102644
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00105144
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00590466
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0146852
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00742013
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00589165
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00544675
  65. rsi : 0.690315
  66. adx : 0.213779
  67. kc_percentage : 1.22541
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00469975
  69. volume_ema_diff : 1.11638
  70. volume_ema1 : 59563.293221789
  71. volume_ema2 : 28143.943929997
  72. chop : 14.3869
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    103334
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00650858
  78. 5m_price: 
    104007
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.249154
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    103612
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00293389
  83. 15m_price: 
    103916
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.070627
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103879
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00122668
  88. 1H_price: 
    104007
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.091408
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 16:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 18:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:00:00
                    [1] => 233.95
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0042744176105967
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6158457127965
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6201893840674
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 13:00:00
                    [1] => 238.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:15:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 18:30:00
                    [1] => 231.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:45:00
                    [1] => 230.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 21:15:00
                    [1] => 232.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:30:00
                    [1] => 232.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                    [1] => 231.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:00:00
                    [1] => 231.82
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:30:00
                    [1] => 233.95
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0042744176105967
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91450263135191
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.91881632300923
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 22:45:00
                    [1] => 232.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 22:55:00
                    [1] => 232.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:40:00
                    [1] => 232.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                    [1] => 231.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 00:20:00
                    [1] => 232.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:25:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 02:05:00
                    [1] => 232.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 02:35:00
                    [1] => 233.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:05:00
                    [1] => 231.82
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:40:00
                    [1] => 233.95
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0042744176105967
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91450263135191
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.91881632300923
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.91%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.92%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1385
0.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2930
0.56%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 22:45:00 232.14 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 22:55:00 232.58 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:40:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 00:20:00 232.28 ↑ High
2025-11-12 01:25:00 233.33 ↑ High
2025-11-12 02:05:00 232.34 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 02:35:00 233.17 ↑ High
2025-11-12 03:05:00 231.82 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 03:40:00 233.95 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.91%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.92%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.9315
1.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.7030
1.16%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 13:00:00 238.02 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:15:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 18:30:00 231.4 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:45:00 230.41 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 21:15:00 232.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:30:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:15:00 233.33 ↑ High
2025-11-12 03:00:00 231.82 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 03:30:00 233.95 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.62%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.62%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
18.6515
7.97%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.7030
1.16%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 16:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 18:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 03:00:00 233.95 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
03:44:26		 12 Nov 2025
03:45:00		 34 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
233.7 234.0885 232.923 2 132.98
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 233.7
  • Stop Loss: 234.0885
  • Take Profit: 232.923

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 234.0885 - 233.7 = 0.38850000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 233.7 - 232.923 = 0.77699999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.77699999999999 / 0.38850000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4812.604 100 20.5931 48.13
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.38850000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.38850000000002 = 20.59

Taille de position USD = 20.59 x 233.7 = 4811.88

Donc, tu peux acheter 20.59 avec un stoploss a 234.0885

Avec un position size USD de 4811.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 20.59 x 0.38850000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 20.59 x 0.77699999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 20.59
  • Taille de position USD 4811.88
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.33 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.17 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.17
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2311 % 139.05 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.923
            [entry_price] => 233.7
            [stop_loss] => 234.12735
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.923
            [entry_price] => 233.7
            [stop_loss] => 234.1662
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.923
            [entry_price] => 233.7
            [stop_loss] => 234.20505
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 232.923
            [entry_price] => 233.7
            [stop_loss] => 234.28275
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 03:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.12
            [max_drawdown] => 2.17
            [rr_ratio] => -0.06
            [high] => 235.87000000
            [low] => 233.82000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.05
            [mae_pct] => 0.93
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T03:44:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T05:44:26-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.38
            [max_drawdown] => 2.85
            [rr_ratio] => 2.24
            [high] => 236.55000000
            [low] => 227.32000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.73
            [mae_pct] => 1.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.24
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T03:44:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T10:44:26-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 233.95000000
            [high_after] => 236.55000000
            [low_before] => 231.63000000
            [low_after] => 232.69000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)